Sint-Truiden vs Union Saint-Gilloise preview
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stayen Stadion
Round 6 ·
Championship Round
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 28
Events
2ND-HALF
90+2'
Header / 2nd Goal
90'
7th Substitution
89'
6th Substitution
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
86'
5th Substitution
85'
4th Substitution
79'
67'
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
3rd Substitution
63'
56'
Off the ball foul / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Wouter Vrancken
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
34'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
33'
18'
1st Substitution
12'
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
Statistics
Possession
SIT
72%
USG
28%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
1
2
Big Chances Created
0
12
Shots
3
112
Dangerous attacks
12
77
Possession
23
8
Corners
1
10
Free kicks
10
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
Match Overview
2
Goal Kicks
17
3
Successful Dribbles
6
8
Dribble Attempts
14
1
Hit Woodwork
0
26
Throwins
18
38
Successful Dribbles Percentage
43
36
Ball Safe
33
8
Goal Attempts
1
1
Injuries
3
3
Substitutions
4
1
Assists
1
Attacking
139
Attacks
54
1
Big Chances Missed
0
Possession
9
Key Passes
2
90
Successful Passes Percentage
58
540
Successful Passes
108
602
Passes
187
56
Successful Long Passes Percentage
29
18
Successful Long Passes
16
32
Long Passes
56
Defensive
13
Tackles
9
9
Interceptions
4
45
Duels Won
43
0
Saves
2
Build-up
42
Total Crosses
4
9
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
10
Fouls
10
1
Offsides
1
Lineup
Referee :
Jan Boterberg
Manager ▼
W. Vrancken
Coach
Starting XI ▼
6
Rihito Yamamoto
Midfielder
7.16 
13
Ryotaro Ito
Midfielder
7.47 
Substitutes ▼
21
Matt Lendfers
Goalkeeper
Referee :
Jan Boterberg
Manager ▼
D. Hubert
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
CONTEXT
In a tense Jupiler Pro League clash, Sint-Truiden are dominating proceedings against a beleaguered Union Saint-Gilloise in the live second half at minute 45, with the score stubbornly locked at 0-0. The home side boasts an astonishing 79% possession, pinning the visitors back relentlessly. Union, pre-match deemed the stronger outfit despite market signals leaning towards Sint-Truiden, are down to 10 men following a red card, which has tilted the structural balance dramatically. Live projections remain in neutral alignment with pre-game expectations, showing no significant deviation as efficiency holds in line. Sint-Truiden's control suggests mounting pressure, yet clinical finishing eludes them so far. Union's resilience keeps them in the draw, but the numerical disadvantage looms large as the half unfolds.
TL;DR
-
Live state: Sint-Truiden lead possession 79-21 over Union Saint-Gilloise at 0-0 in the live second half at minute 45.
-
Structural vs live: Pregame structurally stronger Union Saint-Gilloise trail in live control due to their red card against Sint-Truiden's dominance.
-
Projection vs live: Pre-match projection leader Sint-Truiden align neutrally with live draw state showing no deviation.
-
xG trend: xG data unavailable but 0-0 scoreline holds in line with pre-match efficiency signals.
-
Possession profile: Sint-Truiden's 79% possession far exceeds pre-match expectations favoring Union's structural edge.
-
Event impact: Union Saint-Gilloise's red card has shifted live dynamics, enabling Sint-Truiden's possession surge beyond pre-game projections.
-
Second-half outlook: Union's man disadvantage previews a tough second half against Sint-Truiden's control, aligning with neutral projection shifts.
-
Market: Sint-Truiden 13.4% (Δ-78.8%) | Draw 82.2% (Δ+74.8%) | Union Saint-Gilloise 4.5% (Δ+4%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Boterberg
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
18.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.16
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.3
K. Debeuckelaere
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
18.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.16
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.3
M. Allaerts
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
18.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.16
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.3
N. Senecaut
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
18.96
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.16
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.15
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.3
2
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
2.14
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen
Rank: 69
W
Anderlecht
Rank: 74
W
Gent
Rank: 71
D
Club Brugge
Rank: 84
L
Union Saint-Gilloise
Rank: 86
L
Union Saint-Gilloise
Rank: 86
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Anderlecht
Rank: 73
W
Gent
Rank: 72
D
Club Brugge
Rank: 84
W
Mechelen
Rank: 70
W
Sint-Truiden
Rank: 77
W
Sint-Truiden
Rank: 77
W
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 9
9
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Sint-Truiden
13.38%
Draw
82.16%
Union Saint-Gilloise
4.46%
Movement
Changes since opening
Sint-Truiden
-78.77%
Draw
+74.79%
Union Saint-Gilloise
+3.98%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.3
86.06
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sint-Truiden
Union Saint-Gilloise
Power Score
77.3
86.06
League Position
3
1
Global Rank
79
29
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Sint-Truiden
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Union Saint-Gilloise
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Sint-Truiden Union Saint-Gilloise
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Sint-Truiden
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Union Saint-Gilloise
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Sint-Truiden
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Union Saint-Gilloise
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Sint-Truiden
Union Saint-Gilloise
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Sint-Truiden
Union Saint-Gilloise
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sint-Truiden
Union Saint-Gilloise
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Sint-Truiden
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Sint-Truiden
Union Saint-Gilloise
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Sint-Truiden
0.00
Union Saint-Gilloise
0.00
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sint-Truiden
Union Saint-Gilloise
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Sint-Truiden
0.00
Union Saint-Gilloise
0.00
Sint-Truiden
Union Saint-Gilloise
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SIT had peak pressure around 7'.
- SIT started the game with stronger pressure.
SIT Pressure
USG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
SIT reached the top pressure at 7' (69.50).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Sint-Truiden
SIT
Home
13
matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
USG
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
9
2
Draws
2
9
Losses
2
Goals
11
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
11
-10
Goal Difference
+10
Expected Goals
1.45
xG
1.98
1.98
xGA
1.45
Data last updated: 2026-05-02T18:30:35+00:00
PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
3-4-1-2
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 6 · Championship Round
Stadium
Stayen Stadion
Capacity
14600
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jan Boterberg
K. Debeuckelaere
Michiel Allaerts
N. Senecaut
Next Match
Sint-Truiden
vs
Club Brugge
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Sat, 9 May - 6:45 PM
Venue: Jan Breydelstadion
Union Saint-Gilloise
vs
Mechelen
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Sun, 10 May - 4:30 PM
Venue: Stade Joseph Mariën
CONCLUSION
Sint-Truiden's overwhelming possession and Union's numerical shortfall define this live second half at minute 45, maintaining a 0-0 deadlock that defies pre-match structural favoritism towards the visitors. With projections in neutral sync and efficiency steady, the home side's pressure could yet yield breakthroughs, while Union's grit preserves parity. The red card's impact amplifies Sint-Truiden's edge, setting up a pivotal stretch where defensive resolve meets attacking intent.
Match Commentary