Sint-Truiden vs Lommel SK preview

Belgium flag 2026/2027 Pro League, Belgium
Stayen Stadion
Pro League
Sint-TruidenSIT
1 – 1
Lommel SKLSK
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
R. Seuntjens - 24' (P)

CONTEXT

Sint-Truiden welcomed Lommel SK to their home ground for a league encounter that concluded with a 1-1 draw. The visitors took the lead by halftime with the score at 0-1. Sint-Truiden dominated possession at 66 percent compared to Lommel SK's 34 percent and generated an expected goals total of 3.1 against 1.56. Despite this statistical edge the stronger side could not convert their opportunities into a victory. The match featured no red cards and the final outcome proved inconsistent with the underlying metrics. Sint-Truiden registered a significant structural deviation from their expected path while the efficiency metrics remained in line with the data provided.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sint-Truiden recorded a significant deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics stayed in line with the overall match data.
  • xG alignment: The 1-1 draw outcome was not consistent with the xG figures.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: Sint-Truiden posted 3.1 xG while Lommel SK finished with 1.56 xG.
  • Event impact: Lommel SK led 0-1 at halftime before the sides finished level at 1-1.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to either side during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Letellier
A. Letellier
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Maszowez
N. Maszowez
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Q. Blaise
Q. Blaise
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. D'hondt
L. D'hondt
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sint-Truiden F. De Meyer
F. De Meyer
VS
Lommel SK L. Johnson
L. Johnson
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mechelen Rank: 72 W
Anderlecht Rank: 77 L
Gent Rank: 74 D
Club Brugge Rank: 88 L
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 87 W
Mechelen Rank: 72 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.38
36.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sint-Truiden
Lommel SK
Power Score
79.38
36.63
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
88
342

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sint-Truiden — Opponent-weighted form score
Lommel SK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sint-Truiden Lommel SK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sint-Truiden

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lommel SK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sint-Truiden ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lommel SK
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
56.36
32.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.21
56.36
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sint-Truiden +2.07 Efficiency Index
vs
Lommel SK -2.07 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sint-Truiden
Lommel SK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sint-Truiden
vs
Lommel SK
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sint-Truiden Lommel SK
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
3%
53%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.08 vs +0.17
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sint-Truiden Lommel SK
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
53%
3%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.17 vs -0.08
Sint-Truiden
Lommel SK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sint-Truiden
vs
Lommel SK
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sint-Truiden Lommel SK
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sint-Truiden 0.31
Lommel SK 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sint-Truiden Lommel SK
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sint-Truiden 0.03
Lommel SK 0.01
Sint-Truiden
Lommel SK
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIT had peak pressure around 38'.
  • LSK started the game with stronger pressure.
SIT Pressure LSK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIT reached the top pressure at 38' (100.00).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Pro League, Belgium · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stayen Stadion
Capacity
14600
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Anthony Letellier
Nicolas Maszowez
Q. Blaise
Lothar D'hondt

Statistics

Possession
SIT
63%
LSK
37%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 3
14 Shots 4
104 Dangerous attacks 39
66 Possession 34
6 Corners 2
7 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

86 Ball Safe 99
0 Penalties 1
6 Goal Kicks 18
13 Goal Attempts 7
3 Substitutions 4
17 Throwins 18
1 Hit Woodwork 2
15 Successful Headers 11
1 Assists 0
0 Injuries 2
20 Dribble Attempts 20
14 Successful Dribbles 9
70 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

Attacking

128 Attacks 79
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

52 Long Passes 54
638 Passes 340
570 Successful Passes 262
89 Successful Passes Percentage 77
20 Key Passes 6
40 Successful Long Passes 17
77 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31

Defensive

1 Saves 3
22 Tackles 11
8 Interceptions 15
57 Duels Won 43

Build-up

44 Total Crosses 11
11 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

3 Offsides 4
13 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Anthony Letellier

Starting XI ▼

16
Leo Kokubo
Leo Kokubo Goalkeeper
6.57
3
Taiga Hata
Taiga Hata Defender
7.2
4
Loïc Mbe Soh
Loïc Mbe Soh Defender
7.71
23
Joedrick Pupe
Joedrick Pupe Defender
6.99
99
Shion Shinkawa
Shion Shinkawa
Midfielder89'
26
Visar Musliu
Visar Musliu (C) Defender
6.75
8
Abdoulaye Sissako
Abdoulaye Sissako Midfielder
7.59
10
Ilias Sebaoui
Ilias Sebaoui Midfielder
8.29
14
Ryan Merlen
Ryan Merlen Midfielder
6.81
38
Kaito Matsuzawa
Kaito Matsuzawa
Attacker68'
6.61
18
Nelson Ishiwatari
Nelson Ishiwatari Midfielder
7.52
60
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael Midfielder
7.34
19
Frederic Soelle Soelle
Frederic Soelle Soelle Attacker
7.23
77
Oumar Diouf
Oumar Diouf
Attacker76'
6.55
Referee : Anthony Letellier

