Sarmiento vs Argentinos Juniors preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Eva Perón de Junín Thu, 23 Jul - 10:30 PM
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
SarmientoSARM
2 3
Argentinos JuniorsARJ
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 10:30 PM
Round 1 2nd Phase
Goal
|
Goal
Alan Lescano - 48'
Diego Porcel - 90'
|
Second yellow card Diego Porcel 90+1'

CONTEXT

Sarmiento faced Argentinos Juniors in a competitive league fixture that saw the home team lead 1-0 at halftime. Argentinos Juniors responded strongly after the break despite the setback of a red card to one of their players. The visitors secured a 2-3 victory with effective attacking play and better overall control. Possession stats showed Argentinos Juniors at 55 percent while Sarmiento held 45 percent. Expected goals favored the away side with 1.53 compared to the home team's 0.94 creating a differential of minus 0.59. The stronger team delivered the win as the outcome remained consistent with underlying metrics. The match highlighted clear adjustments in the second half that influenced the final result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sarmiento 2-3 Argentinos Juniors. Argentinos Juniors showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed performance levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with xG alignment.
  • Market alignment: The result demonstrated clear market alignment.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stood at 0.94 for Sarmiento and 1.53 for Argentinos Juniors.
  • Event impact: The red card created a key event impact through second half adjustments.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion affected Argentinos Juniors after their player was sent off.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Lobo Medina
L. Lobo Medina
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Espinoza
D. Espinoza
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Bevilacqua
B. Bevilacqua
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Gil
J. Gil
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sarmiento F. Sava
F. Sava
VS
Argentinos Juniors N. Diez Parajon
N. Diez Parajon
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.89
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Belgrano Rank: 67 L
Tigre Rank: 65 W
Rosario Central Rank: 68 L
Gimnasia La Plata Rank: 64 L
Barracas Central Rank: 59 W
Aldosivi Rank: 55 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Belgrano Rank: 67 D
Huracán Rank: 64 W
Lanús Rank: 64 W
Gimnasia La Plata Rank: 64 L
Huracán Rank: 64 W
Atlético Tucumán Rank: 60 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.36
70.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sarmiento
Argentinos Juniors
Power Score
57.36
70.28
League Position
14
3
Global Rank
615
239

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sarmiento — Opponent-weighted form score
Argentinos Juniors — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sarmiento Argentinos Juniors

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sarmiento

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Argentinos Juniors

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sarmiento ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Argentinos Juniors
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
18.81
20.09
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.09
18.81
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sarmiento -0.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Argentinos Juniors +0.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sarmiento
Argentinos Juniors
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sarmiento
vs
Argentinos Juniors
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sarmiento Argentinos Juniors
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
68%
14%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.64 vs -0.21
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sarmiento Argentinos Juniors
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
14%
68%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.21 vs -0.64
Sarmiento
Argentinos Juniors
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sarmiento
vs
Argentinos Juniors
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sarmiento Argentinos Juniors
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sarmiento 0.16
Argentinos Juniors 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sarmiento Argentinos Juniors
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sarmiento 0.06
Argentinos Juniors 0.05
Sarmiento
Argentinos Juniors
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SARM had peak pressure around 99'.
  • SARM started the game with stronger pressure.
SARM Pressure ARJ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SARM reached the top pressure at 99' (85.34).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sarmiento SARM Home
2 matches
Argentinos Juniors ARJ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-24T00:09:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 10:30 PM
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 1 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
Capacity
22000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Luis Lobo Medina
Damián Espinoza
Belén Bevilacqua
Joaquín Gil

Statistics

Possession
SARM
47%
ARJ
53%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
2 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 3
52 Dangerous attacks 39
45 Possession 55
7 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 15
3 Yellow Cards 6
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

86 Ball Safe 88
6 Goal Kicks 7
7 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
24 Throwins 16
1 Assists 0
1 Injuries 0
21 Dribble Attempts 12
12 Successful Dribbles 6
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

93 Attacks 94

Possession

68 Long Passes 55
352 Passes 454
262 Successful Passes 378
74 Successful Passes Percentage 83
8 Key Passes 11
32 Successful Long Passes 28
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51

Defensive

2 Saves 1
21 Tackles 12
12 Interceptions 9

Build-up

30 Total Crosses 10
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Luis Lobo Medina

Starting XI ▼

1
Iván Arboleda
Iván Arboleda Goalkeeper
6.21
2
Juan Manuel Insaurralde
Juan Manuel Insaurralde (C) Defender
6.43
3
Lucas Matías Suárez Scalarea
Lucas Matías Suárez Scalarea Defender
6.29
29
Thiago Santamaría
Thiago Santamaría Defender
6.32
44
Renzo Orihuela
Renzo Orihuela Defender
7.43
8
Santiago Salle
Santiago Salle Midfielder
6.4
21
Julián Mavilla
Julián Mavilla
Midfielder84'
15
Cristian Zabala
Cristian Zabala Midfielder
7.17
23
Elián Giménez
Elián Giménez Midfielder
6.55
5
Manuel García
Manuel García
Midfielder46'
6.39
33
Gabriel Díaz
Gabriel Díaz Midfielder
6.85
11
Gastón González
Gastón González
Attacker90+1'
7
Pablo Magnin
Pablo Magnin Attacker
6.95
24
Jonathan Herrera
Jonathan Herrera
Attacker57'
6.47
27
Junior Marabel
Junior Marabel Attacker
7.36
9
Diego Churín
Diego Churín
Attacker84'
Referee : Luis Lobo Medina

