SJ Earthquakes vs St. Louis City preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
PayPal Park Sun, 16 Aug - 2:30 AM
Major League Soccer
SJ EarthquakesSJE
St. Louis CityLOU
KICKOFF : Sun, 16 Aug - 2:30 AM
Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2026 Major League Soccer regular season SJ Earthquakes welcome St. Louis City to PayPal Park for a domestic league fixture. The home side currently occupies third place in the standings while the visitors sit seventh. SJ Earthquakes carry a narrow power advantage of 0.7 points with respective scores of 65.72 and 65.03 making them the stronger side overall. Form readings reveal a clear gap as the away team registers 28.11 against 9.56 for the hosts. Both clubs compete in a balanced league environment where small margins often decide outcomes. The encounter features two sides with distinct league positions and power profiles that set up an analytical test of current momentum and structural strengths.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SJ Earthquakes sit third in the domestic league while St. Louis City occupy seventh place.
  • Form: SJ Earthquakes post a form score of 9.56 against 28.11 for St. Louis City.
  • Squad: No detailed squad composition data is available for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence and no xG values available.
  • xVariable: SJ Earthquakes hold a power score of 65.72 compared to 65.03 for St. Louis City.
  • Market: Baseline split: SJ Earthquakes 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | St. Louis City 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SJ Earthquakes B. Arena
B. Arena
VS
St. Louis City Y. Damet
Y. Damet
1.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cincinnati Rank: 69 L
LA Galaxy Rank: 61 D
Orlando City Rank: 63 L
Portland Timbers Rank: 64 W
Dallas Rank: 67 L
Seattle Sounders Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Salt Lake Rank: 66 D
Colorado Rapids Rank: 62 W
LA Galaxy Rank: 61 W
Sporting KC Rank: 53 W
Austin Rank: 59 W
DC United Rank: 58 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.72
65.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SJ Earthquakes
St. Louis City
Power Score
65.72
65.03
League Position
3
7
Global Rank
415
443

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SJ Earthquakes — Opponent-weighted form score
St. Louis City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SJ Earthquakes St. Louis City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SJ Earthquakes SJE Home
5 matches
St. Louis City LOU Away
Match Record
1
Wins
4
0
Draws
0
4
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
6
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:20:39+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 02:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
PayPal Park
Capacity
18000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Angus Gunn
Angus Gunn Goalkeeper
6.66
7
Ousseni Bouda
Ousseni Bouda Centre Forward
6.98
18
Reid Roberts
Reid Roberts Right Back
6.94
87
Vítor Costa
Vítor Costa Right Back
6.57
5
Daniel Munie
Daniel Munie Left Back
6.96
34
Beau Leroux
Beau Leroux Defensive Midfield
7.11
28
Benji Kikanović
Benji Kikanović Left Back
6.81
14
Ronaldo Vieira
Ronaldo Vieira Defensive Midfield
6.75
20
Nick Fernandez
Nick Fernandez Right Wing
6.67
19
Preston Judd
Preston Judd Left Wing
7.18
11
Timo Werner
Timo Werner Attacking Midfield
7.36

Starting XI ▼

1
Roman Bürki
Roman Bürki Goalkeeper
6.81
14
Tomas Totland
Tomas Totland Midfielder
6.87
6
Conrad Wallem
Conrad Wallem Midfielder
6.73
77
Sang-bin Jeong
Sang-bin Jeong Attacker
6.8
11
Simon Becher
Simon Becher Centre Forward
6.83
10
Eduard Löwen
Eduard Löwen Attacker
6.92
32
Timo Baumgartl
Timo Baumgartl Centre Back
6.83
21
Dante Polvara
Dante Polvara Left Back
6.88
5
Lukas MacNaughton
Lukas MacNaughton Right Back
6.81
8
Chris Durkin
Chris Durkin Central Midfield
6.97
24
Daniel Ethan Edelman
Daniel Ethan Edelman Central Midfield
6.94

CONCLUSION

SJ Earthquakes enter the match with a modest power edge and a higher league position that could influence their approach at PayPal Park. St. Louis City bring stronger recent form readings that may allow them to challenge the hosts in open play. Limited efficiency and transition data leave room for on-field adjustments while set piece information offers little predictive value. The narrow power differential suggests a closely contested game where positional discipline and individual moments could prove decisive. Both teams will look to exploit small structural advantages in a regular season setting that rewards consistency over long periods.