Sarmiento vs Independiente Rivadavia preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Eva Perón de Junín Today - 7:45 PM
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Sarmiento SARM
2 1
Independiente Rivadavia INR
Full Time Today 7:45 PM
Round 3 2nd Phase
Mauricio Martínez - 12'
Julián Mavilla - 37'
Goal
|
Goal
Matías Fernández - 31'

CONTEXT

Sarmiento defeated Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 in the match. The halftime score stood at 2-1. Sarmiento recorded 0.69 expected goals while Independiente Rivadavia posted 2.03. Possession stood at 31 percent for Sarmiento and 69 percent for Independiente Rivadavia. No red cards were issued to either side. Independiente Rivadavia entered as the stronger team yet Sarmiento claimed the victory. The outcome proved inconsistent with expected goals but aligned with market projections. Efficiency remained in line with observed patterns. A significant deviation of 100 percent was attributed to Sarmiento. The final scoreline reflected these underlying metrics without further adjustments in the second half.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sarmiento recorded a significant 100 percent deviation from projected performance.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall match patterns.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was inconsistent with xG as Sarmiento won despite 0.69 to 2.03.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market projections despite the xG differential.
  • xG expectations: Independiente Rivadavia carried higher xG expectations at 2.03 but lost.
  • Event impact: The 2-1 halftime scoreline carried through to the final 2-1 result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued and therefore no distortion occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Echavarría
P. Echavarría
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Méndez
L. Méndez
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Bosso
G. Bosso
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Llobet
F. Llobet
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sarmiento F. Sava
F. Sava
VS
Independiente Rivadavia A. Berti
A. Berti
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.88
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Banfield Rank: 59 L
Argentinos Juniors Rank: 70 L
Belgrano Rank: 70 L
Tigre Rank: 66 W
Rosario Central Rank: 70 L
Gimnasia La Plata Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Huracán Rank: 65 W
Atlético Tucumán Rank: 61 D
Unión Santa Fe Rank: 63 L
Aldosivi Rank: 57 D
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Rank: 64 W
Banfield Rank: 61 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.68
73.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sarmiento
Independiente Rivadavia
Power Score
58.68
73.04
League Position
14
5
Global Rank
655
220

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sarmiento — Opponent-weighted form score
Independiente Rivadavia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sarmiento Independiente Rivadavia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sarmiento

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Independiente Rivadavia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sarmiento
vs
Independiente Rivadavia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sarmiento Independiente Rivadavia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
30%
78%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.20 vs -1.59
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sarmiento Independiente Rivadavia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
78%
30%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-1.59 vs -0.20
Sarmiento
Independiente Rivadavia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sarmiento
vs
Independiente Rivadavia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sarmiento Independiente Rivadavia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sarmiento 0.00
Independiente Rivadavia 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sarmiento Independiente Rivadavia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sarmiento 0.00
Independiente Rivadavia 0.00
Sarmiento
Independiente Rivadavia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • INR had peak pressure around 96'.
  • INR started the game with stronger pressure.
SARM Pressure INR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: INR reached the top pressure at 96' (81.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sarmiento SARM Home
2 matches
Independiente Rivadavia INR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
1
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-03T19:30:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Pitch
T. Ayala
Argentina
12 T. Ayala
S. Salle
Argentina
8 S. Salle
R. Orihuela Barcos
Uruguay
44 R. Orihuela Barcos
J. Insaurralde
Argentina
2 (C) J. Insaurralde
L. Suárez Scalarea
Argentina
3 L. Suárez Scalarea
J. Contrera
Substitution
Argentina
19 J. Contrera
C. Zabala
Argentina
15 C. Zabala
M. Martínez
Argentina
16 M. Martínez
J. Mavilla
Substitution
Argentina
21 J. Mavilla
J. Marabel Jara
Substitution
Paraguay
27 J. Marabel Jara
J. Herrera
Substitution
Argentina
24 J. Herrera
N. Bolcato
Argentina
30 N. Bolcato
D. Mayans
Argentina
27 D. Mayans
A. Osella
Argentina
13 A. Osella
I. Villalba Chamorro
Paraguay
40 I. Villalba Chamorro
A. Riep
Chile
20 A. Riep
L. Bucca
Substitution
Argentina
8 L. Bucca
T. Bottari
Substitution
Argentina
5 T. Bottari
K. Vázquez
Argentina
32 K. Vázquez
R. Atencio
Substitution
Argentina
19 R. Atencio
F. Sartori Prieto
Substitution
Argentina
43 F. Sartori Prieto
M. Fernández
Substitution
Argentina
10 M. Fernández

