SJ Earthquakes vs St. Louis City preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
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Major League Soccer
SJ EarthquakesSJE
1 3
St. Louis CityLOU
Full Time Today 2:30 AM
Regular Season
Beau Leroux - 47'
Goal
|
Goal
Simon Becher - 27', 55'

CONTEXT

Following the full time whistle in the encounter between SJ Earthquakes and St. Louis City the final score stood at 1-3. The halftime score was 0-2 with St. Louis City leading. SJ Earthquakes recorded 52 percent possession compared to 48 percent for their opponents yet generated just 0.3 expected goals against 2.49 for St. Louis City resulting in an xG differential of minus 2.19. No red cards were shown during the match. Although SJ Earthquakes were considered the stronger team beforehand the visitors secured the victory. This result stayed true to the underlying expected goals data and exhibited a significant deviation level of 100 percent linked to the away team. The efficiency shift remained in line with projections and the result aligned with market indicators.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: St. Louis City recorded a significant 100 percent deviation in the match outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The final result of 1-3 was consistent with the xG differential of -2.19.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: SJ Earthquakes generated 0.3 xG while St. Louis City generated 2.49 xG.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the flow beyond the scoring sequence.
  • Red card distortion: The absence of red cards meant no distortion from dismissals occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Freemon
J. Freemon
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
SJ Earthquakes B. Arena
B. Arena
VS
St. Louis City Y. Damet
Y. Damet
1.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cincinnati Rank: 69 L
LA Galaxy Rank: 61 D
Orlando City Rank: 63 L
Portland Timbers Rank: 63 W
Dallas Rank: 66 L
Seattle Sounders Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Salt Lake Rank: 66 D
Colorado Rapids Rank: 62 W
LA Galaxy Rank: 61 W
Sporting KC Rank: 52 W
Austin Rank: 58 W
DC United Rank: 57 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 4
4

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.72
64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SJ Earthquakes
St. Louis City
Power Score
64.72
64
League Position
3
7
Global Rank
417
447

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SJ Earthquakes — Opponent-weighted form score
St. Louis City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SJ Earthquakes St. Louis City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SJ Earthquakes

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

St. Louis City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SJ Earthquakes
vs
St. Louis City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SJ Earthquakes St. Louis City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
63%
43%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.19 vs -1.06
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SJ Earthquakes St. Louis City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
43%
63%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-1.06 vs -0.19
SJ Earthquakes
St. Louis City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
SJ Earthquakes
vs
St. Louis City
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
SJ Earthquakes St. Louis City
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
SJ Earthquakes 0.00
St. Louis City 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
SJ Earthquakes St. Louis City
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
SJ Earthquakes 0.00
St. Louis City 0.00
SJ Earthquakes
St. Louis City
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LOU had peak pressure around 9'.
  • LOU started the game with stronger pressure.
SJE Pressure LOU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LOU reached the top pressure at 9' (99.69).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SJ Earthquakes SJE Home
5 matches
St. Louis City LOU Away
Match Record
1
Wins
4
0
Draws
0
4
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
6
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-16T02:00:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 02:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
PayPal Park
Capacity
18000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jon Freemon

Statistics

Possession
SJE
49%
LOU
51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
0 Big Chances Created 4
4 Shots 6
23 Dangerous attacks 30
52 Possession 48
3 Corners 5
17 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 10
7 Substitutions 4
28 Throwins 14
0 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Successful Headers 12
0 Assists 3
25 Dribble Attempts 13
10 Successful Dribbles 8
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 62

Attacking

70 Attacks 64
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

46 Long Passes 74
449 Passes 419
380 Successful Passes 329
85 Successful Passes Percentage 79
5 Key Passes 12
20 Successful Long Passes 34
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

4 Saves 0
12 Tackles 31
12 Interceptions 13
43 Duels Won 65

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 13
5 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

1 Offsides 4
16 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Jon Freemon

Starting XI ▼

1
Angus Gunn
Angus Gunn (C) Goalkeeper
6.66
2
Jamar Ricketts
Jamar Ricketts Defender
6.74
5
Daniel Munie
Daniel Munie Defender
6.96
18
Reid Roberts
Reid Roberts Defender
6.94
28
Benji Kikanović
Benji Kikanović Defender
6.81
17
Jack Jasinski
Jack Jasinski
Defender46'
6.59
7
Ousseni Bouda
Ousseni Bouda Midfielder
6.98
16
Jack Skahan
Jack Skahan
Midfielder71'
6.54
10
Niko Tsakiris
Niko Tsakiris Midfielder
7.59
9
Luka Jovanovic
Luka Jovanovic
Attacker46'
11
Timo Werner
Timo Werner Midfielder
7.36
14
Ronaldo Vieira
Ronaldo Vieira Midfielder
6.75
6
Ian Harkes
Ian Harkes
Midfielder71'
6.67
34
Beau Leroux
Beau Leroux Midfielder
7.11
19
Preston Judd
Preston Judd Attacker
7.18
Referee : Jon Freemon

Starting XI ▼

1
Roman Bürki
Roman Bürki (C) Goalkeeper
6.81
5
Lukas MacNaughton
Lukas MacNaughton Defender
6.81
21
Dante Polvara
Dante Polvara Defender
6.88
32
Timo Baumgartl
Timo Baumgartl Defender
6.83
6
Conrad Wallem
Conrad Wallem Midfielder
6.73
99
Jaziel Orozco
Jaziel Orozco
Defender89'
6.78
8
Chris Durkin
Chris Durkin Midfielder
6.97
14
Tomas Totland
Tomas Totland Midfielder
6.87
24
Daniel Ethan Edelman
Daniel Ethan Edelman Midfielder
6.94
10
Eduard Löwen
Eduard Löwen Attacker
6.92
19
Carlo Holse
Carlo Holse
Attacker69'
6.48
11
Simon Becher
Simon Becher Attacker
2
6.83
29
Palmer Ault
Palmer Ault
Midfielder89'
6.38
77
Sang-bin Jeong
Sang-bin Jeong Attacker
6.8
23
Alexandru Mățan
Alexandru Mățan
Midfielder69'
7.02

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Palmer Ault → Simon Becher
7th Substitution
89'
Event
Jaziel Orozco → Conrad Wallem
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Tomas Totland
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Reid Roberts
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Timo Werner
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
79'
77'
Event
Conrad Wallem
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Ian Harkes → Ronaldo Vieira
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Jack Skahan → Ousseni Bouda
6th Substitution
71'
69'
Event
Carlo Holse → Eduard Löwen
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Alexandru Mățan → Sang-bin Jeong
4th Substitution
55'
Event
Simon Becher
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Beau Leroux
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
47'
Event
Jack Jasinski → Benji Kikanović
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Luka Jovanovic → Niko Tsakiris
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
27'
Event
Simon Becher
Header / 2nd Goal
8'
Event
Daniel Ethan Edelman
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

89
Update Update
On Palmer Ault，Off Simon Becher
89
Update Update
On Jaziel Orozco Landeros，Off Conrad Wallem
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
83
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Timo Baumgartl Head Shot Missed
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Reid Roberts
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Conrad Wallem
77
Corner Corner
Corner
76
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Simon Becher Right Footed Shot Saved
75
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlo Holse Left Footed Shot Missed
71
Update Update
On Ian Harkes，Off Ronaldo Vieira
71
Update Update
On Jack Skahan，Off Ousseni Bouda
69
Update Update
On Carlo Holse，Off Eduard Lowen
69
Update Update
On Alexandru Irinel Matan，Off Jeong Sang Bin
63
Update Update
Offside
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Simon Becher Right Footed Shot Saved
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Reid Roberts Head Shot Missed
58
Corner Corner
Corner
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Simon Becher Right Footed Shot Goal
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-3
52
Corner Corner
Corner
52
Corner Corner
Corner
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Simon Becher Head Shot Missed
48
Corner Corner
Corner
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Beau Leroux Right Footed Shot Goal
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-2
46
Update Update
On Jack Jasinski，Off Benjamin Kikanovic
46
Update Update
On Luka Jovanovic，Off Niko Tsakiris
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Simon Becher Left Footed Shot Missed
45
Corner Corner
Corner
43
Update Update
Offside
35
Corner Corner
Corner
33
Corner Corner
Corner
30
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Eduard Lowen Right Footed Shot Missed
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Simon Becher Head Shot Goal
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-2
26
Corner Corner
Corner
26
Corner Corner
Corner
25
Corner Corner
Corner
14
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Eduard Lowen Right Footed Shot Blocked
13
Update Update
Offside
10
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Preston Judd Head Shot Missed
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Daniel Edelman Right Footed Shot Goal
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Daniel Edelman 0-1，Assist：Conrad Wallem
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Preston Judd Right Footed Shot Blocked
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-1
1
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jeong Sang Bin Right Footed Shot Blocked
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Jon Freemon

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: SJ Earthquakes 1-3 St. Louis City. Structural assessment: St. Louis City exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.