Shelbourne vs Ajax preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Tolka Park Tomorrow - 6:45 PM
Europa Conference League
ShelbourneSHE
AjaxAJA
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:45 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 3

CONTEXT

Shelbourne host Ajax in Europa Conference League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Tolka Park. Power ranking favours Ajax by 17.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Ajax hold a +17.1 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Ajax sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Shelbourne show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Ajax have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Ajax carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Ajax hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Shelbourne 6.7% (Δ-0.8%) | Draw 13% (Δ-0.3%) | Ajax 80.3% (Δ+1.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Shelbourne J. Russell
J. Russell
VS
Ajax M. Sánchez Muñoz
M. Sánchez Muñoz
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ajax Rank: 81 L
Nõmme Kalju Rank: L
Nõmme Kalju Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shelbourne Rank: W
Vojvodina Rank: W
Vojvodina Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Shelbourne
6.7%
Draw
13.03%
Away Ajax
80.27%

Movement

Changes since opening
Shelbourne
-0.8%
Draw
-0.33%
Ajax
+1.13%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.74
37.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Shelbourne
Ajax
Power Score
20.74
37.87
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Shelbourne — Opponent-weighted form score
Ajax — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Shelbourne Ajax

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Shelbourne SHE Home
1 matches
Ajax AJA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
1
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0.20
xG
6.61
6.61
xGA
0.20

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:13:27+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 13, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 3
Stadium
Tolka Park
Capacity
9681
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Cláudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira
Tiago José Pereira Costa
Nélson Cunha
Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Squad

Referee : Cláudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira

Squad ▼

19
Eddie Beach
Eddie Beach Goalkeeper
13
Murray Johnson
Murray Johnson Goalkeeper
—
Finn Moylan
Finn Moylan Goalkeeper
2
Sean Gannon
Sean Gannon Defender
29
Patrick Barrett
Patrick Barrett Defender
15
Sam Bone
Sam Bone Defender
4
Kameron Malcolm Ledwidge
Kameron Malcolm Ledwidge Defender
16
Odhran Casey
Odhran Casey Defender
18
James Norris
James Norris Defender
25
Milan Bernhard Mbeng
Milan Bernhard Mbeng Defender
55
James Roche
James Roche Defender
6
Jonathan Lunney
Jonathan Lunney Midfielder
14
Alistair Coote
Alistair Coote Midfielder
23
Kerr Mcinroy
Kerr Mcinroy Midfielder
27
Evan Caffrey
Evan Caffrey Midfielder
21
Jack Henry-Francis
Jack Henry-Francis Midfielder
60
Cillian Ryan
Cillian Ryan Midfielder
17
Daniel Kelly
Daniel Kelly Attacker
11
Ademipo Odubeko
Ademipo Odubeko Attacker
36
William Jarvis
William Jarvis Attacker
22
Sean Moore
Sean Moore Attacker
20
Rodrigo Costa Freitas
Rodrigo Costa Freitas Attacker
44
Daniel Ring
Daniel Ring Attacker
56
Joey Ikala Wuna
Joey Ikala Wuna Attacker
Referee : Cláudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira

Squad ▼

26
Maarten Paes
Maarten Paes Goalkeeper
1
Marc-André ter Stegen
Marc-André ter Stegen Goalkeeper
52
Paul Peters Reverson
Paul Peters Reverson Goalkeeper
22
Joeri Jesse Heerkens
Joeri Jesse Heerkens Goalkeeper
17
Daley Blind
Daley Blind Defender
5
Owen Wijndal
Owen Wijndal Defender
12
Caio Henrique Oliveira Silva
Caio Henrique Oliveira Silva Defender
4
Ko Itakura
Ko Itakura Defender
37
Josip Šutalo
Josip Šutalo Defender
2
Lucas Oliveira Rosa
Lucas Oliveira Rosa Defender
13
Ahmetcan Kaplan
Ahmetcan Kaplan Defender
15
Youri Baas
Youri Baas Defender
3
Anton Gaaei
Anton Gaaei Defender
36
Dies Janse
Dies Janse Defender
30
Aaron Bouwman
Aaron Bouwman Defender
18
Davy Klaassen
Davy Klaassen Midfielder
8
Julian Brandt
Julian Brandt Midfielder
6
Youri Regeer
Youri Regeer Midfielder
10
Oscar Gloukh
Oscar Gloukh Midfielder
43
Rayane Bounida
Rayane Bounida Midfielder
24
Jorthy Mokio
Jorthy Mokio Midfielder
23
Steven Berghuis
Steven Berghuis Attacker
9
Kasper Dolberg
Kasper Dolberg Attacker
20
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Attacker
99
Toluwalase Emmanuel Arokodare
Toluwalase Emmanuel Arokodare Attacker
—
Amourrichio Van Axel Dongen
Amourrichio Van Axel Dongen Attacker
38
Marcos Leonardo Santos Almeida
Marcos Leonardo Santos Almeida Attacker
11
Mika Marcel Godts
Mika Marcel Godts Attacker
19
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu Attacker
7
Maher Mauricio Carrizo
Maher Mauricio Carrizo Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Ajax holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Ajax a 17.1-point edge. External projection is Shelbourne 7.7%, draw 13.1%, and Ajax 79.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.