SC Freiburg vs Sporting Braga preview

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Europa-Park Stadion Thu, 7 May - 7:00 PM
Europa League
SC FreiburgSCF
Sporting BragaSCB
KICKOFF : Thu, 7 May - 7:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 2

CONTEXT

SC Freiburg welcome Sporting Braga to Europa-Park Stadion for the decisive second leg of the Europa League semi-final. Freiburg trail 1-2 on aggregate after a narrow defeat in the first leg at Braga's home seven days ago, necessitating at least a two-goal win to advance outright or a one-goal margin for extra time. Freiburg hold a slim power advantage at 82.32 versus Braga's 81.8, bolstering their credentials as the marginally stronger side. Yet Braga arrive with superior form momentum, scoring 39.56 to Freiburg's 29.22, fueled by their first-leg success. Home advantage could enable Freiburg to impose a structured game, pressing high to disrupt Braga's rhythm. Braga, protecting their lead, may prioritize compact defending and rapid transitions. Set piece insights remain limited, drawing on low-confidence proxy data for both. Squads appear intact without noted disruptions. This high-stakes encounter tests Freiburg's resolve against Braga's resilience.

TL;DR

  • Structural: SC Freiburg holds a 0.5-point power advantage over Sporting Braga, signaling marginal structural superiority.
  • Form: Sporting Braga leads in form with a 39.56 score compared to SC Freiburg's 29.22.
  • Squad: No major squad changes or injuries reported for either team entering the second leg.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this Europa League semi-final matchup.
  • Transition: Sporting Braga's strong form highlights effective transition threats from their first-leg win.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics use low-confidence proxies with no xG data available for either side.
  • xVariable: xG statistics unavailable as the add-on is disabled for this fixture.
  • Market: SC Freiburg 55.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.9% (Δ+0%) | Sporting Braga 18.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
SC Freiburg J. Schuster
J. Schuster
VS
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
1.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 L
Celta de Vigo Rank: 80 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 80 W
Genk Rank: 76 W
Genk Rank: 76 L
LOSC Lille Rank: 81 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
SC Freiburg Rank: 83 W
Real Betis Rank: 81 W
Real Betis Rank: 82 D
Ferencvárosi Rank: 72 W
Ferencvárosi Rank: 72 L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 67 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home SC Freiburg
55.23%
Draw
25.9%
Away Sporting Braga
18.87%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.32
81.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
SC Freiburg
Sporting Braga
Power Score
82.32
81.8
League Position
7
6
Global Rank
48
50

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
SC Freiburg — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) SC Freiburg Sporting Braga

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

SC Freiburg SCF Home
1 matches
Sporting Braga SCB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-07T00:02:02+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
N. Atubolu
Germany
1 N. Atubolu
P. Treu
Germany
29 P. Treu
M. Ginter
Germany
28 M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
Austria
3 P. Lienhart
J. Makengo
France
33 J. Makengo
M. Eggestein
Germany
8 M. Eggestein
J. Manzambi
Switzerland
44 J. Manzambi
J. Beste
Germany
19 J. Beste
N. Höfler
Germany
27 N. Höfler
V. Grifo
Italy
32 V. Grifo
I. Matanovic
Croatia
31 I. Matanovic

General Information

Date & Time
May 07, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 2
Stadium
Europa-Park Stadion
Capacity
34700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Davide Massa
Filippo Meli
Stefano Alassio
Erik Lambrechts

Lineup

Referee : Davide Massa

Starting XI ▼

1
Noah Atubolu
Noah Atubolu Goalkeeper
6.9
3
Philipp Lienhart
Philipp Lienhart Defender
6.87
28
Matthias Ginter
Matthias Ginter Defender
7.12
29
Philipp Treu
Philipp Treu Defender
6.78
33
Jordy Makengo
Jordy Makengo Defender
6.53
8
Maximilian Eggestein
Maximilian Eggestein Midfielder
7.05
27
Nicolas Höfler
Nicolas Höfler Midfielder
6.57
44
Johan Manzambi
Johan Manzambi Midfielder
7.04
19
Niklas Beste
Niklas Beste Attacker
6.98
31
Igor Matanovic
Igor Matanovic Attacker
6.94
32
Vincenzo Grifo
Vincenzo Grifo Attacker
7.11
Referee : Davide Massa

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Hornicek
Lukas Hornicek Goalkeeper
6.85
2
Víctor Gómez
Víctor Gómez Defender
6.87
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho Defender
6.79
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Gustaf Lagerbielke Defender
6.82
15
Wilfried Siakam-Tchokoten
Wilfried Siakam-Tchokoten Defender
6.26
8
João Moutinho
João Moutinho Midfielder
6.7
29
Gorby
Gorby Midfielder
6.69
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Midfielder
6.53
10
Rodrigo Zalazar
Rodrigo Zalazar Attacker
7.06
18
Pau Víctor
Pau Víctor Attacker
6.94
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles Attacker
6.84

CONCLUSION

Freiburg face a critical challenge to reverse the 1-2 aggregate deficit, leveraging their 82.32 power score and home backing at Europa-Park Stadion. Early dominance in structure and possession could unlock Braga's defense, capitalizing on the slight edge. Braga's 39.56 form score underscores their counter-punching danger, likely exploiting transitions to preserve the lead. Absent detailed efficiency or set piece differentiators, execution decides progression. Freiburg's projected 54.5% edge reflects optimism for a comeback, demanding precision in attack. Braga must stay disciplined to repel pressure. Tension builds for a gripping semi-final conclusion.