Sirius vs Brommapojkarna preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Studenternas IP Mon, 10 Aug - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
SiriusSIR
2 – 2
BrommapojkarnaBP
Full Time Mon, 10 Aug 5:00 PM
Round 16 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

The match between Sirius and Brommapojkarna concluded with a 2-2 draw after both teams scored twice in each half. Halftime also stood at 2-2 with the sides level. Sirius as the stronger team recorded 1.64 expected goals against 0.53 for Brommapojkarna creating a differential of 1.11. Home possession reached 53 percent while the away side held 47 percent. No red cards were shown to either team. The result proved inconsistent with xG projections despite market alignment and an efficiency shift in line with performances. Sirius faced a significant deviation of 100 percent from anticipated outcomes.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sirius 2-2 Brommapojkarna. Sirius showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with team performances throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was not consistent with xG values despite the home advantage.
  • Market alignment: The draw result proved aligned with market projections for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: Sirius held higher xG expectations at 1.64 compared to 0.53 for Brommapojkarna.
  • Event impact: Goals scored represented the primary events without further alterations to game flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the match experienced zero distortion from disciplinary events.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Wolf
V. Wolf
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Hallin
M. Hallin
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Borgström
B. Borgström
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Holmegren
J. Holmegren
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sirius A. Engelmark
A. Engelmark
VS
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
2.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: 49 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 57 W
Elfsborg Rank: 58 W
Brommapojkarna Rank: 54 W
Mjällby Rank: 67 D
AIK Rank: 61 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: 66 L
Hammarby Rank: 70 D
IFK Göteborg Rank: 58 L
Sirius Rank: 70 L
GAIS Rank: 63 D
Degerfors Rank: 49 D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.8
53.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sirius
Brommapojkarna
Power Score
69.8
53.85
League Position
1
12
Global Rank
286
761

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score
Brommapojkarna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sirius Brommapojkarna

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sirius

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sirius ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brommapojkarna
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
46.89
27.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.98
46.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sirius +1.94 Efficiency Index
vs
Brommapojkarna -1.94 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sirius
Brommapojkarna
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sirius
vs
Brommapojkarna
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sirius Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
12%
9%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.19 vs -0.05
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sirius Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
9%
12%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.05 vs -0.19
Sirius
Brommapojkarna
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sirius
vs
Brommapojkarna
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sirius Brommapojkarna
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sirius 0.39
Brommapojkarna 0.52
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sirius Brommapojkarna
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sirius 0.09
Brommapojkarna 0.04
Sirius
Brommapojkarna
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIR had peak pressure around 49'.
  • BP started the game with stronger pressure.
SIR Pressure BP Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIR reached the top pressure at 49' (73.14).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sirius SIR Home
5 matches
Brommapojkarna BP Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
3
Goals
10
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
10
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0.95
xG
0.54
0.54
xGA
0.95

Data last updated: 2026-08-11T00:00:35+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 10, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 16 · Regular Season
Stadium
Studenternas IP
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Victor Wolf
Mikael Hallin
Bendik Borgström
Jasin Holmegren

Statistics

Possession
SIR
55%
BP
45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 4
57 Dangerous attacks 23
53 Possession 47
8 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 18
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

73 Ball Safe 81
8 Goal Kicks 11
14 Goal Attempts 8
3 Substitutions 4
15 Throwins 19
2 Assists 0
15 Dribble Attempts 8
9 Successful Dribbles 2
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25

Attacking

99 Attacks 67

Possession

45 Long Passes 45
506 Passes 447
440 Successful Passes 376
87 Successful Passes Percentage 84
16 Key Passes 6
27 Successful Long Passes 16
60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

Defensive

2 Saves 7
14 Tackles 13
9 Interceptions 13
44 Duels Won 42

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 13
2 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
18 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI ▼

