SK Rapid vs Hearts preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Allianz Stadion
Europa Conference League
SK RapidSCR
2 – 2
HeartsHEA
Full Time: Finished on Penalties
Play-offs Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 4
Ercan Kara - 34'
Goal
|
Goal
Calvin Miller - 100'
|
Second yellow card Tómas Bent Magnússon 76'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. SK Rapid 2–2 Hearts. The match ended in a draw. Hearts showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished SK Rapid 0.8 – 0.1 Hearts. Possession was 71%–29%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: SK Rapid 2-2 Hearts. Hearts showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was recorded as in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was not consistent with the expected goals distribution.
  • Market alignment: The result was not aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: SK Rapid recorded 0.84 expected goals against Hearts 0.1 expected goals.
  • Event impact: The draw occurred despite SK Rapid dominance in possession and expected goals.
  • Red card distortion: Hearts played with ten men after one red card which distorted the second half.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Məsiyev
E. Məsiyev
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
E. Abdullayev
E. Abdullayev
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Talıbov
P. Talıbov
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Haciyev
F. Haciyev
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
SK Rapid J. Hoff Thorup
J. Hoff Thorup
VS
Hearts W. Vrancken
W. Vrancken
2.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
2.6 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hearts Rank: 74 D
Paide Rank: W
Paide Rank: W
FC Santa Coloma Rank: W
FC Santa Coloma Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Rapid Rank: 65 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SK Rapid
63.78%
Draw
21.24%
Away Hearts
14.98%

Movement

Changes since opening
SK Rapid
+56.76%
Draw
-67.39%
Hearts
+10.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.14
73.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SK Rapid
Hearts
Power Score
65.14
73.09
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
385
173

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SK Rapid — Opponent-weighted form score
Hearts — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SK Rapid Hearts

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SK Rapid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hearts

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SK Rapid ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hearts
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.35
11.72
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.72
20.35
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
SK Rapid +0.67 Efficiency Index
vs
Hearts -0.67 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SK Rapid
Hearts
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SK Rapid
vs
Hearts
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SK Rapid Hearts
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
9%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
6.00 4.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+5.92 vs +4.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SK Rapid Hearts
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
9%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
4.00 6.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+4.00 vs +5.92
SK Rapid
Hearts
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
SK Rapid
vs
Hearts
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
SK Rapid Hearts
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
SK Rapid 0.11
Hearts 0.02
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
SK Rapid Hearts
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
SK Rapid 0.08
Hearts 0.04
SK Rapid
Hearts
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SCR had peak pressure around 10'.
  • SCR started the game with stronger pressure.
SCR Pressure HEA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SCR reached the top pressure at 10' (81.65).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SK Rapid SCR Home
1 matches
Hearts HEA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
1.13
xG
0.97
0.97
xGA
1.13

Data last updated: 2026-08-27T00:00:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 4
Stadium
Allianz Stadion
Capacity
28345
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Elçin Məsiyev
Elşad Abdullayev
Pərvin Talıbov
Fərid Haciyev

Statistics

Possession
SCR
65%
HEA
35%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 0
89 Dangerous attacks 48
71 Possession 29
13 Corners 6
7 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Goal Kicks 7
6 Substitutions 6
13 Throwins 3
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Assists 2
7 Dribble Attempts 9
3 Successful Dribbles 5
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56

Attacking

158 Attacks 88
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

19 Long Passes 21
282 Passes 119
253 Successful Passes 87
90 Successful Passes Percentage 73
26 Key Passes 8
11 Successful Long Passes 6
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29

Defensive

1 Saves 2
5 Tackles 6
5 Interceptions 4

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 2
2 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
20 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Elçin Məsiyev

Starting XI ▼

1
Niklas Hedl
Niklas Hedl Goalkeeper
6.38
6
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao Defender
6.49
38
Jannes Horn
Jannes Horn Defender
6.34
20
Ange Ahoussou
Ange Ahoussou
Defender112'
6.58
55
Nenad Cvetkovic
Nenad Cvetkovic Defender
7.24
77
Bendegúz Bolla
Bendegúz Bolla Defender
6.26
43
Moulaye Haïdara
Moulaye Haïdara
Attacker111'
7.23
8
Tonni Adamsen
Tonni Adamsen Midfielder
6.26
30
Nicolas Bajlicz
Nicolas Bajlicz
Midfielder66'
6.84
10
Petter Nosa Dahl
Petter Nosa Dahl Midfielder
6.81
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Attacker66'
6.61
18
Matthias Seidl
Matthias Seidl (C) Midfielder
6.46
7
Marco Tilio
Marco Tilio
Attacker102'
6.71
22
Yusuf Demir
Yusuf Demir Midfielder
7
29
Romeo Amane
Romeo Amane Midfielder
7.36
21
Louis Schaub
Louis Schaub
Midfielder120+1'
9
Ercan Kara
Ercan Kara Attacker
7.74
Referee : Elçin Məsiyev

