Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Tallaght Stadium Tue, 14 Jul - 7:00 PM
Champions League
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
5 1
Floriana Floriana
Full Time Tue, 14 Jul 7:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 5 - 3
Lee Grace - 7'
Dylan Watts - 29'
John McGovern - 48'
Graham Burke - 61'
Jack Byrne - 74'
Goal
|
Goal
Tomislav Gudelj - 13'

CONTEXT

Shamrock Rovers hosted Floriana for the second leg of their two-legged knockout tie and delivered a commanding performance to win 5-1. The home team took control early and led 2-1 at the interval before adding three more goals after the break. Possession favored Shamrock Rovers at 56 percent against the visitors 44 percent. No red cards were shown to either side throughout the contest. The result confirmed Shamrock Rovers as the winner on the night and advanced their progress in the tie. Floriana managed a single goal but could not mount a sustained response. The match unfolded without major disciplinary incidents and concluded with a clear margin on the scoreboard.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Shamrock Rovers 5-1 Floriana. Shamrock Rovers showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with established performance patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: No xG figures were available to evaluate alignment with the match outcome.
  • Market alignment: The result proved consistent with pre-match market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals metrics were not supplied for assessment in this fixture.
  • Event impact: The second leg produced a decisive home victory that shaped the tie outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued and therefore created no distortion to proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Östling
J. Östling
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Wilde
R. Wilde
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Kristensson
S. Kristensson
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Sundell
R. Sundell
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Shamrock Rovers S. Bradley
S. Bradley
VS
Floriana Daniel Portela
Daniel Portela
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Floriana Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shamrock Rovers Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Shamrock Rovers
94.09%
Draw
3.62%
Away Floriana
2.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Shamrock Rovers — Opponent-weighted form score
Floriana — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Shamrock Rovers Floriana

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Shamrock Rovers

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Floriana

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Shamrock Rovers ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Floriana
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Shamrock Rovers Floriana
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Shamrock Rovers Floriana
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Shamrock Rovers
vs
Floriana
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Shamrock Rovers Floriana
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Shamrock Rovers 0.00
Floriana 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Shamrock Rovers Floriana
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Shamrock Rovers 0.00
Floriana 0.00
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Shamrock Rovers had peak pressure around 60'.
  • Shamrock Rovers started the game with stronger pressure.
Shamrock Rovers Pressure Floriana Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Shamrock Rovers reached the top pressure at 60' (64.60).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers Home
1 matches
Floriana Floriana Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-14T18:30:37+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
E. McGinty
Scotland
1 E. McGinty
L. Grace
Republic of Ireland
5 L. Grace
R. Lopes
Cape Verde
4 R. Lopes
C. O'Sullivan
Republic of Ireland
27 C. O'Sullivan
J. Mulraney
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
11 J. Mulraney
D. Watts
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
7 D. Watts
J. O'Sullivan
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
26 J. O'Sullivan
J. Byrne
Republic of Ireland
29 J. Byrne
A. Brennan
19 A. Brennan
J. McGovern
Substitution
Northern Ireland
88 J. McGovern
G. Burke
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
10 G. Burke
G. Ferreira Silva
Brazil
23 G. Ferreira Silva
M. Beerman
Malta
3 M. Beerman
K. Martins de Paula
Brazil
4 K. Martins de Paula
O. Spiteri
Malta
17 O. Spiteri
C. Lonardelli
Malta
21 C. Lonardelli
F. Varela
Argentina
10 F. Varela
14
14
G. Romano
Substitution
Argentina
16 G. Romano
R. Murić
Substitution
Croatia
11 R. Murić
M. Jah
Gambia
19 M. Jah
T. Gudelj
Substitution
Croatia
22 T. Gudelj

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 14, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 5 - 3
Stadium
Tallaght Stadium
Capacity
8600
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Joakim Östling
Robin Wilde
Simon Kristensson
Richard Sundell

Statistics

Possession
Shamrock Rovers
57%
Floriana
43%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 1
7 Shots 4
68 Dangerous attacks 29
56 Possession 44
6 Corners 2
7 Free kicks 17
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

47 Ball Safe 65
18 Goal Attempts 2
5 Substitutions 3
16 Throwins 21
5 Assists 1
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

