Sirius vs Mjällby preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Studenternas IP Fri, 3 Jul - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Sirius SIR
4 – 4
Mjällby Mjällby
Full Time Fri, 3 Jul 5:00 PM
Round 11 Regular Season
Robbie Ure - 14', 46', 50', 69'
Goal
|
Goal
Áki Samuelsen - 56', 65'
Ludvig Svanberg - 81'
Tom Pettersson - 90+1'

CONTEXT

The match between Sirius and Mjällby ended in a thrilling 4-4 draw after ninety minutes of action. Sirius took the lead in the first half and went into the break ahead by one goal to nil. Mjällby responded strongly after the interval to equalize and push for more. Possession was held more by the visitors at fifty seven percent while the hosts managed forty three percent. Expected goals stood at two point four for Sirius and one point six for Mjällby. The stronger team designation went to Mjällby prior to kickoff but the draw meant neither side claimed victory. No dismissals occurred during the game which allowed both teams to maintain full strength on the pitch. The outcome deviated notably from some projections but delivered an entertaining spectacle for observers.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sirius 4-4 Mjällby. Mjällby showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the overall performance metrics for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The final result did not align with the expected goals as Sirius outperformed their xG of 2.4 while Mjällby exceeded 1.6.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with market expectations despite the high deviation level.
  • xG expectations: Sirius generated 2.4 expected goals compared to Mjällby's 1.6 in a match that ended level.
  • Event impact: The draw represented a notable event impact given the stronger designation for Mjällby.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in zero distortion from disciplinary events.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Ladebäck
A. Ladebäck
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Yng
D. Yng
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Sjöberg
A. Sjöberg
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Ben Ahmed Nehdi
F. Ben Ahmed Nehdi
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sirius A. Engelmark
A. Engelmark
VS
Mjällby Karl Marius Aksum
Karl Marius Aksum
2.8
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
AIK Rank: 60 W
GAIS Rank: 62 W
Djurgården Rank: 66 W
Örgryte Rank: 42 W
Kalmar Rank: 52 W
Häcken Rank: 61 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 D
Elfsborg Rank: 58 D
Häcken Rank: 61 L
Degerfors Rank: 47 W
Malmö FF Rank: 64 W
Halmstad Rank: 46 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sirius
0%
Draw
0%
Away Mjällby
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.44
68.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sirius
Mjällby
Power Score
67.44
68.79
League Position
1
10
Global Rank
301
264

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score
Mjällby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sirius Mjällby

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sirius

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Mjällby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sirius ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mjällby
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
53.26
38.95
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.95
53.26
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sirius +1.48 Efficiency Index
vs
Mjällby -1.48 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sirius
Mjällby
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sirius
vs
Mjällby
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sirius Mjällby
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
10%
35%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.23 vs -0.55
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sirius Mjällby
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
35%
10%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.55 vs -0.23
Sirius
Mjällby
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sirius
vs
Mjällby
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sirius Mjällby
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sirius 0.55
Mjällby 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sirius Mjällby
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sirius 0.06
Mjällby 0.11
Sirius
Mjällby
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIR had peak pressure around 65'.
  • Mjällby started the game with stronger pressure.
SIR Pressure Mjällby Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIR reached the top pressure at 65' (63.12).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sirius SIR Home
4 matches
Mjällby Mjällby Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
5
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
5
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:49:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
D. Celic
Sweden
34 D. Celic
V. Ekström
Sweden
20 V. Ekström
H. Castegren
Sweden
5 (C) H. Castegren
S. Sandberg
Sweden
15 S. Sandberg
O. Krusnell
Sweden
22 O. Krusnell
M. Heier
Sweden
10 M. Heier
M. Lindberg
Denmark
6 M. Lindberg
O. Adindu
Substitution
25 O. Adindu
V. Svensson
Substitution
Denmark
24 V. Svensson
I. Bjerkebo
Substitution
Sweden
11 I. Bjerkebo
R. Ure
Scotland
9 R. Ure
R. Wallinder
Sweden
13 R. Wallinder
L. Tidstrand
Substitution
Sweden
27 L. Tidstrand
A. Iqbal
Substitution
Pakistan
5 A. Iqbal
T. Miettinen
Finland
33 T. Miettinen
Á. Samuelsen
Faroe Islands
23 Á. Samuelsen
V. Gustafsson
Substitution
Sweden
7 V. Gustafsson
J. Gustavsson
Sweden
22 (C) J. Gustavsson
W. Granath
Substitution
Sweden
14 W. Granath
A. Manneh
19 A. Manneh
J. Kjaer
Substitution
Denmark
10 J. Kjaer
J. Bergström
Sweden
18 J. Bergström

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 03, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Studenternas IP
Capacity
10000
Attendance
9349
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Adam Ladebäck
Daniel Yng
Anton Sjöberg
Farouk Ben Ahmed Nehdi

Statistics

Possession
SIR
45%
Mjällby
55%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 4
4 Big Chances Created 3
7 Shots 8
38 Dangerous attacks 64
43 Possession 57
9 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 7
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

70 Ball Safe 61
11 Goal Kicks 13
11 Goal Attempts 13
3 Substitutions 5
13 Throwins 14
1 Hit Woodwork 0
4 Assists 3
20 Dribble Attempts 26
10 Successful Dribbles 14
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 54

Attacking

80 Attacks 139
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

64 Long Passes 44
373 Passes 505
297 Successful Passes 428
80 Successful Passes Percentage 85
14 Key Passes 12
24 Successful Long Passes 22
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50

