Senegal vs Iraq preview
World Cup
Iraq
IRQ
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Senegal secured a 5-0 victory over Iraq with a halftime score of 1-0. Senegal controlled 69 percent of possession while Iraq held 31 percent. Expected goals stood at 3.1 for Senegal and 0.17 for Iraq creating a differential of 2.93. Iraq was reduced to ten players after receiving a red card. Senegal entered as the stronger side and the outcome proved consistent with underlying metrics. The match featured a significant deviation of 22.9 percent from pre-match projections favoring Senegal. Second half adjustments centered on the red card distortion that altered game flow. Senegal converted their dominance into a comprehensive result without further disruption.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Senegal showed a significant 22.9 percent deviation from pre-match projections.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for both teams.
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xG alignment: The 5-0 scoreline aligned with the 3.1 to 0.17 expected goals differential.
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Market alignment: The result stayed aligned with pre-match projections for the stronger side.
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xG expectations: Senegal exceeded xG expectations by converting 3.1 into five goals.
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Event impact: The red card to Iraq shaped second half dynamics and final margin.
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Red card distortion: Red card distortion prompted the listed second half adjustments in play.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Senegal
Iraq
Movement
Changes since opening
Senegal
Iraq
Team Power Ranking
i
38.89
20
Senegal
Iraq
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Senegal
Iraq
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Senegal
Senegal
Iraq
Senegal
Iraq
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Senegal
Senegal
Iraq
Senegal
Iraq
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SEN had peak pressure around 90'.
- SEN started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-26T19:00:22+00:00
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary