SJ Earthquakes vs Orlando City preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
PayPal Park Thu, 23 Jul - 2:30 AM
Major League Soccer
SJ EarthquakesSJE
0 4
Orlando CityORL
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 2:30 AM
Regular Season
|
Goal
Iván Angulo - 29'
Braian Ojeda - 72'

CONTEXT

SJ Earthquakes hosted Orlando City in a match that ended 0-4. The halftime score stood at 0-2. SJ Earthquakes entered as the stronger team yet Orlando City secured the victory. Home expected goals measured 1.26 while away expected goals reached 1.37 for a differential of minus 0.11. Home possession finished at 52 percent against 48 percent for the visitors. No red cards were shown to either side. The final result proved consistent with the expected goals data and showed significant deviation favoring Orlando City. Efficiency metrics remained in line with underlying performance indicators throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Orlando City produced a significant deviation from pre-match expectations to claim the 0-4 win.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics stayed in line with the underlying performance data for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The 0-4 outcome aligned with the expected goals figures of 1.26 to 1.37.
  • Market alignment: The result remained aligned with available pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals projected a narrow away edge that Orlando City converted into a clear victory.
  • Event impact: Orlando City scored twice before halftime and added two more after the break to reach 0-4.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the match proceeded without numerical imbalances.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Arreguin
E. Arreguin
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Wienckowski
A. Wienckowski
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Nickerson
M. Nickerson
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Ford
T. Ford
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
SJ Earthquakes B. Arena
B. Arena
VS
Orlando City M. Perelman
M. Perelman
2.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.93
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Portland Timbers Rank: 61 W
Dallas Rank: 67 L
Seattle Sounders Rank: 68 L
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 72 D
Toronto Rank: 58 D
St. Louis City Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cincinnati Rank: 67 L
Atlanta United Rank: 55 D
Philadelphia Union Rank: 62 W
CF Montréal Rank: 57 L
Inter Miami Rank: 76 W
DC United Rank: 55 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.15
63.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SJ Earthquakes
Orlando City
Power Score
65.15
63.05
League Position
2
10
Global Rank
383
442

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SJ Earthquakes — Opponent-weighted form score
Orlando City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SJ Earthquakes Orlando City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

SJ Earthquakes

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Orlando City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

SJ Earthquakes ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Orlando City
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.25
35.63
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.63
26.25
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
SJ Earthquakes -0.65 Efficiency Index
vs
Orlando City +0.65 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
SJ Earthquakes
Orlando City
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

SJ Earthquakes
vs
Orlando City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
SJ Earthquakes Orlando City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
24%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs -0.33
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
SJ Earthquakes Orlando City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
24%
0%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.33 vs +0.00
SJ Earthquakes
Orlando City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
SJ Earthquakes
vs
Orlando City
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
SJ Earthquakes Orlando City
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
SJ Earthquakes 0.21
Orlando City 0.36
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
SJ Earthquakes Orlando City
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
SJ Earthquakes 0.10
Orlando City 0.00
SJ Earthquakes
Orlando City
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ORL had peak pressure around 15'.
  • ORL started the game with stronger pressure.
SJE Pressure ORL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ORL reached the top pressure at 15' (79.56).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SJ Earthquakes SJE Home
1 matches
Orlando City ORL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-24T00:02:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 02:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
PayPal Park
Capacity
18000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Elijio Arreguin
Adam Wienckowski
Michael Nickerson
Timothy Ford

Statistics

Possession
SJE
51%
ORL
49%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 4
1 Big Chances Created 4
3 Shots 5
53 Dangerous attacks 42
52 Possession 48
3 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 20
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

64 Ball Safe 68
9 Goal Kicks 7
9 Goal Attempts 12
5 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 16
1 Hit Woodwork 0
8 Successful Headers 4
0 Assists 4
0 Injuries 3
21 Dribble Attempts 13
7 Successful Dribbles 8
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 62

Attacking

109 Attacks 93
1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

52 Long Passes 52
418 Passes 408
339 Successful Passes 319
81 Successful Passes Percentage 78
8 Key Passes 13
31 Successful Long Passes 17
60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33

Defensive

4 Saves 7
15 Tackles 23
5 Interceptions 16
40 Duels Won 54

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 7
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

7 Offsides 5
20 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Elijio Arreguin

Starting XI ▼

1
Angus Gunn
Angus Gunn Goalkeeper
6.14
2
Jamar Ricketts
Jamar Ricketts Defender
5.43
3
Paul Marie
Paul Marie
Defender74'
6.42
5
Daniel Munie
Daniel Munie Defender
6.56
18
Reid Roberts
Reid Roberts Defender
6.22
28
Benji Kikanović
Benji Kikanović Defender
6.11
7
Ousseni Bouda
Ousseni Bouda Midfielder
6.93
11
Timo Werner
Timo Werner Midfielder
5.99
79
Darius Johnson
Darius Johnson
Attacker74'
6.41
14
Ronaldo Vieira
Ronaldo Vieira (C) Midfielder
6.43
40
Jonathan González
Jonathan González
Midfielder81'
6.52
20
Nick Fernandez
Nick Fernandez Midfielder
6.52
16
Jack Skahan
Jack Skahan
Midfielder46'
6.06
34
Beau Leroux
Beau Leroux Midfielder
7.22
6
Ian Harkes
Ian Harkes
Midfielder86'
19
Preston Judd
Preston Judd Attacker
6.24
Referee : Elijio Arreguin

