Sirius vs IFK Göteborg preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Studenternas IP Today - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Sirius SIR
4 1
IFK Göteborg GOT
Full Time Today 12:00 PM
Round 14 Regular Season
Mohamed Soumah - 6'
Robbie Ure - 23'
Marcus Lindberg - 71'
August Ljungberg - 83'
Goal
|
Goal
Sam Larsson - 45' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Sirius and IFK Göteborg concluded with a 4-1 scoreline in favor of the home team. Halftime saw Sirius leading 2-1. Sirius recorded an expected goals total of 2.12 against 1.49 for IFK Göteborg. This created an xG differential of 0.63. Possession statistics showed Sirius at 44 percent and IFK Göteborg at 56 percent. Neither team received any red cards throughout the game. Sirius was identified as the stronger team and indeed emerged victorious. The final result aligned with the xG projections as the outcome was consistent with expected goals. A significant deviation of 100 percent was noted for Sirius. The efficiency shift occurred in line with established patterns. Market alignment held true for the result. No second half adjustments were recorded in the data set. Event impacts remained standard without additional distortions.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sirius 4-1 IFK Göteborg. Sirius showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with established patterns.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was consistent with the xG differential of 0.63.
  • Market alignment: The result was aligned with market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Sirius posted 2.12 xG against 1.49 for IFK Göteborg.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the match beyond the goals.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Johnson
O. Johnson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
F. Klyver
F. Klyver
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Gergess
A. Gergess
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Al Hakim
M. Al Hakim
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sirius A. Engelmark
A. Engelmark
VS
IFK Göteborg S. Billborn
S. Billborn
2.69
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg Rank: 58 W
Brommapojkarna Rank: 53 W
Mjällby Rank: 68 D
AIK Rank: 62 W
GAIS Rank: 63 W
Djurgården Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: 52 W
Malmö FF Rank: 63 L
AIK Rank: 56 L
Västerås SK Rank: 54 W
Mjällby Rank: 69 D
Örgryte Rank: 43 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sirius
0%
Draw
0%
Away IFK Göteborg
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.3
57.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sirius
IFK Göteborg
Power Score
69.3
57.22
League Position
1
13
Global Rank
283
638

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score
IFK Göteborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sirius IFK Göteborg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sirius

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

IFK Göteborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sirius
vs
IFK Göteborg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sirius IFK Göteborg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
8%
53%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.17 vs +0.21
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sirius IFK Göteborg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
53%
8%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.21 vs -0.17
Sirius
IFK Göteborg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sirius
vs
IFK Göteborg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sirius IFK Göteborg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sirius 0.00
IFK Göteborg 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sirius IFK Göteborg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sirius 0.00
IFK Göteborg 0.00
Sirius
IFK Göteborg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIR had peak pressure around 56'.
  • SIR started the game with stronger pressure.
SIR Pressure GOT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIR reached the top pressure at 56' (74.42).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sirius SIR Home
4 matches
IFK Göteborg GOT Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
4
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T12:00:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
D. Celic
Sweden
34 D. Celic
H. Castegren
Sweden
5 (C) H. Castegren
M. Soumah
Guinea
2 M. Soumah
T. Anker
Denmark
4 T. Anker
V. Ekström
Substitution
Sweden
20 V. Ekström
M. Heier
Substitution
Sweden
10 M. Heier
M. Lindberg
Denmark
6 M. Lindberg
O. Adindu
Substitution
25 O. Adindu
C. Nildén
Substitution
Sweden
21 C. Nildén
I. Bjerkebo
Sweden
11 I. Bjerkebo
R. Ure
Scotland
9 R. Ure
V. Andersson
Sweden
12 V. Andersson
I. Seidu
Substitution
28 I. Seidu
H. Hermannsson
Substitution
Iceland
6 H. Hermannsson
R. Yeboah
Ghana
4 R. Yeboah
A. Erlingmark
Sweden
3 (C) A. Erlingmark
S. Larsson
Substitution
Sweden
8 S. Larsson
D. Kjær Kruse
Denmark
15 D. Kjær Kruse
K. Thordarson
Substitution
Iceland
23 K. Thordarson
T. Heintz
Norway
14 T. Heintz
A. Bergmark-Wiberg
Sweden
29 A. Bergmark-Wiberg
S. Clemmensen
Substitution
Denmark
7 S. Clemmensen

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 14 · Regular Season
Stadium
Studenternas IP
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oscar Johnson
Fredrik Klyver
Abdelmasih Gergess
Mohammed Al Hakim

Statistics

Possession
SIR
45%
GOT
55%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
1 Shots 5
34 Dangerous attacks 57
44 Possession 56
4 Corners 4
16 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

44 Ball Safe 68
0 Penalties 1
8 Goal Kicks 6
3 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 5
13 Throwins 19
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 0
15 Dribble Attempts 14
4 Successful Dribbles 7
27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

70 Attacks 104
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

48 Long Passes 52
442 Passes 565
387 Successful Passes 490
88 Successful Passes Percentage 87
6 Key Passes 9
27 Successful Long Passes 28
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54

Defensive

3 Saves 3
15 Tackles 15
9 Interceptions 7
40 Duels Won 35

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 12
1 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

5 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI ▼

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Mohamed Soumah
Mohamed Soumah Defender
7.11
4
Tobias Anker
Tobias Anker Defender
7.17
5
Henrik Castegren
Henrik Castegren (C) Defender
7.04
20
Victor Ekstrom
Victor Ekstrom Defender
7.13
15
Simon Sandberg
Simon Sandberg
Defender74'
6.56
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Midfielder
7.28
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Midfielder
6.94
18
Adam Wikman
Adam Wikman
Midfielder88'
6.78
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Midfielder
7.35
21
Charlie Nildén
Charlie Nildén Midfielder
6.54
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson
Midfielder60'
6.83
25
Odera Samuel Adindu
Odera Samuel Adindu Midfielder
6.98
36
August Ljungberg
August Ljungberg
Attacker74'
6.55
9
Robbie Ure
Robbie Ure Attacker
7.72
Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI ▼