Starting XI ▼

1
Beau Reus
Beau Reus Goalkeeper
6.49
5
Jamie McCart
Jamie McCart Defender
6.75
6
Oisin McEntee
Oisin McEntee Defender
6.88
17
Stuart Findlay
Stuart Findlay Defender
6.38
2
Christian Borchgrevink
Christian Borchgrevink
Defender46'
6.83
23
Jordi Altena
Jordi Altena Defender
6.56
7
Calvin Miller
Calvin Miller Midfielder
7.25
12
Tom Renaud
Tom Renaud Midfielder
6.38
22
Tómas Bent Magnússon
Tómas Bent Magnússon
Midfielder15'
5.98
15
Josh McPake
Josh McPake Midfielder
6.76
29
Sabah Kerjota
Sabah Kerjota
Attacker75'
7.14
16
Blair Spittal
Blair Spittal (C) Midfielder
7.32
74
Rogers Mato
Rogers Mato
Attacker91'
7.14
10
Cláudio Braga
Cláudio Braga Attacker
7.04
78
Laurent Mendy
Laurent Mendy
Midfielder90+1'
6.49
21
James Wilson
James Wilson Attacker
6.44
11
Pierre Landry Kaboré
Pierre Landry Kaboré
Attacker74'
7.05

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Louis Schaub → Romeo Amane
12th Substitution
120+1'
Event
Nenad Cvetkovic
Field Goal / 4th Goal
119'
Event
Ange Ahoussou
7th Yellowcard
115'
Event
Ange Ahoussou → Jannes Horn 
11th Substitution
112'
Event
Moulaye Haïdara → Bendegúz Bolla
10th Substitution
111'
Event
Marco Tilio → Matthias Seidl 
9th Substitution
102'
100'
Event
Calvin Miller
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
91'
Event
Rogers Mato → Blair Spittal
8th Substitution
Event
Bendegúz Bolla
6th Yellowcard
90+1'
90+1'
Event
Laurent Mendy → Cláudio Braga
7th Substitution
Event
Yusuf Demir
2nd Var
89'
86'
Event
Pierre Landry Kaboré
5th Yellowcard
80'
Event
Pierre Landry Kaboré
Goal Awarded
79'
Event
Pierre Landry Kaboré
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
76'
Event
Tómas Bent Magnússon
Second Yellow Card / 1st Yellow/red Card
75'
Event
Sabah Kerjota → Josh McPake
6th Substitution
Event
Matthias Seidl 
4th Yellowcard
74'
74'
Event
Pierre Landry Kaboré → James Wilson
5th Substitution
Event
Nicolas Bajlicz → Tonni Adamsen
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Nikolaus Wurmbrand → Petter Nosa Dahl
4th Substitution
66'
59'
Event
Cláudio Braga
3rd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Christian Borchgrevink → Stuart Findlay
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Tómas Bent Magnússon
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ercan Kara
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
34'
18'
Event
Oisin McEntee
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
15'
Event
Tómas Bent Magnússon → Tom Renaud
1st Substitution
Event
Marco Tilio
SK Rapid - Miss 10th Penalty
10'
9'
Event
Oisin McEntee
Hearts - Miss 9th Penalty
Event
Yusuf Demir
SK Rapid - Score 8th Penalty
8'
7'
Event
Sabah Kerjota
Hearts - Score 7th Penalty
Event
Moulaye Haïdara
SK Rapid - Miss 6th Penalty
6'
5'
Event
Rogers Mato
Hearts - Score 5th Penalty
Event
Louis Schaub
SK Rapid - Score 4th Penalty
4'
Event
Marco Tilio
SK Rapid - Miss 3rd Penalty
3'
2'
Event
Ercan Kara
Hearts - Miss 2nd Penalty
Event
Moulaye Haïdara
SK Rapid - Miss 1st Penalty
1'