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 03, 2026, 07:45 PM
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 3 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
Capacity
22000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Pablo Echavarría
Lucio Méndez
Gisela Bosso
Fabricio Llobet

Statistics

Possession
SARM
38%
INR
62%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 4
3 Shots 6
48 Dangerous attacks 56
31 Possession 69
3 Corners 7
7 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
13 Goal Kicks 7
4 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 23
26 Dribble Attempts 12
11 Successful Dribbles 6
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

84 Attacks 110
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

74 Long Passes 51
205 Passes 441
121 Successful Passes 366
59 Successful Passes Percentage 83
4 Key Passes 11
32 Successful Long Passes 28
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 55

Defensive

6 Saves 2
20 Tackles 20
8 Interceptions 19
55 Duels Won 66

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 31
2 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
16 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Pablo Echavarría

Starting XI ▼

12
Thyago Ayala
Thyago Ayala Goalkeeper
7.45
2
Juan Manuel Insaurralde
Juan Manuel Insaurralde (C) Defender
6.72
3
Lucas Suárez
Lucas Suárez Defender
6.51
8
Santiago Salle
Santiago Salle Defender
6.6
44
Renzo Orihuela
Renzo Orihuela Defender
6.74
15
Cristian Zabala
Cristian Zabala Midfielder
6.97
16
Mauricio Martínez
Mauricio Martínez Midfielder
6.78
19
Julián Contrera
Julián Contrera Midfielder
6.56
99
Ulises Giménez
Ulises Giménez
Defender53'
6.28
21
Julián Mavilla
Julián Mavilla Midfielder
6.74
11
Gastón González
Gastón González
Attacker73'
6.34
24
Jonathan Herrera
Jonathan Herrera Attacker
6.6
6
Gastón Arturia
Gastón Arturia
Defender87'
6.54
27
Junior Marabel
Junior Marabel Attacker
6.96
9
Diego Churín
Diego Churín
Attacker73'
6.74
Referee : Pablo Echavarría

Starting XI ▼

30
Nicolás Bolcato
Nicolás Bolcato Goalkeeper
6.84
13
Alejo Osella
Alejo Osella Defender
6.87
20
Alessandro Riep
Alessandro Riep Defender
6.54
27
Diego Crego
Diego Crego Defender
6.57
40
Iván Villalba
Iván Villalba Defender
6.81
5
Tomás Bottari
Tomás Bottari Midfielder
6.73
25
José Florentín
José Florentín
Midfielder46'
7.16
8
Leonel Bucca
Leonel Bucca Midfielder
6.94
11
Gonzalo Ríos
Gonzalo Ríos
Midfielder64'
6.68
19
Rodrigo Atencio
Rodrigo Atencio Midfielder
6.83
77
Luis Sequeira
Luis Sequeira
Midfielder46'
6.87
32
Kevin Vázquez
Kevin Vázquez Midfielder
6.9
10
Matías Fernández
Matías Fernández Attacker
6.75
9
Álex Arce
Álex Arce
Attacker46'
6.94
43
Fabrizio Sartori
Fabrizio Sartori Attacker
6.76
3
Juan Elordi
Juan Elordi
Defender79'
6.94

