Sheriff vs Maccabi Tel Aviv preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Sheriff Stadium Thu, 23 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa League
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 5:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
|

CONTEXT

Sheriff hosted Maccabi Tel Aviv in the first leg of their two-legged tie and endured a comprehensive 0-5 defeat. The visitors established a 0-2 halftime advantage before adding three more goals in the second period. Maccabi controlled the game with 69 percent possession compared to Sheriff's 31 percent. No red cards were shown to either side during the contest. Although designated as the stronger side entering the match Sheriff was unable to prevent the heavy loss. The outcome aligned with pre-match indicators showing only minimal deviation of 3.3 percent. Efficiency remained in line with the overall pattern observed throughout the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sheriff 0-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv. Maccabi Tel Aviv showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the observed performance patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true as the final result matched pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to the absence of underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: Event impact proved decisive with Maccabi Tel Aviv netting five unanswered goals.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role since neither team received a red card.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Athanasiou
K. Athanasiou
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
P. Georghiou
P. Georghiou
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Sokratous
K. Sokratous
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Techrany
A. Techrany
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sheriff Victor Mihailov
Victor Mihailov
VS
Maccabi Tel Aviv K. Miller
K. Miller
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aluminij Rank: 53 W
Aluminij Rank: 53 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bologna Rank: 81 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sheriff
1.44%
Draw
1.9%
Away Maccabi Tel Aviv
96.66%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.67
34.72
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sheriff
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Power Score
36.67
34.72
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sheriff Opponent-weighted form score
Maccabi Tel Aviv Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sheriff Maccabi Tel Aviv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Sheriff

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sheriff ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Maccabi Tel Aviv
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.39
32.97
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.97
38.39
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sheriff +0.28 Efficiency Index
vs
Maccabi Tel Aviv -0.28 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sheriff
Maccabi Tel Aviv
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sheriff ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Maccabi Tel Aviv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sheriff Maccabi Tel Aviv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sheriff Maccabi Tel Aviv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sheriff
Maccabi Tel Aviv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Sheriff
vs
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sheriff Maccabi Tel Aviv
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sheriff Maccabi Tel Aviv
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Sheriff
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MTA had peak pressure around 86'.
  • MTA started the game with stronger pressure.
SHF Pressure MTA Pressure
Pressure Index: MTA reached the top pressure at 86' (66.93).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-5-2

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Sheriff Stadium
Capacity
18636
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kyriakos Athanasiou
Pavlos Georghiou
Kyriakos Sokratous
Andreas Techrany

Statistics

Possession
SHF
36%
MTA
64%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 5
4 Shots 7
38 Dangerous attacks 75
31 Possession 69
4 Corners 5
12 Free kicks 17
5 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
5 Substitutions 5
12 Throwins 20

Attacking

70 Attacks 134

Discipline

4 Offsides 2
16 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Kyriakos Athanasiou

Starting XI

1
Emil Timbur
Emil Timbur Goalkeeper
5.11
6
Raí
Raí Defender
5.51
15
Baye Assane Ciss
Baye Assane Ciss Defender
6.04
35
Bourama Fomba
Bourama Fomba
Defender46'
5.88
22
Miguel Mota
Miguel Mota Defender
5.86
2
Mamoutou Ouédraogo
6.04
29
Soumaila Magassouba
5.5
11
Sapata
Sapata Midfielder
6.27
7
Vladimir Fratea
Vladimir Fratea
Midfielder46'
6.18
24
Danila Forov
Danila Forov Midfielder
5.95
26
Dhoraso Klas
Dhoraso Klas Midfielder
5.99
42
Loukou Jaures-Ulrich
5.99
37
Jair Modelo
Jair Modelo
Defender80'
6.5
76
Arli Përgjoni
Arli Përgjoni Midfielder
6.18
99
Samba Koné
Samba Koné
Midfielder66'
6.27
19
Jayder Asprilla
Jayder Asprilla Attacker
6.3
Referee : Kyriakos Athanasiou

Starting XI

22
Ofek Melika
Ofek Melika Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Roy Revivo
Roy Revivo Defender
6.98
5
Mohamed Camara
Mohamed Camara Defender
6.5
11
Sagiv Jehezkel
Sagiv Jehezkel Defender
6.66
29
Hélio Varela
Hélio Varela
Midfielder64'
6.5
13
Raz Shlomo
Raz Shlomo Defender
6.5
41
Itay Ben Hemo
Itay Ben Hemo Defender
6.5
6
Tyrese Asante
Tyrese Asante
Defender80'
6.5
28
Issouf Sissokho
Issouf Sissokho Midfielder
6.69
30
Itamar Noy
Itamar Noy Midfielder
6.5
77
Osher Davida
Osher Davida
Midfielder64'
6.5
36
Ido Shahar
Ido Shahar Midfielder
6.61
17
Kristijan Belic
Kristijan Belic
Midfielder64'
6.5
42
Dor Peretz
Dor Peretz Midfielder
6.69
34
Sayed Abu Farkhi
Sayed Abu Farkhi Attacker
2
6.98

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jair Modelo Loukou Jaures-Ulrich
10th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Tyrese Asante Itay Ben Hemo
9th Substitution
78'
Event
Field Goal / 4th Goal
Event
6th Yellowcard
77'
Event
5th Yellowcard
76'
74'
Event
Penalty / 1st Penalty
Event
4th Yellowcard
73'
72'
Event
Dan Glazer Kristijan Belic
8th Substitution
Event
Samba Koné Arli Përgjoni
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Mamoutou Ouédraogo Miguel Mota
7th Substitution
66'
64'
Event
Kristijan Belic Ido Shahar
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Osher Davida Itamar Noy
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Hélio Varela Sagiv Jehezkel
5th Substitution
Event
Holding / 3rd Yellowcard
60'
53'
Event
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
48'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Bourama Fomba Baye Assane Ciss
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Vladimir Fratea Sapata
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
29'
Event
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
17'
5'
Event
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Update Update
Tyrese Asante comes on for Itai Ben Hamo.
79
Update Update
On comes Jair Modelo, off goes Loukou Jaures Ulrich.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Issouf Sissokho scores, making it 0-5.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Danila Forov.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Mamoutou Ouedraogo.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty - Sayd Abu Farhi 0-4
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Soumaila Magassouba.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Dan Glazer comes on for Kristijan Belic.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Update Update
Mamoutou Ouedraogo comes on for Miguel Angelo Sousa Leao Mota.
66
Substitution Substitution
Samba Kone is substituted for Arli Pergjoni.
64
Substitution Substitution
Osher Davida is substituted off for Itamar Noy.
64
Update Update
Helio Varela is on, and Sagiv Yehezkel is off.
64
Update Update
Kristijan Belic comes on for Ido Shahar.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Miguel Angelo Sousa Leao Mota.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sagiv Yehezkel scores, making it 0-3.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sagiv Yehezkel scores, making it 0-3.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Sagiv Yehezkel.
46
Substitution Substitution
Baye Ciss is substituted off for Bourama Fomba.
46
Update Update
Vladimir Fratea comes on for Vitor Hugo Morais de Oliveira.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dor Peretz scores, making it 0-2.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Baye Ciss.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sayd Abu Farhi scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Ido Shahar.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Kyriakos Athanasiou.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sheriff 0-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv. Structural assessment: Maccabi Tel Aviv exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.