Scotland vs Morocco preview

2026 World Cup, World
Boston Stadium Fri, 19 Jun - 10:00 PM
World Cup
Scotland SCO
0 1
Morocco MAR
Full Time Fri, 19 Jun 10:00 PM
Round 2 Group Stage
|
Goal
Ismael Saibari - 2'

CONTEXT

Scotland faced Morocco in a contest that concluded with a 0-1 final score after Morocco led 0-1 at halftime. Scotland registered 41 percent possession while Morocco held 59 percent. Expected goals stood at 0.62 for Scotland and 1.15 for Morocco producing a differential of minus 0.53. The designated stronger team Scotland failed to claim victory. No red cards occurred during the match. Deviation measured 3.9 percent at a minimal level favoring Morocco. The result proved consistent with underlying expected goals metrics and aligned with pre-match indicators. Efficiency remained in line with established patterns throughout the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Deviation measured minimal at 3.9 percent for Morocco.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with established patterns.
  • xG alignment: Outcome proved consistent with the expected goals metrics.
  • Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Morocco posted 1.15 expected goals against Scotland's 0.62.
  • Event impact: Morocco secured the 0-1 victory after leading at halftime.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued in the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Tantashev
I. Tantashev
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Tsapenko
A. Tsapenko
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Gaynulin
T. Gaynulin
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Makhadmeh
A. Makhadmeh
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Scotland S. Clarke
S. Clarke
VS
Morocco M. Ouahbi
M. Ouahbi
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Haiti Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brazil Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Scotland
0.19%
Draw
3.73%
Away Morocco
96.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
66.67
19.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Scotland
Morocco
Power Score
66.67
19.63
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
43
8

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Scotland — Opponent-weighted form score
Morocco — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Scotland Morocco

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Scotland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Morocco

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Scotland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Morocco
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
19.63
23.90
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.90
19.63
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Scotland -0.38 Efficiency Index
vs
Morocco +0.38 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Scotland
Morocco
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Scotland
vs
Morocco
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Scotland Morocco
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
23%
4%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.15 vs -0.04
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Scotland Morocco
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
4%
23%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.04 vs -0.15
Scotland
Morocco
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Scotland
vs
Morocco
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Scotland Morocco
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Scotland 0.15
Morocco 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Scotland Morocco
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Scotland 0.02
Morocco 0.00
Scotland
Morocco
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MAR had peak pressure around 59'.
  • MAR started the game with stronger pressure.
SCO Pressure MAR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MAR reached the top pressure at 59' (84.23).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Scotland SCO Home
0 matches
Morocco MAR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-20T00:00:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-1-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Gunn
Scotland
1 A. Gunn
N. Patterson
Substitution
Scotland
22 N. Patterson
G. Hanley
Scotland
5 G. Hanley
J. Hendry
Scotland
13 J. Hendry
A. Robertson
Scotland
3 (C) A. Robertson
J. McGinn
Substitution
Scotland
7 J. McGinn
R. Christie
Substitution
Scotland
11 R. Christie
L. Ferguson
Scotland
19 L. Ferguson
K. Tierney
Substitution
Scotland
6 K. Tierney
S. McTominay
Scotland
4 S. McTominay
C. Adams
Substitution
Scotland
10 C. Adams
Y. Bounou
Morocco
1 Y. Bounou
N. Mazraoui
Morocco
3 N. Mazraoui
C. Riad
Morocco
18 C. Riad
I. Diop
Morocco
14 I. Diop
A. Hakimi Mouh
Morocco
2 (C) A. Hakimi Mouh
N. El Aynaoui
Morocco
24 N. El Aynaoui
A. Bouaddi
Morocco
6 A. Bouaddi
B. El Khannous
Substitution
Morocco
23 B. El Khannous
A. Ounahi
Substitution
Morocco
8 A. Ounahi
B. Abdelkader Diaz
Substitution
Morocco
10 B. Abdelkader Diaz
I. Saibari Ben El Basra
Substitution
Morocco
11 I. Saibari Ben El Basra

General Information

Date & Time
Jun 19, 2026, 10:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round 2 · Group Stage
Stadium
Boston Stadium
Capacity
66829
Attendance
64146
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ilgiz Tantashev
Andrey Tsapenko
Timur Gaynulin
Adham Mohammad Tumah Makhadmeh

Statistics

Possession
SCO
43%
MAR
57%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 3
6 Shots 10
41 Dangerous attacks 42
41 Possession 59
2 Corners 5
7 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