Starting XI ▼

25
Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández
Brayan Josué Cortés Fernández Goalkeeper
6.24
4
Érik Godoy
Érik Godoy Defender
6.8
22
Kevin Coronel
Kevin Coronel
Defender38'
6.43
16
Francisco Álvarez
Francisco Álvarez Defender
6.27
17
Franco Paredes
Franco Paredes Defender
6.51
20
Sebastián Prieto
Sebastián Prieto Defender
7.38
8
Lucas Gómez
Lucas Gómez Midfielder
6.37
15
Kevin Gutiérrez
Kevin Gutiérrez
Midfielder46'
6.51
10
Alan Lescano
Alan Lescano (C) Midfielder
7.27
11
Nicolás Oroz
Nicolás Oroz Midfielder
6.81
48
Facundo Jainikoski
Facundo Jainikoski Midfielder
6.31
47
Diego Porcel
Diego Porcel
Attacker72'
7
Iván Morales
Iván Morales Attacker
6.55
27
Tomás Molina
Tomás Molina
Attacker46'
6.75
9
Gastón Verón
Gastón Verón Attacker
7.13
23
Hernán López Muñoz
Hernán López Muñoz
Midfielder80'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Gastón González → Gabriel Díaz
10th Substitution
90+1'
90+1'
Event
Diego Porcel
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 1st Yellow/red Card
90'
Event
Diego Porcel
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
Diego Churín → Junior Marabel
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Julián Mavilla → Santiago Salle
9th Substitution
84'
80'
Event
Hernán López Muñoz → Gastón Verón
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Diego Porcel
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Diego Porcel → Facundo Jainikoski
6th Substitution
Event
Renzo Orihuela
Header / 4th Goal
69'
58'
Event
Sebastián Prieto
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Jonathan Herrera → Pablo Magnin
5th Substitution
57'
54'
Event
Alan Lescano
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Cristian Zabala
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
53'
48'
Event
Alan Lescano
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Manuel García → Elián Giménez
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Kevin Gutiérrez → Lucas Gómez
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Tomás Molina → Iván Morales
4th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Juan Manuel Insaurralde
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
45+1'
43'
Event
Francisco Álvarez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
38'
Event
Kevin Coronel → Érik Godoy
1st Substitution
Event
Junior Marabel
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
30'
24'
Event
Iván Morales
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
16'
Event
Franco Paredes
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Elián Giménez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
12'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Suarez attempted a header but missed the shot.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Diego Churin Puyo attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Update Update
Gaston Gonzalez comes on for Gabriel Diaz.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Diego Porcel receives a second yellow card.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Diego Porcel scores with a right-footed shot.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Diego Porcel scores, making it 2-3.
87
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Coronel takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
86
Update Update
Offside.
85
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Russel Gutierrez Gonzalez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
84
Substitution Substitution
Julian Mavilla is substituted for Santiago Salle.
84
Substitution Substitution
Diego Churin Puyo is substituted for Junior Marabel.
81
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Suarez attempts a header but misses the shot.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Update Update
Hernan Lopez Munoz is on, and Gaston Veron is off.
79
Update Update
Offside.
77
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Garcia takes a right-footed shot but misses.
77
Attempt Attempt
Manuel Garcia takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Diego Porcel receives a yellow card.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Update Update
Diego Porcel is on, and Facundo Jainikoski is off.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Renzo Miguel Orihuela Barcos, a header, results in a goal.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-2.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Attempt Attempt
Facundo Jainikoski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Junior Marabel's header is saved.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Sebastian Prieto scores with a left-footed shot.
58
Attempt Attempt
Alan Lescano takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sebastian Prieto scores, making it 1-2.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Jonathan Carlos Herrera comes on for Pablo Daniel Magnin.
56
Update Update
Offside.
55
Update Update
Offside.
54
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alan Lescano receives a yellow card.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Cristian Zabala receives a yellow card.
52
Attempt Attempt
Gaston Veron's right-footed shot is saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Alan Lescano with his left foot finds the back of the net.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
46
Update Update
Kevin Russel Gutierrez Gonzalez comes on for Lucas Gómez.
46
Update Update
Tomas Molina is on, and Ivan Andres Morales Bravo is off.
46
Update Update
Manuel Garcia is on, and Elian Gimenez is off.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Juan Manuel Insaurralde.
43
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Adrian Oroz takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Francisco Alvarez.
38
Update Update
Kevin Coronel is on, and Erik Fernando Godoy is off.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Junior Marabel scores with a right-footed shot.
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Junior Marabel scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Pablo Daniel Magnin.
27
Attempt Attempt
Gaston Veron takes a header shot, but it misses the target.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ivan Andres Morales Bravo.
24
Attempt Attempt
Elian Gimenez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Gaston Veron takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Diaz takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Franco Paredes receives a yellow card.
14
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ivan Andres Morales Bravo with his right foot, but it’s blocked.
13
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Elian Gimenez receives a yellow card.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Attempt Attempt
Franco Paredes takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Luis Lobo Medina.

CONCLUSION

Argentinos Juniors overcame an early deficit and a numerical disadvantage to claim a 2-3 win against Sarmiento. Their ability to adjust after the red card proved decisive in turning the match around. Sarmiento started brightly with a halftime lead but could not maintain momentum once the visitors increased pressure. The xG figures and possession edge supported the away team's dominance throughout the contest. This result reinforced the strength of Argentinos Juniors as they secured the points on the road. Both sides showed moments of quality yet the visitors capitalized more effectively on opportunities created. The performance underlined their resilience in challenging circumstances.