Sirius vs Häcken preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Studenternas IP
Allsvenskan
Full Time
Round 18 Regular Season
|
Goal
G. Lindgren - 62', 80'

CONTEXT

In a surprising turn of events, Sirius fell to a 0-3 defeat against Häcken at home. The halftime score stood at 0-1, setting the tone for the second half where the visitors pulled away decisively. Sirius managed a low 0.57 in expected goals while Häcken registered 1.27, reflecting the true nature of their dominance on the pitch. With possession at 47 percent for the hosts and 53 percent for the away team, Häcken dictated the tempo effectively. The stronger team label for Sirius did not translate into results as the visitors secured a comfortable win. No red cards were shown to either side, allowing for a full complement of players throughout. The significant deviation by Häcken underscored their superior execution and clinical finishing in key moments of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Häcken showed significant deviation by securing a 3-0 victory.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the expected performance levels.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned with the xG values of 0.57 for Sirius and 1.27 for Häcken.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations pointed to an away win given the differential of -0.7.
  • Event impact: The halftime score of 0-1 influenced the second half dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red card distortion occurred with zero red cards in the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Johnson
O. Johnson
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Klitte-Lundgren
M. Klitte-Lundgren
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Svensson
A. Svensson
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Forsberg
O. Forsberg
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
2.47
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.65
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: 66 L
Brommapojkarna Rank: 53 D
Halmstad Rank: 49 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 56 W
Elfsborg Rank: 60 W
Brommapojkarna Rank: 53 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: 45 W
Hammarby Rank: 70 L
Kalmar Rank: 58 D
AIK Rank: 61 D
Halmstad Rank: 44 W
Örgryte Rank: 44 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.62
62.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sirius
Häcken
Power Score
66.62
62.54
League Position
1
3
Global Rank
339
471

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sirius Opponent-weighted form score
Häcken Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sirius Häcken

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Sirius

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Häcken

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sirius ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Häcken
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.53
26.51
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.51
25.53
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sirius -0.10 Efficiency Index
vs
Häcken +0.10 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sirius
Häcken
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sirius
vs
Häcken
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sirius Häcken
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
18%
16%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.11 vs -0.20
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sirius Häcken
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
16%
18%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.20 vs -0.11
Sirius
Häcken
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Sirius
vs
Häcken
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sirius Häcken
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sirius Häcken
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Sirius
Häcken
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAC had peak pressure around 61'.
  • SIR started the game with stronger pressure.
SIR Pressure HAC Pressure
Pressure Index: HAC reached the top pressure at 61' (88.61).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sirius SIR Home
5 matches
Häcken HAC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
5
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-22T00:00:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 18 · Regular Season
Stadium
Studenternas IP
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oscar Johnson
Marcus Klitte-Lundgren
Andreas Svensson
Oscar Forsberg

Statistics

Possession
SIR
48%
HAC
52%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
0 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 6
60 Dangerous attacks 41
47 Possession 53
4 Corners 7
10 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

57 Ball Safe 70
10 Goal Kicks 8
2 Goal Attempts 7
4 Substitutions 3
11 Throwins 19
0 Assists 3
6 Dribble Attempts 11
3 Successful Dribbles 3
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27

Attacking

103 Attacks 92

Possession

49 Long Passes 48
476 Passes 568
405 Successful Passes 497
85 Successful Passes Percentage 88
7 Key Passes 10
19 Successful Long Passes 23
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48

Defensive

1 Saves 3
24 Tackles 7
6 Interceptions 8
39 Duels Won 30

Build-up

30 Total Crosses 14
7 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
6.03
2
Mohamed Soumah
Mohamed Soumah Defender
6.5
4
Tobias Anker
Tobias Anker Defender
6.35
5
Henrik Castegren
6.43
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Midfielder
6.99
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Midfielder
6.92
15
Simon Sandberg
Simon Sandberg
Defender82'
6.43
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Midfielder
7.31
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson Midfielder
6.89
21
Charlie Nildén
Charlie Nildén
Midfielder74'
6.38
7
Joakim Persson
Joakim Persson Attacker
6.43
36
August Ljungberg
August Ljungberg
Attacker73'
6.58
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Attacker
6.45
19
Noel Milleskog
Noel Milleskog Attacker
6.59
25
Odera Samuel Adindu
6.54
Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI

99
Etrit Berisha
Etrit Berisha Goalkeeper
7.39
5
Brice Wembangomo
Brice Wembangomo Defender
6.82
15
Leo Väisänen
Leo Väisänen Defender
6.83
23
Olle Samuelsson
Olle Samuelsson
Defender87'
21
Adam Lundkvist
Adam Lundkvist Defender
6.76
22
Filip Helander
Filip Helander Defender
7.5
6
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Abdoulaye Doumbia Midfielder
6.97
10
Mikkel Rygaard
Mikkel Rygaard (C) Midfielder
7.43
14
Markus Haaland
Markus Haaland
Midfielder82'
6.43
11
Julius Lindberg
Julius Lindberg Midfielder
8.15
19
David Seger
David Seger Midfielder
7.19
20
Adrian Svanbäck
Adrian Svanbäck Midfielder
7.09
9
G. Lindgren
G. Lindgren Attacker
2
8.13

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Olle Samuelsson Leo Väisänen
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Bamir Sadiku Adrian Svanbäck
6th Substitution
Event
Simon Sandberg Melker Heier
5th Substitution
82'
82'
Event
Markus Haaland Mikkel Rygaard
4th Substitution
80'
Event
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
78'
Event
Charlie Nildén Victor Svensson
3rd Substitution
74'
Event
August Ljungberg Joakim Persson
2nd Substitution
73'
64'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
62'
Event
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Odera Samuel Adindu Noel Milleskog
1st Substitution
56'
1ST-HALF
28'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
7'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
August Ljungberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
August Ljungberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
87
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 0-3.
86
Attempt Attempt
Odera Samuel Adindu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Update Update
Bamir Sadiku comes on for Adrian Svanback.
84
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Lindberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
82
Update Update
On comes Simon Sandberg, off goes Melker Heier.
82
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Lindberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Gustav Lindgren scores with a right-footed shot.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-3.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Mohamed Soumah.
73
Attempt Attempt
Mikkel Rygaard Jensen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
73
Update Update
On comes Charlie Nilden, off goes Victor Svensson.
73
Update Update
On, August Ljungberg; Off, Joakim Persson.
65
Attempt Attempt
Mikkel Rygaard Jensen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Henrik Castegren's right-footed shot is saved.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Gustav Lindgren scores with a right-footed shot.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
56
Update Update
Odera Samuel Adindu is on, and Noel Milleskog is off.
52
Update Update
Odera Samuel Adindu replaces Noel Milleskog.
52
Attempt Attempt
Filip Helander attempts a header but misses the shot.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Update Update
Marcus Lindberg's header is blocked.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Lindberg takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Attempt Attempt
Noel Milleskog attempts a header but misses the shot.
38
Attempt Attempt
Melker Heier takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
35
Attempt Attempt
David Seger takes a left-footed shot but misses.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Attempt Attempt
David Seger takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Julius Lindberg scores to make it 0-1.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Julius Lindberg scores, making it 0-1.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
Mikkel Rygaard Jensen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Mikkel Rygaard Jensen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Filip Helander attempts a header but misses the shot.
10
Attempt Attempt
Abdoulaye Doumbia takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Oscar Johnson.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sirius 0-3 Häcken. Structural assessment: Häcken exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.