7 Goal Kicks 7
6 Substitutions 4
9 Throwins 19
0 Hit Woodwork 1
6 Successful Headers 9
0 Assists 1
6 Dribble Attempts 18
4 Successful Dribbles 5
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 28

Attacking

78 Attacks 97
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

47 Long Passes 44
455 Passes 671
388 Successful Passes 601
85 Successful Passes Percentage 90
5 Key Passes 12
20 Successful Long Passes 14
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32

Defensive

1 Saves 0
20 Tackles 9
9 Interceptions 6
37 Duels Won 33

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 10
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Ilgiz Tantashev

Starting XI ▼

1
Angus Gunn
Angus Gunn Goalkeeper
6.62
3
Andrew Robertson
Andrew Robertson (C) Defender
6.3
5
Grant Hanley
Grant Hanley Defender
6.82
13
Jack Hendry
Jack Hendry Defender
7.02
22
Nathan Patterson
Nathan Patterson Defender
6.45
24
Anthony Ralston
Anthony Ralston
Defender89'
6.47
6
Kieran Tierney
Kieran Tierney Midfielder
6.73
17
Ben Gannon-Doak
Ben Gannon-Doak
Attacker60'
6.63
7
John McGinn
John McGinn Midfielder
6.37
14
Ross Stewart
Ross Stewart
Attacker89'
6.59
11
Ryan Christie
Ryan Christie Midfielder
6.56
23
Kenny McLean
Kenny McLean
Midfielder71'
6.69
19
Lewis Ferguson
Lewis Ferguson Midfielder
7.18
4
Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay Attacker
6.76
10
Ché Adams
Ché Adams Attacker
6.72
9
Lyndon Dykes
Lyndon Dykes
Attacker71'
6.64
Referee : Ilgiz Tantashev

Starting XI ▼

1
Yassine Bounou
Yassine Bounou Goalkeeper
6.49
2
Achraf Hakimi
Achraf Hakimi (C) Defender
7.49
3
Noussair Mazraoui
Noussair Mazraoui Defender
6.84
14
Issa Diop
Issa Diop Defender
6.35
18
Chadi Riad
Chadi Riad Defender
6.97
6
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Ayyoub Bouaddi Midfielder
6.65
8
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Midfielder
6.99
15
Samir El Mourabet
Samir El Mourabet
Midfielder90'
6.73
10
Brahim Díaz
Brahim Díaz Midfielder
7.54
21
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab
Attacker84'
6.38
23
Bilal El Khannouss
Bilal El Khannouss Midfielder
6.74
7
Chemsdine Talbi
Chemsdine Talbi
Attacker84'
6.7
24
Neil El Aynaoui
Neil El Aynaoui Midfielder
7.29
11
Ismael Saibari
Ismael Saibari Attacker
7.4
9
Soufiane Rahimi
Soufiane Rahimi
Attacker84'
6.44