12
Viktor Andersson
Viktor Andersson Goalkeeper
6.36
3
August Erlingmark
August Erlingmark (C) Defender
6.87
4
Rockson Yeboah
Rockson Yeboah Defender
6.83
6
Hjörtur Hermannsson
Hjörtur Hermannsson Defender
6.29
17
Alexander Jallow
Alexander Jallow
Defender54'
6.73
28
Issaka Seidu
Issaka Seidu Defender
6.04
22
Noah Tolf
Noah Tolf
Defender66'
6.84
8
Sam Larsson
Sam Larsson Midfielder
6.99
21
Leo Radakovic
Leo Radakovic
Midfielder79'
6.67
15
David Kruse
David Kruse Midfielder
6.92
23
Kolbeinn Thórdarson
Kolbeinn Thórdarson Midfielder
6.42
16
Filip Ottosson
Filip Ottosson
Midfielder54'
6.72
7
Sebastian Clemmensen
Sebastian Clemmensen Attacker
7.1
11
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Attacker66'
6.77
14
Tobias Heintz
Tobias Heintz Attacker
7.6
29
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg
Adam Bergmark-Wiberg Attacker
6.94

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Adam Wikman → Melker Heier
9th Substitution
88'
87'
Event
Leo Radakovic
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
August Ljungberg
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
83'
79'
Event
Leo Radakovic → Sam Larsson
8th Substitution
77'
Event
David Kruse
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
August Ljungberg → Odera Samuel Adindu
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Simon Sandberg → Victor Ekstrom
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Marcus Lindberg
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
71'
66'
Event
Saidou Alioum Moubarak → Sebastian Clemmensen
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Noah Tolf → Issaka Seidu
5th Substitution
Event
Victor Svensson → Charlie Nildén
3rd Substitution
60'
54'
Event
Alexander Jallow → Hjörtur Hermannsson
1st Substitution
54'
Event
Filip Ottosson → Kolbeinn Thórdarson
2nd Substitution
53'
Event
Tobias Heintz
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Sam Larsson
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Robbie Ure
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
23'
Event
Melker Heier
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
19'
19'
Event
Kolbeinn Thórdarson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Mohamed Soumah
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
6'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Isak Bjerkebo Right Footed Shot Saved
88
Update Update
On Adam Wikman，Off Melker Heier
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
85
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tobias Heintz Head Shot Missed
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - August Ljungberg Left Footed Shot Goal
83
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Isak Bjerkebo Right Footed Shot Saved
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - August Ljungberg 4-1
82
Attempt Attempt
Shot - David Kjaer Kruse Right Footed Shot Saved
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 4-1
79
Update Update
On Leo Radakovic，Off Sam Larsson
78
Update Update
On Leo Radakovic，Off Sam Larsson
78
Update Update
On Leo Radakovic，Off Sam Larsson
78
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Isak Bjerkebo Right Footed Shot Blocked
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
76
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Sam Larsson Right Footed Shot Missed
74
Update Update
On Simon Sandberg，Off Victor Ekstrom
74
Update Update
On August Ljungberg，Off Odera Samuel Adindu
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Marcus Lindberg Right Footed Shot Goal
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Marcus Lindberg 3-1
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tobias Heintz Right Footed Shot Blocked
69
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Adam Bergmark-Wiberg Right Footed Shot Missed
66
Update Update
On Saidou Alioum，Off Sebastian Clemmensen
66
Update Update
On Noah Tolf，Off Issaka Seidu
64
Corner Corner
Corner
60
Update Update
On Victor Svensson，Off Charlie Nilden
58
Update Update
On Victor Svensson，Off Charlie Nilden
55
Corner Corner
Corner
55
Update Update
On Alexander Jallow，Off Hjortur Hermannsson
54
Update Update
On Alexander Jallow，Off Hjortur Hermannsson
53
Update Update
On Filip Ottosson，Off Kolbeinn Thórdarson
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
48
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Odera Samuel Adindu Right Footed Shot Blocked
48
Corner Corner
Corner
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tobias Heintz Right Footed Shot Missed
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Sam Larsson Right Footed Shot Goal
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty - Sam Larsson 2-1
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-1
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Odera Samuel Adindu Right Footed Shot Missed
41
Corner Corner
Corner
40
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Sam Larsson Right Footed Shot Saved
40
Corner Corner
Corner
30
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tobias Anker Right Footed Shot Blocked
30
Corner Corner
Corner
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Robbie Ure Right Footed Shot Goal
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Robbie Ure 2-0
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Kolbeinn Thórdarson
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Melker Heier
18
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Sebastian Clemmensen Left Footed Shot Saved
18
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tobias Heintz Right Footed Shot Post
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Mohamed Soumah Right Footed Shot Goal
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
6
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Oscar Johnson

CONCLUSION

The 4-1 win for Sirius over IFK Göteborg reflected strong consistency between the observed result and the underlying xG data. Sirius maintained a 2-1 halftime advantage that carried through to the final score without requiring extensive second half changes. Lower possession at 44 percent did not prevent the home side from outperforming the xG projection of 2.12. IFK Göteborg held 56 percent possession yet managed only 1.49 xG and one goal. With no red cards present the match structure remained intact throughout. The significant deviation for Sirius occurred alongside true market alignment and an efficiency shift that stayed in line. This outcome confirmed that xG expectations can accurately indicate the winner when event impacts stay minimal.