90 Attacks 72

Defensive

0 Saves 8

Discipline

6 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : Joakim Östling

Starting XI ▼

1
Ed McGinty
Ed McGinty Goalkeeper
5.88
4
Roberto Lopes
Roberto Lopes Defender
7.29
5
Lee Grace
Lee Grace Defender
6.05
27
Cory O'Sullivan
Cory O'Sullivan Defender
6.05
7
Dylan Watts
Dylan Watts Midfielder
6.37
28
Naj Razi
Naj Razi
77'
6.53
11
Jake Mulraney
Jake Mulraney Midfielder
6.37
22
Tunmise Sobowale
Tunmise Sobowale
65'
6.59
19
Adam Brennan
Adam Brennan Midfielder
6.27
26
John O'Sullivan
John O'Sullivan Midfielder
6.37
23
Connor Malley
Connor Malley
77'
6.63
29
Jack Byrne
Jack Byrne Midfielder
6.27
10
Graham Burke
Graham Burke Attacker
6.46
18
Jonathan Afolabi
Jonathan Afolabi
77'
88
John McGovern
John McGovern Attacker
6.46
31
Michael Noonan
Michael Noonan
77'
6.46
Referee : Joakim Östling

Starting XI ▼

23
Guilherme Cioletti
Guilherme Cioletti Goalkeeper
5.88
3
Myles Beerman
Myles Beerman Defender
6.5
4
Kauan
Kauan Defender
6.5
17
Owen Spiteri
Owen Spiteri Defender
6.5
21
Carlo Zammit Lonardelli
Carlo Zammit Lonardelli Defender
6.45
10
Federico Varela
Federico Varela Midfielder
6.61
11
Robert Muric
Robert Muric Midfielder
6.69
—
Robert Muric
52'
14
Alen Kurtalic Midfielder
16
Gastón Manuel Romano
Gastón Manuel Romano Midfielder
6.5
12
Dunstan Vella
Dunstan Vella
64'
6.5
19
Mustapha Jah
Mustapha Jah Attacker
6.83
22
Tomislav Gudelj
Tomislav Gudelj Attacker
6.5
—
Tomislav Gudelj
71'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Naj Razi
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 4th Yellowcard
82'
81'
Event
Dunstan Vella 
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Jonathan Afolabi → Graham Burke
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Connor Malley → John O'Sullivan
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Michael Noonan → John McGovern
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Naj Razi → Dylan Watts
8th Substitution
77'
Event
Dylan Watts
Tripping / 2nd Yellowcard
75'
Event
Jack Byrne
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
74'
71'
Event
Ange Curtis N Dri → Tomislav Gudelj
4th Substitution
Event
John McGovern
Holding / 1st Yellowcard
68'
Event
Tunmise Sobowale → Jake Mulraney
3rd Substitution
65'
64'
Event
Dunstan Vella  → Gastón Manuel Romano
2nd Substitution
Event
Graham Burke
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
61'
52'
Event
Kenan Dervisagic → Robert Muric
1st Substitution
Event
John McGovern
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
48'
1ST-HALF
Event
Dylan Watts
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
29'
13'
Event
Tomislav Gudelj
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Lee Grace
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
7'

Match Commentary

82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Naj Razi.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Dunstan Vella.
77
Substitution Substitution
Michael Noonan is substituted for John McGovern.
77
Update Update
Jonathan Afolabi comes on for Graham Burke.
77
Update Update
On comes Naj Razi, off goes Dylan Watts.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dylan Watts receives a yellow card.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jack Byrne scores to make it 5-1, assisted by Dylan Watts.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Update Update
Ange Curtis N Dri comes on for Tomislav Gudelj.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
John McGovern receives a yellow card.
65
Update Update
Tunmise Sobowale replaces Jake Mulraney.
64
Update Update
On for Dunstan Vella, off for Gaston Manuel Romano.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Graham Burke scores, making it 4-1.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Update Update
Kenan Dervisagic comes on for Robert Muric.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! John McGovern scores, making it 2-1.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tomislav Gudelj scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Mustapha Jah.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Joakim Ostling.

CONCLUSION

Shamrock Rovers completed a strong home display to overcome Floriana by five goals to one. The halftime position of 2-1 provided a platform that the hosts extended methodically in the second period. Controlled possession and sustained pressure allowed them to add further goals without reply. Floriana offered limited resistance after the interval and finished with only one goal from their efforts. The absence of dismissals kept the contest balanced in terms of personnel. Overall the performance underlined Shamrock Rovers superiority on the night and secured their advancement. The clean disciplinary record contributed to an uninterrupted flow of play from start to finish.