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Samir El Mourabet → Azzedine Ounahi
9th Substitution
Event
Anthony Ralston → Nathan Patterson
7th Substitution
89'
Event
Ross Stewart → John McGinn
8th Substitution
89'
84'
Event
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab → Brahim Díaz
4th Substitution
84'
Event
Soufiane Rahimi → Ismael Saibari
5th Substitution
84'
Event
Chemsdine Talbi → Bilal El Khannouss
6th Substitution
Event
Lyndon Dykes → Ché Adams
2nd Substitution
71'
Event
Kenny McLean → Ryan Christie
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Andrew Robertson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
66'
Event
Ben Gannon-Doak → Kieran Tierney
1st Substitution
60'
1ST-HALF
23'
Event
Issa Diop
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
2'
Event
Ismael Saibari
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Foul committed by Anthony Ralston of Scotland.
90
Update Update
Achraf Hakimi from Morocco earns a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Chemsdine Talbi (Morocco) took a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it went just a bit too high. He was assisted by Samir El Mourabet.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Chemsdine Talbi's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Samir El Mourabet.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Morocco: Samir El Mourabet comes on for Azzedine Ounahi.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Scotland: Anthony Ralston comes on for Nathan Patterson.
89
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Scotland: Ross Stewart comes on for John McGinn.
88
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Yassine Bounou from Morocco.
88
Attempt Attempt
Scott McTominay's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
86
Corner Corner
Lyndon Dykes of Scotland misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the left. The attempt was assisted by John McGinn, who delivered a cross after a corner.
86
Update Update
Lewis Ferguson from Scotland is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Soufiane Rahimi of Morocco.
85
Attempt Attempt
Scott McTominay's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Kenny McLean.
85
Corner Corner
Scotland wins a corner after Chadi Riad concedes.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Morocco: Chemsdine Talbi comes on for Bilal El Khannouss.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Morocco: Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab comes on for Brahim Díaz.
84
Update Update
Lewis Ferguson wins a free kick for Scotland in the defensive half.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab of Morocco.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Morocco: Soufiane Rahimi comes on for Ismael Saibari.
77
Update Update
John McGinn from Scotland wins a free kick in the defensive half.
77
Update Update
Brahim Díaz commits a foul for Morocco.
74
Update Update
Foul committed by Ben Gannon-Doak of Scotland.
74
Update Update
Yassine Bounou from Morocco is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
72
Update Update
Scott McTominay commits a foul for Scotland.
72
Update Update
Brahim Díaz from Morocco wins a free kick in the attacking half.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Scotland: Kenny McLean comes on for Ryan Christie.
71
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Scotland: Lyndon Dykes comes on for Ché Adams.
68
Update Update
The match is currently paused for a drinks break.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Andy Robertson of Scotland receives a yellow card for a foul.
65
Update Update
Foul committed by Andy Robertson (Scotland).
65
Update Update
Achraf Hakimi from Morocco wins a free kick on the right wing.
64
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Christie from Scotland misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
62
Attempt Attempt
Achraf Hakimi from Morocco misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from long range on the left.
62
Update Update
Foul committed by Ben Gannon-Doak of Scotland.
62
Update Update
Noussair Mazraoui from Morocco wins a free kick on the left wing.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Scotland: Ben Gannon-Doak comes on for Kieran Tierney due to an injury.
60
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
59
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Kieran Tierney from Scotland.
58
Attempt Attempt
Brahim Díaz's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. He was assisted by Azzedine Ounahi.
55
Update Update
Foul committed by Lewis Ferguson of Scotland.
55
Update Update
Azzedine Ounahi from Morocco is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
52
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Bilal El Khannouss's header from a tough angle on the right is saved in the top right corner by Angus Gunn. Achraf Hakimi provided the assist with a cross.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Morocco after Grant Hanley concedes.
50
Attempt Attempt
Ismael Saibari's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. He was assisted by Bilal El Khannouss.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Morocco after Jack Hendry concedes.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Scotland 0, Morocco 1.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kieran Tierney's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Ché Adams.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by John McGinn from Scotland, who took a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box.
44
Update Update
Foul committed by John McGinn of Scotland.
44
Update Update
Noussair Mazraoui from Morocco is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
43
Update Update
John McGinn of Scotland is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
43
Update Update
Noussair Mazraoui commits a foul for Morocco.
42
Update Update
Ayyoub Bouaddi from Morocco commits a handball.
39
Update Update
Offside called against Scotland. Jack Hendry is caught offside.
38
Attempt Attempt
Achraf Hakimi from Morocco misses a right-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it to the right. The attempt was assisted by Brahim Díaz with a cross.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Neil El Aynaoui of Morocco.
38
Update Update
Kieran Tierney wins a free kick for Scotland on the left wing.
37
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
36
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Neil El Aynaoui from Morocco.
36
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Bilal El Khannouss from Morocco, who took a right-footed shot from the left side of the box.
32
Update Update
Lewis Ferguson from Scotland wins a free kick in the defensive half.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Neil El Aynaoui of Morocco.
30
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Neil El Aynaoui from Morocco, who took a right-footed shot from the right side of the box.
27
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
24
Update Update
Kieran Tierney commits a foul for Scotland.
24
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
24
Update Update
Achraf Hakimi from Morocco is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
23
Update Update
Ché Adams from Scotland wins a free kick in the attacking half.
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Issa Diop of Morocco receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
23
Update Update
Issa Diop commits a foul for Morocco.
21
Attempt Attempt
Ayyoub Bouaddi's right-footed shot from outside the box for Morocco is blocked.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Morocco after a concession by Grant Hanley.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Morocco after Kieran Tierney concedes.
18
Update Update
John McGinn from Scotland commits a handball.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by Lewis Ferguson of Scotland.
16
Update Update
Bilal El Khannouss from Morocco is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Morocco after Ché Adams concedes.
3
Update Update
Kieran Tierney commits a foul for Scotland.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ismael Saibari takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ismael Saibari scores, making it 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Ilgiz Tantashev.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Scotland 0-1 Morocco. Structural assessment: Morocco exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.