SK Rapid vs Hartberg preview

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Allianz Stadion Wed, 22 Apr - 4:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
SK Rapid SCR
0 2
Hartberg HTB
Full Time Wed, 22 Apr 4:30 PM
Round 6 Championship Round
|
Goal
Jürgen Heil - 34'
Elias Havel - 82'

CONTEXT

SK Rapid suffered a 0-2 defeat to Hartberg at home, marking an unexpected outcome given their status as the stronger team. The match saw Rapid dominate possession with 61% compared to Hartberg's 39%, yet they failed to convert opportunities into goals. Hartberg struck first at halftime, leading 1-0, and added a second in the second half to secure the win. No red cards were issued, and there were no significant second-half adjustments noted. The result showed minimal structural deviation of 2.1% favoring Hartberg, with efficiency remaining in line with expectations. Market alignment held true, though xG data was unavailable for deeper analysis. Rapid's inability to capitalize on their territorial advantage highlighted defensive solidity from Hartberg and a lack of clinical finishing from the hosts.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal 2.1% deviation favored Hartberg.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable for alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market indications.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No significant events or adjustments impacted the match.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, so no distortion present.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Ebner
S. Ebner
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.52
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
M. Höfler
M. Höfler
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.52
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
A. Gutschi
A. Gutschi
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.52
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
D. Divkovic
D. Divkovic
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.19
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.52
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.33
SK Rapid J. Hoff Thorup
J. Hoff Thorup
VS
Hartberg M. Schmid
M. Schmid
1.41
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hartberg Rank: D
Austria Wien Rank: D
Sturm Graz Rank: L
LASK Linz Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: W
Salzburg Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Rapid Rank: D
Sturm Graz Rank: D
Salzburg Rank: L
Austria Wien Rank: L
LASK Linz Rank: D
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: D
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 6 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SK Rapid
0.2%
Draw
1.92%
Away Hartberg
97.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.32
19.73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SK Rapid
Hartberg
Power Score
29.32
19.73
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SK Rapid — Opponent-weighted form score
Hartberg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SK Rapid Hartberg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SK Rapid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hartberg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SK Rapid ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hartberg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.69
12.82
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
12.82
28.69
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
SK Rapid +1.35 Efficiency Index
vs
Hartberg -1.35 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SK Rapid
Hartberg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SK Rapid ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hartberg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SK Rapid Hartberg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SK Rapid Hartberg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
SK Rapid
Hartberg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
SK Rapid
vs
Hartberg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
SK Rapid Hartberg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
SK Rapid 0.20
Hartberg 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
SK Rapid Hartberg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
SK Rapid 0.10
Hartberg 0.00
SK Rapid
Hartberg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SCR had peak pressure around 41'.
  • SCR started the game with stronger pressure.
SCR Pressure HTB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SCR reached the top pressure at 41' (82.69).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SK Rapid SCR Home
23 matches
Hartberg HTB Away
Match Record
9
Wins
8
6
Draws
6
8
Losses
9
Goals
40
Goals Scored
34
34
Goals Conceded
40
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:02:15+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
N. Hedl
Austria
1 N. Hedl
N. Cvetković
Serbia
55 N. Cvetković
S. Raux Yao
France
6 S. Raux Yao
K. Ahoussou
Substitution
Ivory Coast
20 K. Ahoussou
B. Bolla
Hungary
77 B. Bolla
A. Romeo
Substitution
Ivory Coast
29 A. Romeo
M. Seidl
Austria
18 M. Seidl
N. Wurmbrand
Substitution
Austria
15 N. Wurmbrand
E. Kara
Austria
9 E. Kara
P. Dahl
Substitution
Norway
10 P. Dahl
A. Weimann
Austria
26 A. Weimann
T. Hülsmann
Germany
40 T. Hülsmann
H. Coulibaly
Spain
6 H. Coulibaly
L. Spendlhofer
Austria
19 L. Spendlhofer
F. Wilfinger
Austria
18 F. Wilfinger
J. Heil
Austria
28 J. Heil
B. Markuš
Slovenia
4 B. Markuš
L. Pazourek
Austria
2 L. Pazourek
L. Fridrikas
Substitution
Austria
30 L. Fridrikas
T. Kainz
Substitution
Austria
23 T. Kainz
D. Kovacevic
Substitution
Austria
95 D. Kovacevic
C. Hoffmann
Substitution
Germany
22 C. Hoffmann

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 22, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 6 · Championship Round
Stadium
Allianz Stadion
Capacity
28345
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stefan Ebner
Martin Höfler
Amina Gutschi
Davor Divkovic

