Sint-Truiden vs Omonia Nicosia preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Stayen Stadion
Europa League
Sint-TruidenSIT
1 0
Omonia NicosiaOMO
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 1 of 2
Shogo Taniguchi - 90+3'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Sint-Truiden hosted Omonia Nicosia in the first leg of their two-match tie and secured a narrow 1-0 victory. The contest stayed level at 0-0 through halftime as both sides probed without finding the net. Sint-Truiden controlled 57 percent of possession and created the clearer openings, registering 1.81 expected goals against 0.94 for the visitors. The home side's greater threat eventually told when they broke the deadlock after the interval. No red cards disrupted proceedings and the stronger team delivered the expected outcome. The result leaves Sint-Truiden with a slender advantage heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sint-Truiden produced a significant 50.1 percent deviation from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations across both teams.
  • xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the underlying expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome matched the pre-match market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Sint-Truiden posted 1.81 expected goals while Omonia Nicosia managed 0.94.
  • Event impact: The score stayed 0-0 at halftime before Sint-Truiden scored the winner.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to alter the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Kabakov
G. Kabakov
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Margaritov
M. Margaritov
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Venev
M. Venev
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Gidzhenov
R. Gidzhenov
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sint-Truiden F. De Meyer
F. De Meyer
VS
Omonia Nicosia H. Berg
H. Berg
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lincoln Red Imps Rank: W
Lincoln Red Imps Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sint-Truiden
49.85%
Draw
27.68%
Away Omonia Nicosia
22.46%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sint-Truiden
-45.84%
Draw
+24%
Omonia Nicosia
+21.83%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.97
28.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sint-Truiden
Omonia Nicosia
Power Score
30.97
28.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sint-Truiden — Opponent-weighted form score
Omonia Nicosia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sint-Truiden Omonia Nicosia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sint-Truiden

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Omonia Nicosia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sint-Truiden ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Omonia Nicosia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.98
21.74
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.74
32.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sint-Truiden +0.70 Efficiency Index
vs
Omonia Nicosia -0.70 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sint-Truiden
Omonia Nicosia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sint-Truiden
vs
Omonia Nicosia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sint-Truiden Omonia Nicosia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
12%
6%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.21 vs -0.05
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sint-Truiden Omonia Nicosia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
6%
12%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.05 vs -0.21
Sint-Truiden
Omonia Nicosia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sint-Truiden
vs
Omonia Nicosia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sint-Truiden Omonia Nicosia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sint-Truiden 0.29
Omonia Nicosia 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sint-Truiden Omonia Nicosia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sint-Truiden 0.00
Omonia Nicosia 0.02
Sint-Truiden
Omonia Nicosia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • OMO had peak pressure around 61'.
  • OMO started the game with stronger pressure.
SIT Pressure OMO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: OMO reached the top pressure at 61' (69.68).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stayen Stadion
Capacity
14600
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Georgi Kabakov
Martin Margaritov
Martin Venev
Radoslav Gidzhenov

Statistics

Possession
SIT
54%
OMO
46%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 2
8 Shots 5
56 Dangerous attacks 27
57 Possession 43
6 Corners 1
9 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

80 Ball Safe 93
10 Goal Kicks 10
9 Goal Attempts 8
3 Substitutions 4
18 Throwins 18
2 Injuries 2
2 Dribble Attempts 8
2 Successful Dribbles 8
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57

