Sarajevo vs Inter Turku preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase Thu, 9 Jul - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
SarajevoSAR
1 – 1
Inter TurkuINT
Full Time Thu, 9 Jul 7:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Bartol Barisic - 90+4'
Goal
|
Goal
A. Conteh - 7'

CONTEXT

Sarajevo welcomed Inter Turku for the opening leg of their knockout tie. The match ended in a 1-1 draw after an eventful ninety minutes. Inter Turku struck first to lead 1-0 at halftime. Sarajevo held 68 percent possession but found themselves behind at the break. In the second half the hosts equalized to make the score 1-1. This outcome keeps the aggregate level for the second leg. The away side managed 32 percent possession and focused on counter attacks. No red cards were issued to either team during the game. Sarajevo as the stronger team could not overcome the visitors fully. The moderate structural deviation highlighted some unexpected elements in the performance levels.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sarajevo 1-1 Inter Turku. Sarajevo showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency was in line with the overall performance metrics observed.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals alignment could not be determined due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was consistent with pre-match projections for the encounter.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals expectations remained unassessed without available metrics.
  • Event impact: The second half equalizer by the home side shifted the match dynamics significantly.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards ensured no distortion in team compositions or match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Polychronis
F. Polychronis
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Dimitriadis
L. Dimitriadis
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Minoudis
I. Minoudis
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Tsakalidis
A. Tsakalidis
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sarajevo Z. Zekić
Z. Zekić
VS
Inter Turku V. Vasara
V. Vasara
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sarajevo
4.87%
Draw
90.72%
Away Inter Turku
4.41%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sarajevo
+3.93%
Draw
+83.45%
Inter Turku
-87.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sarajevo
Inter Turku
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sarajevo — Opponent-weighted form score
Inter Turku — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sarajevo Inter Turku

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sarajevo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Inter Turku

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sarajevo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Inter Turku
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.37
16.41
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.41
20.37
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sarajevo +0.38 Efficiency Index
vs
Inter Turku -0.38 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sarajevo
Inter Turku
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sarajevo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Inter Turku
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sarajevo Inter Turku
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sarajevo Inter Turku
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sarajevo
Inter Turku
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sarajevo
vs
Inter Turku
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sarajevo Inter Turku
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sarajevo 0.07
Inter Turku 0.07
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sarajevo Inter Turku
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sarajevo 0.02
Inter Turku 0.01
Sarajevo
Inter Turku
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • INT had peak pressure around 13'.
  • INT started the game with stronger pressure.
SAR Pressure INT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: INT reached the top pressure at 13' (72.04).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 09, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase
Capacity
34500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fotis Polychronis
Lazaros Dimitriadis
Ioannis Minoudis
Alexandros Tsakalidis

Statistics

Possession
SAR
62%
INT
38%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
6 Shots 1
117 Dangerous attacks 45
68 Possession 32
5 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

93 Ball Safe 89
7 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 4
25 Throwins 18
0 Assists 1
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

173 Attacks 100

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Fotis Polychronis

Starting XI ▼

31
Ivan Banic
Ivan Banic Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Shane Maroodza
Shane Maroodza Defender
6.26
3
Renato Gojkovic
Renato Gojkovic Defender
6.26
99
Bartol Barisic
Bartol Barisic
Attacker46'
22
Amar Beganovic
Amar Beganovic Defender
6.26
33
Stefan Ristovski
Stefan Ristovski Defender
6.26
9
Leo Mikic
Leo Mikic Midfielder
6.37
17
Filip Kosi
Filip Kosi
Defender60'
10
Adem Ljajic
Adem Ljajic (C) Midfielder
6.37
11
Francis Kyeremeh
Francis Kyeremeh Midfielder
6.37
—
Francis Kyeremeh
73'
20
Agon Elezi
Agon Elezi Midfielder
6.37
59
Gojko Cimirot
Gojko Cimirot Midfielder
6.37
38
Souleymane Méité
Souleymane Méité
Defender46'
77
Mihael Kupresak
Mihael Kupresak Midfielder
6.33
27
Luka Hujber
Luka Hujber
Defender85'
6.5
Referee : Fotis Polychronis

Starting XI ▼

1
Eetu Huuhtanen
Eetu Huuhtanen Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Jussi Niska
Jussi Niska Defender
6.26
3
Juuso Hämäläinen
Juuso Hämäläinen (C) Defender
6.26
18
S. Saarinen
S. Saarinen Defender
6.26
21
Ilari Kangasniemi
Ilari Kangasniemi Defender
6.26
4
Prosper Ahiabu
Prosper Ahiabu Midfielder
6.37
14
Janne-Pekka Laine
Janne-Pekka Laine Midfielder
6.37
9
Jasse Tuominen
Jasse Tuominen Attacker
6.5
19
Iiro Järvinen
Iiro Järvinen
Midfielder74'
6.37
10
A. Conteh
A. Conteh Attacker
6.86
11
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué
Attacker74'
6.46
16
Clinton Jephta
Clinton Jephta Attacker
6.5
25
H. Salomaa
H. Salomaa
Midfielder88'
23
Antoin Loic Essomba
Antoin Loic Essomba Attacker
6.59
24
Julius Tauriainen
Julius Tauriainen
Defender83'
6.26

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Bartol Barisic
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
90+4'
88'
Event
H. Salomaa → Clinton Jephta
9th Substitution
Event
Luka Hujber → Mihael Kupresak
8th Substitution
85'
83'
Event
Julius Tauriainen → Antoin Loic Essomba
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué → A. Conteh
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Iiro Järvinen → Jasse Tuominen
6th Substitution
Event
J. Agyekum → Francis Kyeremeh
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Mihael Kupresak
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
63'
Event
Filip Kosi → Leo Mikic
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Souleymane Méité
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
52'
Event
Bartol Barisic → Renato Gojkovic
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Souleymane Méité → Gojko Cimirot
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
7'
Event
A. Conteh
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bartol Barisic scores, making it 1-1.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Update Update
Henri Salomaa comes on for Clinton Jephta.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Luka Hujber replaces Mihael Kupresak.
83
Update Update
Julius Tauriainen comes on for Loic Essomba.
74
Update Update
On Jean Botue, off Alie Conteh.
74
Update Update
Iiro Jarvinen replaces Jasse Tuominen.
73
Update Update
Jonathan Agyekum is on, and Francis Kyeremeh is off.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
60
Update Update
Filip Kosi replaces Leo Mikic.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Suleiman Meite.
46
Substitution Substitution
Suleiman Meite is substituted for Gojko Cimirot.
46
Update Update
Bartol Barisic replaces Renato Gojkovic.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has taken place!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sarajevo 1-1 Inter Turku. Structural assessment: Sarajevo exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.