Match Commentary

125
Update Update
Penalty Miss - Marco Tilio 3-4
125
Update Update
Penalty miss in the shootout, the score remains 3-4.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal! Yusuf Demir scores, making it 3-4.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal! Sabah Kerjota scores, making it 2-4.
125
Update Update
Penalty miss for Moulaye Haidara. The score remains 2-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Rogers Mato Kassim scores, making it 3 penalties for his team. The match score remains 2-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Louis Schaub scores a penalty, bringing the score to 2-2.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Jordi Altena scores, making it 1-2.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Ercan Kara scores, making it 1-1.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal! Calvin Miller scores, making it 0-1.
120
Substitution Substitution
Louis Schaub is substituted off for Amane Romeo.
119
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nenad Cvetkovic takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
119
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nenad Cvetkovic scores to make it 2-2, assisted by Moulaye Haidara.
118
Attempt Attempt
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou takes a left-footed shot but misses.
117
Attempt Attempt
Amane Romeo's right-footed shot is blocked.
117
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
116
Attempt Attempt
Amane Romeo's right-footed shot is blocked.
116
Attempt Attempt
Marco Tilio takes a right-footed shot but misses.
115
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ange Ahoussou receives a yellow card.
114
Attempt Attempt
Ercan Kara attempts a header but misses the shot.
113
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Pierre Kabore with his left foot is saved.
113
Attempt Attempt
Moulaye Haidara attempted a right-footed shot but missed.
112
Update Update
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou is on, and Jannes Horn is off.
112
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
111
Update Update
Moulaye Haidara comes on for Bendeguz Bolla.
111
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
108
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Demir takes a left-footed shot but misses.
107
Attempt Attempt
Christian Dahle Borchgrevink takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
107
Attempt Attempt
Amane Romeo takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
105
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Demir takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
102
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Marco Tilio comes on for Matthias Seidl.
100
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
100
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
100
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Calvin Miller takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
100
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Calvin Miller scores to make it 1-2, assisted by Rogers Mato Kassim.
95
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
95
Attempt Attempt
Ercan Kara attempts a header but misses the shot.
95
Attempt Attempt
Jannes Horn takes a left-footed shot but misses.
95
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
94
Attempt Attempt
Matthias Seidl takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
92
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Demir takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
91
Update Update
Rogers Mato Kassim replaces Blair Spittal.
90
Attempt Attempt
Nikolaus Wurmbrand takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Amane Romeo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bendeguz Bolla receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
On comes Laurent Mendy, and Claudio Braga goes off.
89
Attempt Attempt
Jannes Horn takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
89
Update Update
VAR decision reviewed for Yusuf Demir.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Serge Raux Yao takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
Matthias Seidl takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Pierre Kabore.
85
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Demir takes a left-footed shot but misses.
84
Attempt Attempt
Nikolaus Wurmbrand takes a right-footed shot but misses.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Demir takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision confirms the goal for Pierre Kabore.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Pierre Kabore with another body part results in a goal.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Pierre Kabore scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Blair Spittal.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card issued to Tomas Bent Magnusson.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Joshua McPake is replaced by Sabah Kerjota.
75
Attempt Attempt
Jordi Altena takes a header shot but misses.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Pierre Kabore comes on for James Wilson.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Matthias Seidl.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Update Update
Nicolas Bajlicz is on, and Tonni Adamsen is off.
66
Update Update
Nikolaus Wurmbrand is on, and Petter Nosa Dahl is off.
64
Attempt Attempt
Joshua McPake takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Attempt Attempt
Petter Nosa Dahl takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Claudio Braga Head Shot Missed
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Attempt Attempt
Claudio Braga takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Claudio Braga receives a yellow card.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Attempt Attempt
Blair Spittal takes a left-footed shot but misses.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Christian Dahle Borchgrevink comes on for Stuart Findlay.
45
Attempt Attempt
Oisin McEntee takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Joshua McPake takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Tomas Bent Magnusson.
40
Attempt Attempt
Ercan Kara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Demir takes a left-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Claudio Braga takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ercan Kara scores with a right-footed shot.
34
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Demir takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ercan Kara scores, making it 1-0.
34
Attempt Attempt
Bendeguz Bolla takes a right-footed shot but misses.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Attempt Attempt
Ercan Kara takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Tonni Adamsen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Oisin McEntee.
15
Substitution Substitution
Tomas Bent Magnusson is substituted for Tom Renaud.
10
Attempt Attempt
Ercan Kara attempts a header but misses the shot.
9
Attempt Attempt
Tonni Adamsen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Demir takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Elcin Masiyev.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw left the aggregate tied and advanced the tie on the away goals rule or further proceedings depending on competition format. SK Rapid controlled the majority of the ball and created the clearer opportunities according to expected goals metrics yet could not convert the numerical advantage after the red card into a winning margin. Hearts defended resiliently despite the reduced personnel and limited their opponents to a level scoreline. The red card introduced a structural change that influenced the flow of the second half and contributed to the final outcome diverging from the expected goals profile. Possession and chance creation favored the home side throughout but the away team maintained parity on the night.