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
6.37
2
Mohamed Soumah
Mohamed Soumah Defender
6.21
4
Tobias Anker
Tobias Anker Defender
6.58
5
Henrik Castegren
Henrik Castegren (C) Defender
6.82
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Defender
6.89
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Midfielder
7.88
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Midfielder
7.33
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson Midfielder
7.21
19
Noel Milleskog
Noel Milleskog
Attacker88'
6.6
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Attacker
8.05
25
Odera Samuel Adindu
Odera Samuel Adindu Attacker
6.48
7
Joakim Persson
Joakim Persson
Attacker57'
6.4
36
August Ljungberg
August Ljungberg Attacker
7.3
16
Otso Liimatta
Otso Liimatta
Midfielder57'
7.2
Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
7.78
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
6.51
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
7.8
11
Rasmus Örqvist
Rasmus Örqvist Defender
6.09
5
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Midfielder73'
6.53
23
Jordan Simpson
Jordan Simpson Defender
6.36
4
Oskar Cotton
Oskar Cotton
Defender73'
6.72
7
Obilor Denzel Okeke
Obilor Denzel Okeke Midfielder
7.33
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand (C) Midfielder
7.26
17
Anton Kurochkin
Anton Kurochkin Midfielder
6.68
20
Wilmer Odefalk
Wilmer Odefalk
Midfielder62'
6.56
27
Kaare Barslund
Kaare Barslund Midfielder
7.1
10
Oliver Berg
Oliver Berg Attacker
6.71
14
Kamilcan Sever
Kamilcan Sever Attacker
6.5
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund
Midfielder85'
6.53

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
David Celic
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
89'
89'
Event
Oliver Berg
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Noel Milleskog → Victor Svensson
7th Substitution
88'
85'
Event
Lukas Björklund → Kamilcan Sever
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Oskar Cotton → Jordan Simpson
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Serge-Junior Ngouali → Rasmus Örqvist
5th Substitution
62'
Event
Wilmer Odefalk → Anton Kurochkin
3rd Substitution
Event
Otso Liimatta → August Ljungberg
1st Substitution
57'
Event
Joakim Persson → Odera Samuel Adindu
2nd Substitution
57'
49'
Event
Jordan Simpson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Andreas Engelmark
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
41'
Event
Odera Samuel Adindu
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
40'
28'
Event
Obilor Denzel Okeke
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
25'
Event
Oliver Zandén
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Isak Bjerkebo
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
23'
Event
Victor Svensson
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
17'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Serge Junior Ngouali.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
90
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
88
Substitution Substitution
Noel Milleskog is substituted for Victor Svensson.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Substitution Substitution
Lukas Bjorklund is substituted for Kamilcan Sever.
82
Attempt Attempt
Isak Bjerkebo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
79
Attempt Attempt
Kamilcan Sever's right-footed shot is blocked.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Otso Liimatta with his right foot is saved.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Serge Junior Ngouali comes on for Rasmus Orqvist.
72
Substitution Substitution
Oskar Cotton is substituted for Jordan Simpson.
71
Substitution Substitution
Oskar Cotton is substituted for Jordan Simpson.
70
Attempt Attempt
Simon Strand takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
70
Attempt Attempt
Simon Strand takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Update Update
Wilmer Odefalk comes on for Anton Kurochkin.
62
Attempt Attempt
Melker Heier takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Update Update
Joakim Persson is on, and Odera Samuel Adindu is off.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Lindberg takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
52
Attempt Attempt
August Ljungberg takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
46
Attempt Attempt
August Ljungberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Henrik Castegren's header is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Henrik Castegren's header is saved.
40
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 2-2.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Obilor Denzel Okeke with his right foot, but it misses the target.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Attempt Attempt
Anton Kurochkin takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
August Ljungberg's right-footed shot is saved.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Obilor Denzel Okeke with his right foot results in a goal.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-2.
27
Attempt Attempt
Kamilcan Sever attempts a header but misses the shot.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Oliver Zanden scores with a left-footed shot.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Isak Bjerkebo with his right foot results in a goal.
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
22
Attempt Attempt
Kaare Barslund's right-footed shot is saved.
17
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Victor Svensson takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
17
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Victor Svensson takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
17
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
14
Attempt Attempt
Anton Kurochkin's right-footed shot is saved.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Victor Wolf.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw between Sirius and Brommapojkarna illustrated a clear gap between expected goals and the actual result. Sirius maintained superior possession and xG metrics yet shared the points evenly with the visitors. The even halftime score of 2-2 carried through to the final whistle without major shifts. Absence of red cards ensured the contest remained uninterrupted by disciplinary factors. Significant deviation for the stronger team highlighted challenges in converting statistical edges into victories. Efficiency stayed consistent with overall play while market alignment held true. Such outcomes emphasize that xG differentials do not always determine final scores in competitive fixtures.