Defensive

4 Saves 3
20 Tackles 13
14 Interceptions 6
55 Duels Won 48

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 14
5 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

7 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
5.77
5
Henrik Castegren
Henrik Castegren (C) Defender
6.71
15
Simon Sandberg
Simon Sandberg Defender
5.96
20
Victor Ekstrom
Victor Ekstrom Defender
6.14
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Defender
6.64
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Midfielder
6.93
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Midfielder
6.93
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Midfielder
6.95
8
Matthias Nartey
Matthias Nartey
Midfielder87'
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson Midfielder
6.51
21
Charlie Nildén
Charlie Nildén
Midfielder70'
6.32
25
Odera Samuel Adindu
Odera Samuel Adindu Midfielder
8.03
35
Elliot Eld
Elliot Eld
Defender90'
9
Robbie Ure
Robbie Ure Attacker
4
9.72
Referee : Adam Ladebäck

Starting XI ▼

13
Robin Wallinder
Robin Wallinder Goalkeeper
6.5
5
Abdullah Iqbal
Abdullah Iqbal Defender
6.14
24
Tom Pettersson
Tom Pettersson
Defender71'
7.7
27
Ludvig Tidstrand
Ludvig Tidstrand Defender
5.96
2
Ludvig Svanberg
Ludvig Svanberg
Defender57'
6.92
33
Tony Miettinen
Tony Miettinen Defender
6.62
7
Viktor Gustafson
Viktor Gustafson Midfielder
6.82
8
Teo Helge
Teo Helge
Midfielder57'
6.69
14
Villiam Granath
Villiam Granath Midfielder
7.04
25
Max Nielsen
Max Nielsen
Defender57'
6.77
22
Jesper Gustavsson
Jesper Gustavsson (C) Midfielder
6.73
23
Áki Samuelsen
Áki Samuelsen Midfielder
2
8.26
10
Jeppe Kjær
Jeppe Kjær Attacker
7.03
15
Bork Bang-Kittilsen
Bork Bang-Kittilsen
Attacker77'
6.66
18
Jacob Bergström
Jacob Bergström Attacker
6.53
19
Abdoulie Manneh
Abdoulie Manneh Attacker
7.46

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Tom Pettersson
Left foot shot / 8th Goal
Event
Elliot Eld → Odera Samuel Adindu
8th Substitution
90'
Event
Matthias Nartey → Isak Bjerkebo
7th Substitution
87'
81'
Event
Ludvig Svanberg
Left foot shot / 7th Goal
77'
Event
Bork Bang-Kittilsen → Jeppe Kjær
6th Substitution
71'
Event
Tom Pettersson → Abdullah Iqbal
5th Substitution
Event
Charlie Nildén → Victor Svensson
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Robbie Ure
Left foot shot / 6th Goal
69'
65'
Event
Áki Samuelsen
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
57'
Event
Teo Helge → Viktor Gustafson
1st Substitution
57'
Event
Max Nielsen → Villiam Granath
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
Ludvig Svanberg → Ludvig Tidstrand
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Áki Samuelsen
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Robbie Ure
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
50'
49'
Event
Jesper Gustavsson 
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Robbie Ure
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Robbie Ure
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
14'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Charlie Nilden takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Charlie Nilden takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Tom Pettersson with his left foot results in a goal.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 4-4.
90
Update Update
Elliot Eld is on, and Odera Samuel Adindu is off.
87
Update Update
Matthias Nartey comes on for Isak Bjerkebo.
86
Update Update
Matthias Nartey comes on for Isak Bjerkebo.
86
Attempt Attempt
Bork Classonn Bang-Kittilsen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ludvig Svanberg scores with a left-footed shot.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ludvig Svanberg scores, making it 4-3.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Attempt Attempt
Max Nielsen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
77
Update Update
On Bork Classonn Bang-Kittilsen, off Jeppe Kjaer.
71
Update Update
Tom Pettersson is on, and Abdullah Iqbal is off.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Charlie Nilden comes on for Victor Svensson.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robbie Ure takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 4-2.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Aki Samuelsen scores with a right-footed shot.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Aki Samuelsen scores to make it 3-2, assisted by Max Nielsen.
63
Attempt Attempt
Odera Samuel Adindu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Tony Miettinen takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Aki Samuelsen scores, making it 3-2.
61
Attempt Attempt
Tony Miettinen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
Attempt Attempt
Victor Svensson's right-footed shot is saved.
57
Substitution Substitution
Max Nielsen is substituted for Villiam Granath.
57
Update Update
Teo Helge is on, and Jesper Gustavsson is off.
57
Update Update
On Ludvig Svanberg, off Ludvig Tidstrand.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Aki Samuelsen scores, making it 3-1.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Aki Samuelsen scores with a right-footed shot.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robbie Ure takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Robbie Ure scores to make it 3-0, assisted by Odera Samuel Adindu.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Robbie Ure scores, making it 3-0.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-0.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Jesper Gustavsson.
47
Attempt Attempt
Villiam Granath takes a left-footed shot but misses.
46
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robbie Ure scores with a left-footed shot.
46
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Ludvig Tidstrand takes a left-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Abdoulie Manneh takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Tony Miettinen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Attempt Attempt
Aki Samuelsen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Attempt Attempt
Abdoulie Manneh takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ludvig Tidstrand Head Shot Missed
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robbie Ure takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Robbie Ure scores to make it 1-0.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Gustafsson takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Gustafsson takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
4
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Attempt Attempt
Odera Samuel Adindu takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Adam Ladeback.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sirius 4-4 Mjällby. Structural assessment: Mjällby exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.