Starting XI ▼

71
Maxime Crépeau
Maxime Crépeau Goalkeeper
8.29
3
Adrián Marín
Adrián Marín Defender
6.51
44
Bernardo Goncalves
Bernardo Goncalves
Attacker79'
6.74
4
David Brekalo
David Brekalo Defender
8.04
6
Robin Jansson
Robin Jansson (C) Defender
6.71
24
Griffin Dorsey
Griffin Dorsey Defender
7.34
8
Braian Ojeda
Braian Ojeda Midfielder
8.19
11
Tiago
Tiago Midfielder
6.89
14
Tyrese Spicer
Tyrese Spicer
Attacker59'
5.92
20
Eduard Atuesta
Eduard Atuesta Midfielder
8.42
5
Luis Otávio
Luis Otávio
Midfielder79'
6.68
77
Iván Angulo
Iván Angulo Midfielder
7.6
23
Harvey Sarajian
Harvey Sarajian
Attacker79'
6.8
7
Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann Attacker
8.03
22
Justin Ellis
Justin Ellis Attacker
7.37
19
Zakaria Taifi
Zakaria Taifi
Midfielder84'
6.74

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Daniel Munie
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Ian Harkes → Beau Leroux
10th Substitution
86'
84'
Event
Zakaria Taifi → Justin Ellis
9th Substitution
Event
Jonathan González → Ronaldo Vieira
8th Substitution
81'
80'
Event
Harvey Sarajian
Simulation / 5th Yellowcard
79'
Event
Luis Otávio → Eduard Atuesta
5th Substitution
79'
Event
Bernardo Goncalves → Adrián Marín
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Harvey Sarajian → Iván Angulo
7th Substitution
Event
Darius Johnson → Timo Werner
3rd Substitution
74'
Event
Paul Marie → Jamar Ricketts
4th Substitution
74'
72'
Event
Braian Ojeda
Header / 4th Goal
Event
Preston Judd
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
67'
59'
Event
Tyrese Spicer → Tiago
2nd Substitution
Event
Ronaldo Vieira
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
52'
48'
Event
Antoine Griezmann
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Jack Skahan → Nick Fernandez
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Timo Werner
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+1'
36'
Event
Eduard Atuesta
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
29'
Event
Iván Angulo
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
7'
Event
David Brekalo
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Attempt Attempt
Left-footed shot saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Alexander Gonzalez Mendoza takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Update Update
Offside.
90
Update Update
Offside.
87
Update Update
Offside.
86
Update Update
Ian Harkes is on, and Beau Leroux is off.
86
Attempt Attempt
Tyrese Spicer takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
84
Update Update
Zakaria Taifi replaces Justin Ellis.
82
Attempt Attempt
Ousseni Bouda takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
81
Update Update
Jonathan Alexander Gonzalez Mendoza is on, and Ronaldo Vieira is off.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
79
Update Update
Harvey Sarajian comes on for Iván Angulo.
79
Substitution Substitution
Luis Otavio is substituted off for Eduard Andres Atuesta Velasco.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
74
Update Update
Darius Johnson comes on for Timo Werner.
74
Substitution Substitution
Paul Marie is substituted for Jamar Ricketts.
74
Attempt Attempt
Ousseni Bouda takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Braian Oscar Ojeda Rodriguez scores, making it 0-4.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Braian Oscar Ojeda Rodriguez takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-4.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
63
Attempt Attempt
Tyrese Spicer takes a left-footed shot but misses.
60
Update Update
Tyrese Spicer comes on for Tiago.
57
Attempt Attempt
Timo Werner takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
57
Attempt Attempt
Jack Skahan takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Attempt Attempt
Timo Werner's right-footed shot is saved.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Antoine Griezmann scores with a left-footed shot.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-3.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Jack Skahan is on, and Nick Fernandez is off.
46
Update Update
Offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Justin Ellis takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
42
Update Update
Offside.
42
Attempt Attempt
Beau Leroux takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
38
Attempt Attempt
Beau Leroux takes a left-footed shot but misses.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Iván Angulo with his right foot results in a goal.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Iván Angulo scores to make it 0-2, assisted by Eduard Andres Atuesta Velasco.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Update Update
Offside.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
25
Attempt Attempt
Ousseni Bouda takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Beau Leroux takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
17
Attempt Attempt
Braian Oscar Ojeda Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Tiago takes a shot with his head but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Tiago takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
13
Attempt Attempt
Tiago takes a left-footed shot but misses.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
David Brekalo takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
5
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Griezmann takes a left-footed shot but misses.
4
Update Update
Offside.
2
Attempt Attempt
Ousseni Bouda takes a left-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Elijio Arreguin.

CONCLUSION

Orlando City overcame the designation of SJ Earthquakes as the stronger side through superior finishing and sustained pressure. The 0-4 scoreline reflected the narrow expected goals margin while possession stayed nearly balanced. Halftime lead of 0-2 allowed Orlando City to control the second period without major adjustments. Absence of red cards kept both teams at full strength for the duration. The outcome matched the expected goals projection and confirmed the significant deviation recorded for the visitors. SJ Earthquakes generated limited clear chances despite holding a slight possession edge. Orlando City converted opportunities efficiently to secure the result on the road.