SK Rapid vs Sturm Graz preview

Austria flag 2026/2027 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Allianz Stadion
Admiral Bundesliga
SK RapidSCR
Sturm GrazSTU
KICKOFF :
Round 5 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Admiral Bundesliga regular season encounter at the Allianz Stadion, SK Rapid welcome Sturm Graz for what shapes up as a compelling domestic clash. SK Rapid currently occupy first place in the standings while Sturm Graz sit third, setting up a battle between the leaders and a close pursuer. Power metrics highlight Sturm Graz as the stronger side with a rating of 73.49 against SK Rapid's 65.29, creating an 8.2 point advantage for the visitors. Recent form scores show SK Rapid ahead at 27.78 compared to Sturm Graz's 16.92, suggesting the hosts carry momentum into the fixture. Both teams will look to exploit structural strengths in a league setting where every point matters. The absence of detailed efficiency and set piece data adds an element of unpredictability to the tactical preparations. This game offers a clear test of current positioning and underlying team quality.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SK Rapid sit first in the domestic table while Sturm Graz occupy third place.
  • Form: SK Rapid hold a superior form score of 27.78 compared to Sturm Graz's 16.92.
  • Squad: Sturm Graz possess the higher power score at 73.49 against SK Rapid's 65.29.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both teams ahead of the match.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided for this league fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence due to proxy data usage.
  • xVariable: Sturm Graz hold an 8.2 point power advantage entering the contest.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SK Rapid J. Hoff Thorup
J. Hoff Thorup
VS
Sturm Graz F. Ingolitsch
F. Ingolitsch
1.63
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.93
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grazer AK Rank: 57 W
Ried Rank: 57 W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 56 W
Ried Rank: 55 W
Ried Rank: 55 L
Sturm Graz Rank: 73 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Austria Lustenau Rank: 52 D
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 57 W
Hartberg Rank: 63 W
WSG Tirol Rank: 53 D
SK Rapid Rank: 65 W
Hartberg Rank: 61 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 1 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.29
73.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SK Rapid
Sturm Graz
Power Score
65.29
73.49
League Position
1
3
Global Rank
385
162

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SK Rapid — Opponent-weighted form score
Sturm Graz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SK Rapid Sturm Graz

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SK Rapid SCR Home
8 matches
Sturm Graz STU Away
Match Record
4
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
4
Goals
9
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
9
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0.28
xG
2.04
2.04
xGA
0.28

Data last updated: 2026-08-28T00:48:39+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Allianz Stadion
Capacity
28345
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stefan Ebner
Martin Höfler
Amina Gutschi
Julian Weinberger

Expected Lineup

Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

1
Niklas Hedl
Niklas Hedl Goalkeeper
7.58
9
Ercan Kara
Ercan Kara Centre Forward
6.94
29
Romeo Amane
Romeo Amane Defensive Midfield
6.98
22
Yusuf Demir
Yusuf Demir Right Wing
7.89
8
Tonni Adamsen
Tonni Adamsen Attacking Midfield
7.77
10
Petter Nosa Dahl
Petter Nosa Dahl Left Wing
6.76
6
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao Left Back
6.95
18
Matthias Seidl
Matthias Seidl Defensive Midfield
7.75
38
Jannes Horn
Jannes Horn Left Back
7.67
77
Bendegúz Bolla
Bendegúz Bolla Right Back
7.13
55
Nenad Cvetkovic
Nenad Cvetkovic Right Back
7.76
Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

22
Ammar Helac
Ammar Helac Goalkeeper
7.64
19
Simon Seidl
Simon Seidl Midfielder
7.31
43
Jacob Peter Hödl
Jacob Peter Hödl Midfielder
6.81
17
Szymon Wlodarczyk
Szymon Wlodarczyk Attacker
6.68
20
Seedy Jatta
Seedy Jatta Attacker
6.73
18
Emran Soglo
Emran Soglo Left Back
7.09
21
Petar Petrovic
Petar Petrovic Right Back
6.96
4
Jon Gorenc Stankovic
Jon Gorenc Stankovic Central Midfield
6.8
5
Albert Vallci
Albert Vallci Left Back
7.25
28
Jürgen Heil
Jürgen Heil Right Back
7.16
39
Luca Weinhandl
Luca Weinhandl Central Midfield
6.97

CONCLUSION

SK Rapid will aim to leverage their top position and stronger recent form when facing Sturm Graz at home. The visitors counter with superior overall power ratings that could influence key moments. Limited availability of efficiency and set piece insights means both sides must rely on core squad attributes and positional discipline. Smooth transitions between defense and attack may prove decisive in breaking down organized defenses. With the league stage emphasizing consistency, this matchup highlights contrasting strengths in form versus raw team quality. Observers can expect a measured contest where small tactical adjustments determine the outcome in a tightly contested domestic environment.