Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Sarpsborg Stadion Sun, 12 Jul - 5:15 PM
Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
1 0
Viking Viking
Full Time Sun, 12 Jul 5:15 PM
Round 13 Regular Season
Daniel Karlsbakk - 22'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Sarpsborg 08 hosted Viking and secured a 1-0 victory with the only goal coming before halftime to establish a 1-0 lead at the break. Viking controlled 60 percent of possession yet failed to convert territorial dominance into goals while Sarpsborg operated at 40 percent possession. Expected goals favored the home side at 1.71 against Viking's 0.98 creating a differential of 0.73. No red cards were shown to either team. Pre-match assessment identified Viking as the stronger side but the result went to Sarpsborg 08. The outcome remained consistent with the underlying xG figures and showed a significant structural deviation attributed to the home winner. Efficiency metrics aligned with observed performance levels throughout the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sarpsborg 08 1-0 Viking. Sarpsborg 08 showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: Outcome proved consistent with the recorded xG values.
  • Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match expectations.
  • xG expectations: Sarpsborg 08 posted 1.71 xG while Viking recorded 0.98 xG.
  • Event impact: Sarpsborg 08 won despite Viking being the stronger team.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion applied.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Grøtta
M. Grøtta
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
E. Hareland
E. Hareland
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Jaeger
A. Jaeger
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Al Fahad
A. Al Fahad
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sarpsborg 08 E. Sel
E. Sel
VS
Viking M. Jensen
M. Jensen
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.7
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann Rank: 69 W
Molde Rank: 67 W
Vålerenga Rank: 60 L
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Lillestrøm Rank: 59 L
KFUM Rank: 59 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kristiansund Rank: 55 W
Start Rank: 51 W
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Rosenborg Rank: 63 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Brann Rank: 69 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sarpsborg 08
0%
Draw
0%
Away Viking
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.2
79.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sarpsborg 08
Viking
Power Score
63.2
79.38
League Position
7
2
Global Rank
422
76

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sarpsborg 08 — Opponent-weighted form score
Viking — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sarpsborg 08 Viking

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sarpsborg 08

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Viking

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sarpsborg 08 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Viking
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
50.00
26.25
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.25
50.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sarpsborg 08 +2.42 Efficiency Index
vs
Viking -2.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sarpsborg 08
Viking
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sarpsborg 08
vs
Viking
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sarpsborg 08 Viking
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
8%
24%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.14 vs -0.24
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sarpsborg 08 Viking
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
24%
8%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.24 vs -0.14
Sarpsborg 08
Viking
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sarpsborg 08
vs
Viking
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sarpsborg 08 Viking
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sarpsborg 08 0.45
Viking 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sarpsborg 08 Viking
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sarpsborg 08 0.00
Viking 0.03
Sarpsborg 08
Viking
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Sarpsborg 08 had peak pressure around 25'.
  • Viking started the game with stronger pressure.
Sarpsborg 08 Pressure Viking Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Sarpsborg 08 reached the top pressure at 25' (83.61).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 Home
4 matches
Viking Viking Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
0
Goals
4
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
4
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T10:54:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
L. Øy
Norway
87 L. Øy
C. Niyukuri
Substitution
Norway
12 C. Niyukuri
B. Utvik
Norway
4 (C) B. Utvik
M. Ødegaard
Norway
5 M. Ødegaard
A. Hiim
Norway
21 A. Hiim
V. Halvorsen
Substitution
Norway
22 V. Halvorsen
S. Sørli
Norway
10 S. Sørli
S. Christiansen
Norway
8 S. Christiansen
A. Hansen
Substitution
Denmark
33 A. Hansen
D. Seland Karlsbakk
Substitution
Norway
11 D. Seland Karlsbakk
N. Williams
Substitution
Sweden
17 N. Williams
Ľ. Belko
Slovakia
30 Ľ. Belko
K. Haugen
Substitution
Norway
28 K. Haugen
A. Bloch Bærtelsen
Denmark
21 A. Bloch Bærtelsen
G. Stensness
Australia
6 G. Stensness
H. Heggheim
Substitution
Norway
5 H. Heggheim
J. Bell
Substitution
New Zealand
8 J. Bell
Z. Tripić
Norway
10 (C) Z. Tripić
S. Kvia-Egeskog
Norway
26 S. Kvia-Egeskog
K. Askildsen
Substitution
Norway
7 K. Askildsen
N. Kemp Fuglestad
Substitution
23 N. Kemp Fuglestad
P. Christiansen
Denmark
20 P. Christiansen

