Sheriff vs Aluminij preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Sheriff Stadium Thu, 9 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa League
Full Time Thu, 9 Jul 5:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Sheriff hosted Aluminij in the first leg of their two-legged tie and played out a goalless draw. Sheriff controlled the majority of possession with 63 percent but could not break down the visitors. Both sides registered no goals at halftime or full time. No red cards were shown to either team. The stronger side according to pre-match indicators failed to convert territorial dominance into a lead. The match remained level throughout and produced a scoreline of 0-0. Aluminij defended compactly and limited clear opportunities. The result leaves the tie finely balanced ahead of the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate structural deviation of 10.2 percent was recorded for Sheriff.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match expectations throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was available to assess outcome alignment.
  • Market alignment: The 0-0 draw outcome proved aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data was unavailable for both teams.
  • Event impact: No decisive events altered the 0-0 scoreline in either half.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued and no distortion occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Talic
A. Talic
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Hartl
M. Hartl
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Rekik
A. Rekik
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Jäger
F. Jäger
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sheriff Victor Mihailov
Victor Mihailov
VS
Aluminij J. Arsic
J. Arsic
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sheriff
5.39%
Draw
89.79%
Away Aluminij
4.82%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sheriff
-4.66%
Draw
+6.8%
Aluminij
-2.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sheriff
Aluminij
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sheriff Opponent-weighted form score
Aluminij Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sheriff Aluminij

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Sheriff

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Aluminij

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sheriff ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aluminij
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.95
25.41
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.41
30.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sheriff +0.29 Efficiency Index
vs
Aluminij -0.29 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sheriff
Aluminij
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sheriff ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aluminij
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sheriff Aluminij
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sheriff Aluminij
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sheriff
Aluminij
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Sheriff
vs
Aluminij
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sheriff Aluminij
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sheriff Aluminij
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Sheriff
Aluminij
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SHF had peak pressure around 77'.
  • SHF started the game with stronger pressure.
SHF Pressure ALU Pressure
Pressure Index: SHF reached the top pressure at 77' (62.42).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-5-2

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 09, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Sheriff Stadium
Capacity
18636
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Arnes Talic
Mattias Hartl
Amar Rekik
Florian Jäger

Statistics

Possession
SHF
61%
ALU
39%

Top Statistics

11 Shots 5
90 Dangerous attacks 48
63 Possession 37
7 Corners 4
7 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

3 Substitutions 4
26 Throwins 21

Attacking

146 Attacks 100

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 5

Lineup

Referee : Arnes Talic

Starting XI

21
Ivan Dyulgerov
Ivan Dyulgerov Goalkeeper
6.5
5
Raí
Raí (C) Defender
6.5
15
Baye Assane Ciss
Baye Assane Ciss Defender
6.5
22
Miguel Mota
Miguel Mota Defender
6.5
10
Zé Flores
Zé Flores
Midfielder81'
6.45
35
Bourama Fomba
Bourama Fomba Defender
6.49
24
Danila Forov
Danila Forov Midfielder
6.5
26
Dhoraso Klas
Dhoraso Klas Midfielder
6.5
7
Vladimir Fratea
Vladimir Fratea
Midfielder68'
6.5
42
Konan Jaures-Ulrich Loukou Midfielder
76
Arli Përgjoni
Arli Përgjoni Midfielder
6.5
99
Samba Koné
Samba Koné Midfielder
6.5
19
Jayder Asprilla
Jayder Asprilla Attacker
6.5
Referee : Arnes Talic

Starting XI

31
F. Raduha
F. Raduha Goalkeeper
6.5
4
Rok Schaubach
Rok Schaubach Defender
6.5
5
Matija Boben
Matija Boben Defender
6.5
6
Dino Šimunić
Dino Šimunić Defender
6.5
32
Vito Težak
Vito Težak Defender
6.5
33
Domen Zajsek
Domen Zajsek
Defender87'
7
Eric Taylor
Eric Taylor Midfielder
6.5
13
Matic Vrbanec
Matic Vrbanec Midfielder
6.45
14
Tomislav Jagić
Tomislav Jagić (C) Midfielder
6.5
44
Petar Petrisko
Petar Petrisko
Midfielder77'
6.5
42
Vid Koderman
Vid Koderman Midfielder
6.5
80
Hanus Sørensen
Hanus Sørensen
Defender78'
6.5
25
Murat Bajraj
Murat Bajraj Attacker
6.5
11
Bede Amarachi Osuji
Bede Amarachi Osuji
Midfielder61'
6.5
45
Bamba Susso
Bamba Susso Attacker
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+2'
87'
Event
Domen Zajsek Vito Težak
7th Substitution
Event
Zé Flores Miguel Mota
6th Substitution
81'
78'
Event
Hanus Sørensen Vid Koderman
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Petar Petrisko Tomislav Jagić
4th Substitution
Event
Vladimir Fratea Dhoraso Klas
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Sapata Loukou Jaures-Ulrich
3rd Substitution
68'
61'
Event
Bede Amarachi Osuji Murat Bajraj
1st Substitution
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
48'
46'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ze Flores.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Update Update
Domen Zajsek comes on for Vito Tezak.
81
Update Update
On comes Ze Flores, off goes Miguel Angelo Sousa Leao Mota.
78
Update Update
Blaz Petrisko is on, and Tomislav Jagic is off.
77
Update Update
On Hanus Sörensen, off Vid Koderman.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Update Update
On comes Vitor Hugo Morais de Oliveira, and Loukou Jaures Ulrich goes off.
68
Update Update
On comes Vladimir Fratea, and Dhoraso Moreo Klas goes off.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
Bede Osuji Amarachi comes on for Murat Bajraj.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bourama Fomba receives a yellow card.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Arnes Talic.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw in leg one leaves both teams with work to do in the return fixture. Sheriff held the majority of the ball yet lacked the clinical edge required to secure an advantage. Aluminij remained organized and restricted meaningful chances while avoiding any disciplinary setbacks. The absence of goals and cards ensured a straightforward contest that produced no major swings. With the aggregate still level the second leg will determine which side advances. Sheriff will likely need to be more incisive at home in the reverse fixture while Aluminij must maintain their defensive structure to progress.