Statistics

Possession
SCR
61%
HTB
39%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 3
70 Dangerous attacks 20
61 Possession 39
11 Corners 1
19 Free kicks 11
4 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 4
6 Successful Dribbles 4
11 Dribble Attempts 8
15 Throwins 10
55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
2 Goal Kicks 15
1 Penalties 0
70 Ball Safe 75
0 Injuries 4
12 Goal Attempts 6
0 Assists 2
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

139 Attacks 54
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

28 Successful Long Passes 29
89 Successful Passes Percentage 80
39 Long Passes 63
72 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46
496 Passes 330
439 Successful Passes 263
10 Key Passes 3

Defensive

7 Interceptions 6
17 Tackles 7
59 Duels Won 33
1 Saves 2

Build-up

45 Total Crosses 6
9 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 20

Lineup

Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

1
Niklas Hedl
Niklas Hedl Goalkeeper
6.84
6
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao Defender
6.88
20
Ange Ahoussou
Ange Ahoussou Defender
6.72
22
Yusuf Demir
Yusuf Demir
Attacker70'
6.56
55
Nenad Cvetkovic
Nenad Cvetkovic Defender
7.12
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
Nikolaus Wurmbrand Midfielder
6.79
17
Tobias Gulliksen
Tobias Gulliksen
Midfielder70'
6.53
18
Matthias Seidl
Matthias Seidl Midfielder
7.17
29
Romeo Amane
Romeo Amane Midfielder
6.95
90
Janis Antiste
Janis Antiste
Attacker81'
6.71
77
Bendegúz Bolla
Bendegúz Bolla Midfielder
7.08
9
Ercan Kara
Ercan Kara Attacker
6.79
10
Petter Nosa Dahl
Petter Nosa Dahl Attacker
6.76
23
Jonas Auer
Jonas Auer
Defender81'
6.78
26
Andreas Weimann
Andreas Weimann Attacker
6.66
Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

40
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann
Tom Ritzy Hülsmann Goalkeeper
6.88
6
Habib Coulibaly
Habib Coulibaly Defender
6.7
18
Fabian Wilfinger
Fabian Wilfinger Defender
7.01
19
Lukas Spendlhofer
Lukas Spendlhofer Defender
7.11
28
Jürgen Heil
Jürgen Heil Defender
6.81
2
Luca Pazourek
Luca Pazourek Midfielder
6.79
4
Benjamin Markus
Benjamin Markus Midfielder
6.79
23
Tobias Kainz
Tobias Kainz Midfielder
6.92
61
Musibau Aziz
Musibau Aziz
Attacker77'
6.61
30
Lukas Fridrikas
Lukas Fridrikas Midfielder
6.67
25
Emmanuel Ojukwu
Emmanuel Ojukwu
Defender90+2'
95
Damjan Kovacevic
Damjan Kovacevic Midfielder
6.37
33
Maximilian Hennig
Maximilian Hennig
Defender77'
6.6
22
Marco Hoffmann
Marco Hoffmann Attacker
6.59
7
Elias Havel
Elias Havel
Attacker63'
6.72

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Emmanuel Ojukwu → Lukas Fridrikas
8th Substitution
Event
Janis Antiste
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
86'
82'
Event
Elias Havel
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Tobias Gulliksen
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
81'
Event
Janis Antiste → Romeo Amane
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Jonas Auer → Petter Nosa Dahl
7th Substitution
81'
77'
Event
Maximilian Hennig → Damjan Kovacevic
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Musibau Aziz → Tobias Kainz
4th Substitution
Event
Tobias Gulliksen → Nikolaus Wurmbrand
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Yusuf Demir → Ange Ahoussou
2nd Substitution
70'
Event
Nenad Cvetkovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
66'
63'
Event
Elias Havel → Marco Hoffmann
1st Substitution
Event
Romeo Amane
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
60'
1ST-HALF
34'
Event
Jürgen Heil
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Bendegúz Bolla
OffTarget
23'

CONCLUSION

Hartberg's 0-2 victory over SK Rapid underscores the underdogs' effective counter-attacking strategy against a possession-heavy home side. Despite Rapid's 61% possession and favored status, Hartberg's clinical finishing at halftime and in the second half proved decisive. The minimal deviation and market alignment suggest the result was within plausible bounds, though absent xG data limits precision on chance quality. Rapid's failure to score despite dominance points to finishing issues, while Hartberg's resilience delivered a statement win. This outcome reinforces the importance of efficiency over mere control in determining match results.