Starting XI ▼

23
Matthias Pieklak
Matthias Pieklak Goalkeeper
6.41
2
Jason van Duiven
Jason van Duiven Defender
6.89
3
Timothy Eyoma
Timothy Eyoma Defender
7.55
5
Dries Wouters
Dries Wouters Defender
7.06
34
Henry Oware
Henry Oware Defender
6.87
4
Shawn Adewoye
Shawn Adewoye
Defender73'
6.72
6
Joey Pelupessy
Joey Pelupessy Midfielder
6.68
10
Tom Reyners
Tom Reyners Midfielder
7.19
15
Lucas Schoofs
Lucas Schoofs (C) Midfielder
6.85
21
Stredair Appuah
Stredair Appuah Midfielder
6.63
11
Zalán Vancsa
Zalán Vancsa
Midfielder56'
6.53
41
Sverre Nypan
Sverre Nypan Midfielder
6.52
7
Juho Talvitie
Juho Talvitie
Attacker49'
6.04
30
R. Seuntjens
R. Seuntjens Attacker
7.32
—
R. Seuntjens
73'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Oumar Diouf
Goal disallowed
90'
Event
Shion Shinkawa → Joedrick Pupe
7th Substitution
89'
Event
Oumar Diouf → Frederic Soelle Soelle
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Nelson Ishiwatari
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
75'
73'
Event
Shawn Adewoye → Henry Oware
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Lars Beirinckx → R. Seuntjens
5th Substitution
Event
Kaito Matsuzawa → Ryan Merlen
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Ilias Sebaoui
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
64'
56'
Event
Zalán Vancsa → Stredair Appuah
2nd Substitution
49'
Event
Juho Talvitie → Sverre Nypan
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Penalty disallowed
36'
24'
Event
R. Seuntjens
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
21'
Event
Timothy Eyoma
Penalty awarded

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Loic Mbe Soh takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ilias Sebaoui takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Juho Talvitie takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Nelson Ishiwatari takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Shion Shinkawa takes a shot with his head but misses.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ilias Sebaoui takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Oumar Diouf scores, making it 2-1.
89
Update Update
Shion Shinkawa is on, and Joedrick Pupe is off.
88
Attempt Attempt
Tom Reyners takes a right-footed shot but misses.
86
Attempt Attempt
Kaito Matsuzawa takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Update Update
Joedrick Pupe's header is blocked.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Attempt Attempt
Ilias Sebaoui takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Joedrick Pupe takes a left-footed shot but misses.
78
Attempt Attempt
Ilias Sebaoui takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
77
Update Update
Offside.
76
Update Update
Oumar Diouf comes on for Frederic Soelle.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Nelson Ishiwatari.
73
Update Update
Lars Beirinckx replaces Ralf Seuntjens.
73
Update Update
Shawn Adewoye is on, and Henry Oware is off.
71
Attempt Attempt
Kaito Matsuzawa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Abdoulaye Sissako takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
70
Update Update
Offside.
69
Update Update
Offside.
68
Update Update
Offside.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Ilias Sebaoui scores with a left-footed shot.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ilias Sebaoui scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Nelson Ishiwatari.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ilias Sebaoui scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Nelson Ishiwatari.
61
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Merlen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
61
Attempt Attempt
Joedrick Pupe takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
Juho Talvitie takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
57
Update Update
On comes Zalan Vancsa, off goes Stredair Appuah.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Attempt Attempt
Ilias Sebaoui takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Nelson Ishiwatari Head Shot Missed
50
Update Update
Offside.
49
Update Update
Juho Talvitie is on, and Sverre Halseth Nypan is off.
46
Attempt Attempt
Nelson Ishiwatari takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Abdoulaye Sissako took a right-footed shot but missed.
45
Attempt Attempt
Nelson Ishiwatari takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ilias Sebaoui takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Ilias Sebaoui takes a right-footed shot but misses.
39
Update Update
Offside.
36
Attempt Attempt
Frederic Soelle takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Update Update
VAR decision: the penalty awarded to Robert-Jan Vanwesemael is cancelled.
35
Attempt Attempt
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Ilias Sebaoui takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
33
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Robert-Jan Vanwesemael with his left foot, but it misses the target.
32
Attempt Attempt
Ilias Sebaoui takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Dries Wouters takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Attempt Attempt
Sverre Halseth Nypan takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Schoofs takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ralf Seuntjens takes a right-footed shot and scores.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Ralf Seuntjens scores, making it 0-1.
21
Update Update
VAR decision confirms a penalty awarded to Timothy Eyoma.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Attempt Attempt
Nelson Ishiwatari takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Frederic Soelle takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
10
Attempt Attempt
Frederic Soelle takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
6
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Anthony Letellier.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sint-Truiden 1-1 Lommel SK. Structural assessment: Sint-Truiden exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.