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 12, 2026, 05:15 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 13 · Regular Season
Stadium
Sarpsborg Stadion
Capacity
8022
Attendance
4891
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marius Hansen Grøtta
Erland Hareland
Aleksander Jaeger
Abdulhadi Al Fahad

Statistics

Possession
Sarpsborg 08
44%
Viking
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 3
40 Dangerous attacks 75
40 Possession 60
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

90 Ball Safe 75
9 Goal Kicks 5
8 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
21 Throwins 18
1 Assists 0
8 Successful Dribbles 2
62 Successful Dribbles Percentage 22

Attacking

87 Attacks 137
7 Counter Attacks 3

Possession

404 Passes 582
314 Successful Passes 500
78 Successful Passes Percentage 86
14 Key Passes 6

Defensive

2 Saves 3
17 Tackles 14
10 Interceptions 5
48 Duels Won 38

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 34

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
6 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

87
L. Øy
L. Øy Goalkeeper
7.49
4
Bjørn Inge Utvik
Bjørn Inge Utvik (C) Defender
7.49
5
Magnar Odegaard
Magnar Odegaard Defender
7.27
12
Claus Niyukuri
Claus Niyukuri Defender
7.68
32
Eirik Wichne
Eirik Wichne
Defender74'
6.58
21
Anders Hiim
Anders Hiim Defender
7.33
8
Sander Christiansen
Sander Christiansen Midfielder
7.1
10
Sondre Sörli
Sondre Sörli Midfielder
6.91
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen Midfielder
7.1
3
Nikolai Skuseth
Nikolai Skuseth
Defender83'
6.49
33
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Midfielder
7.6
18
Bop Guèye
Bop Guèye
Midfielder74'
6.41
11
Daniel Karlsbakk
Daniel Karlsbakk Attacker
7.67
14
Jo Inge Berget
Jo Inge Berget
Attacker83'
6.46
17
Noa Williams
Noa Williams Attacker
6.72
6
Aimar Sher
Aimar Sher
Midfielder65'
6.77
Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

30
Lubomir Belko
Lubomir Belko Goalkeeper
7.2
5
Henrik Heggheim
Henrik Heggheim Defender
6.87
18
Sondre Bjørshol
Sondre Bjørshol
Defender62'
6.57
6
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness Defender
8.06
21
Anders Bærtelsen
Anders Bærtelsen Defender
7.18
28
Kristoffer Haugen
Kristoffer Haugen Defender
6.59
24
Vetle Auklend
Vetle Auklend
Defender73'
6.64
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
Kristoffer Askildsen Midfielder
6.67
33
Jakob Segadal Hansen
Jakob Segadal Hansen
Midfielder62'
6.61
8
Joe Bell
Joe Bell Midfielder
6.3
29
Tobias Moi
Tobias Moi
Midfielder46'
6.78
10
Zlatko Tripic
Zlatko Tripic (C) Midfielder
7.78
23
Niklas Fuglestad
Niklas Fuglestad Midfielder
6.87
2
Herman Haugen
Herman Haugen
Defender62'
6.63
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Simen Kvia-Egeskog Midfielder
6.63
20
Peter Christiansen
Peter Christiansen Attacker
6.32

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jo Inge Berget → Daniel Karlsbakk
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Nikolai Skuseth → Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
10th Substitution
83'
Event
Bop Guèye → Andreas Hansen
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Eirik Wichne → Claus Niyukuri
8th Substitution
74'
73'
Event
Vetle Auklend → Kristoffer Haugen
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Sondre Bjørshol
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Aimar Sher → Noa Williams
5th Substitution
65'
62'
Event
Sondre Bjørshol → Henrik Heggheim
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Jakob Segadal Hansen → Kristoffer Askildsen
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Herman Haugen → Niklas Fuglestad
4th Substitution
59'
Event
Tobias Moi
1st Yellowcard
46'
Event
Tobias Moi → Joe Bell
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Daniel Karlsbakk
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
22'

CONCLUSION

The 1-0 scoreline reflected Sarpsborg 08 capitalizing on their first-half advantage and maintaining defensive structure against Viking's higher possession share. Expected goals data supported the narrow margin with the home side generating superior quality chances. Absence of dismissals allowed both teams to complete the match at full strength without numerical adjustments. Viking's inability to translate ball dominance into clear opportunities proved decisive. Sarpsborg 08 demonstrated clinical finishing relative to their xG total while restricting the visitors effectively. The result highlighted how efficiency differences can override possession statistics in determining the final outcome between these sides.