Attacking

123 Attacks 89

Possession

28 Long Passes 25
557 Passes 437
86 Successful Passes Percentage 84
13 Key Passes 8

Defensive

2 Saves 2
13 Tackles 12
10 Interceptions 16
29 Duels Won 43

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Georgi Kabakov

Starting XI ▼

16
Leo Kokubo
Leo Kokubo Goalkeeper
7.15
5
Shogo Taniguchi
Shogo Taniguchi Defender
7.66
23
Joedrick Pupe
Joedrick Pupe Defender
6.95
26
Visar Musliu
Visar Musliu (C) Defender
7.14
60
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael Defender
7.45
8
Abdoulaye Sissako
Abdoulaye Sissako Midfielder
7.08
10
Ilias Sebaoui
Ilias Sebaoui Midfielder
6.82
14
Ryan Merlen
Ryan Merlen Midfielder
7.4
18
Nelson Ishiwatari
Nelson Ishiwatari Midfielder
6.7
71
Ryotaro Araki
Ryotaro Araki
Midfielder61'
6.57
19
Frédéric Soèllé Soèllé
Frédéric Soèllé Soèllé Attacker
6.37
9
Samed Bazdar
Samed Bazdar
Attacker46'
6.72
38
Kaito Matsuzawa
Kaito Matsuzawa Attacker
6.57
7
Arbnor Muja
Arbnor Muja
Midfielder61'
7.28
Referee : Georgi Kabakov

Starting XI ▼

40
Fabiano
Fabiano (C) Goalkeeper
6.84
5
Senou Coulibaly
Senou Coulibaly Defender
6.93
29
Jure Balkovec
Jure Balkovec Defender
6.94
30
Nikolas Panagiotou
Nikolas Panagiotou Defender
7.35
93
Jean-Kévin Duverne
Jean-Kévin Duverne Defender
6.93
7
Jaden Montnor
Jaden Montnor Midfielder
6.74
10
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
Midfielder70'
6.25
11
Ewandro Costa
Ewandro Costa Midfielder
7.1
85
Angelos Neofytou
Angelos Neofytou
Attacker90+1'
14
Mateo Maric
Mateo Maric Midfielder
7.27
22
Muamer Tankovic
Muamer Tankovic Midfielder
7.08
77
Loïc Nego
Loïc Nego
Defender77'
6.21
74
Panagiotis Andreou
Panagiotis Andreou Midfielder
6.54
99
Loïs Diony
Loïs Diony Attacker
6.66
9
Andronikos Kakoullis
Andronikos Kakoullis
Attacker77'
6.32

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Shogo Taniguchi
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
90+3'
90+1'
Event
Angelos Neofytou → Ewandro Costa
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Ewandro Costa
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 3rd Yellowcard
77'
Event
Andronikos Kakoullis → Loïs Diony
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Loïc Nego → Muamer Tankovic
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis → Jaden Montnor
4th Substitution
Event
Ryotaro Araki → Nelson Ishiwatari
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Arbnor Muja → Kaito Matsuzawa
3rd Substitution
61'
51'
Event
Jean-Kévin Duverne
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Holding / 1st Yellowcard
50'
Event
Samed Bazdar → Frédéric Soèllé Soèllé
1st Substitution
46'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Shogo Taniguchi scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Ryan Merlen.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
90
Substitution Substitution
Angelos Neofytou is substituted off for Ewandro Felipe de Lima Costa.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ewandro Felipe de Lima Costa.
84
Update Update
Offside.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Update Update
Andronikos Kakoullis is on, and Lois Diony is off.
77
Update Update
Loic Nego comes on for Muamer Tankovic.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Update Update
Anastasios Chatzigiovannis comes on for Jaden Montnor.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Substitution Substitution
Ryotaro Araki is substituted for Nelson Ishiwatari.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Arbnor Muja comes on for Kaito Matsuzawa.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Jean-Kevin Duverne.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Robert-Jan Vanwesemael.
47
Update Update
Samed Bazdar is on, and Frederic Soelle is off.
27
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Georgi Kabakov.

CONCLUSION

Sint-Truiden claimed a deserved 1-0 win that reflected their superior expected goals and territorial control. The home side managed the game effectively after a goalless opening period and converted their edge into the decisive goal. Omonia Nicosia stayed compact yet struggled to generate sustained pressure or clear chances. With the aggregate now tilted in Sint-Truiden's favor the return leg offers the visitors a chance to respond but they must improve their attacking output. The clean sheet provides a solid platform for the hosts while the absence of dismissals kept the contest balanced throughout. Overall the performance underlined Sint-Truiden's status as the stronger side in this tie.