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Iván Villalba
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Gastón Arturia → Jonathan Herrera
9th Substitution
87'
79'
Event
Juan Elordi → Fabrizio Sartori
8th Substitution
Event
Diego Churín → Junior Marabel
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Gastón González → Julián Mavilla
7th Substitution
73'
64'
Event
Gonzalo Ríos → Leonel Bucca
5th Substitution
Event
Ulises Giménez → Julián Contrera
4th Substitution
53'
46'
Event
Álex Arce → Matías Fernández
1st Substitution
46'
Event
José Florentín → Tomás Bottari
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Luis Sequeira → Rodrigo Atencio
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Mauricio Martínez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
41'
Event
Julián Mavilla
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
37'
31'
Event
Matías Fernández
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
31'
Event
Matías Fernández
Goalkeeper save
28'
Event
Leonel Bucca
Penalty awarded
Event
Mauricio Martínez
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
12'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ivan Villalba.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jose Ignacio Florentin Bobadilla attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Alejandro Vazquez takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
87
Update Update
Gaston Arturia is on, and Jonathan Carlos Herrera is off.
86
Update Update
Offside.
83
Update Update
Offside.
83
Attempt Attempt
Luis Sequeira takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
79
Attempt Attempt
Alejo Osella's header is saved.
79
Update Update
Juan Manuel Elordi comes on for Fabrizio Sartori.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Attempt Attempt
Ulises Gimenez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Attempt Attempt
Alex Adrian Arce Barrios attempts a header but misses the shot.
75
Attempt Attempt
Ulises Gimenez attempts a header but misses the shot.
73
Substitution Substitution
Diego Churin Puyo is substituted for Junior Marabel.
73
Update Update
Gaston Gonzalez comes on for Julian Mavilla.
73
Attempt Attempt
Luis Sequeira takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Attempt Attempt
Ulises Gimenez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
68
Attempt Attempt
Alex Adrian Arce Barrios attempts a header but misses the shot.
67
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ulises Gimenez Head Shot Missed
67
Update Update
Diego Churin Puyo is on, and Junior Marabel is off.
67
Update Update
Gaston Gonzalez comes on for Julian Mavilla.
64
Attempt Attempt
Luis Sequeira takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Attempt Attempt
Fabrizio Sartori takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Fabrizio Sartori takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Martinez's header is saved.
52
Update Update
Gonzalo Rios comes on for Leonel Bucca.
49
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Martinez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Juan Manuel Insaurralde takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Attempt Attempt
Santiago Salle takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Ulises Gimenez is on, and Julian Contrera is off.
46
Attempt Attempt
Alejo Osella takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Update Update
Jose Ignacio Florentin Bobadilla comes on for Tomas Bottari.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alex Adrian Arce Barrios comes on for Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez.
45
Attempt Attempt
Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
42
Update Update
First half ends with a score of 2-1.
41
Attempt Attempt
Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Attempt Attempt
Alejo Osella takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Mauricio Martinez receives a yellow card.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mauricio Martinez receives a yellow card.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Julian Mavilla with his left foot results in a goal.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Julian Mavilla scores, making it 2-1.
31
Attempt Attempt
Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
28
Attempt Attempt
Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
25
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez misses the shot.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez scores, making it 1-1.
25
Update Update
VAR decision results in a penalty awarded to Leonel Bucca.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Update Update
Leonel Bucca's header is blocked.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Attempt Attempt
Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
12
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Alejandro Vazquez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Mauricio Martinez takes a right-footed shot.
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mauricio Martinez scores to make it 1-0.
9
Update Update
Offside.
7
Attempt Attempt
Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Pablo Echavarria.

CONCLUSION

Sarmiento secured the 2-1 win over Independiente Rivadavia through an early lead that held despite lower possession and expected goals. The home side converted limited opportunities while the visitors controlled the ball at 69 percent yet failed to equalize. Absence of red cards kept the contest at full strength throughout. The significant deviation by Sarmiento produced an outcome outside xG alignment but consistent with market views. Efficiency metrics stayed in line without notable second half shifts. This result highlights how early scoring can override underlying statistical edges in tightly contested fixtures.