São Paulo vs Santos preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Serie A
Postponed
Round 21 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2026 Serie A regular season São Paulo host Santos at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. The sides arrive with nearly identical power scores of 63.4 and 63.46 respectively, leaving Santos as the marginally stronger side by a single tenth of a point. Domestically São Paulo sit twelfth while Santos occupy fourteenth, a narrow gap that underscores the even nature of the contest. Recent form readings show a clear edge for the visitors, whose 16.78 form score comfortably exceeds the home side's 6.39. Both teams will aim to control midfield exchanges and limit errors in possession as they seek to climb the table. The fixture offers a balanced test of organisation and execution between two sides separated by minimal margins.

TL;DR

  • Structural: São Paulo sit twelfth and Santos fourteenth in the domestic Serie A standings.
  • Form: Santos hold a superior form score of 16.78 against São Paulo's 6.39.
  • Squad: No detailed squad composition data is available for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition phase statistics are not provided in the data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data for both teams.
  • xVariable: Power scores are nearly identical with Santos holding a 0.1 point advantage.
  • Market: Baseline split: São Paulo 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Santos 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
1.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.16
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Flamengo Rank: 77 D
Athletico PR Rank: 64 L
Remo Rank: 59 L
Botafogo Rank: 69 D
Fluminense Rank: 69 L
Corinthians Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chapecoense Rank: 52 D
Botafogo Rank: 67 L
Vitória Rank: 62 W
Grêmio Rank: 63 L
Coritiba Rank: 60 L
Bragantino Rank: 65 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.4
63.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
São Paulo
Santos
Power Score
63.4
63.46
League Position
12
14
Global Rank
453
451

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
São Paulo Opponent-weighted form score
Santos Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) São Paulo Santos

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

São Paulo SAO Home
3 matches
Santos STS Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-28T00:03:50+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 21 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Capacity
66795
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

31
Carlos Miguel Coronel
23
Rafael Pires Monteiro
50
Young Navarro Moraes
Young Navarro Moraes Goalkeeper
52
Felipe Gabriel Preis
Felipe Gabriel Preis Goalkeeper
21
Cédric Ricardo Alves Soares
Cédric Ricardo Alves Soares Defender
2
Rafael Tolói
Rafael Tolói Defender
13
Enzo Hernán Díaz
Enzo Hernán Díaz Defender
15
João Moreira Souza
João Moreira Souza Defender
Matheus Souza
Matheus Souza Defender
40
Igor Teixeira Felisberto
Igor Teixeira Felisberto Defender
42
Maik Gomes Viegas
Maik Gomes Viegas Defender
56
Nicolas Bosshardt
80
Cauly Oliveira Souza
33
Luan Vinicius da Silva Santos
Luan Vinicius da Silva Santos Midfielder
16
Damián Bobadilla
Damián Bobadilla Midfielder
30
Felipe Negrucci Berdague
Felipe Negrucci Berdague Midfielder
38
Hugo Leonardo Nunes Fernandes Santos
Hugo Leonardo Nunes Fernandes Santos Midfielder
48
Djhordney Ferreira
Djhordney Ferreira Midfielder
9
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri Attacker
João Victor Santos Sa
7
Lucas Rodrigues Moura da Silva
Lucas Rodrigues Moura da Silva Attacker
17
André Oliveira Silva
14
Gonzalo Andrés Tapia Dubournais
Gonzalo Andrés Tapia Dubournais Attacker
39
Paulo Sérgio Venuto Bezerra
Paulo Sérgio Venuto Bezerra Attacker
45
Lucca Marques Alencar
Lucca Marques Alencar Attacker
34
Perivan dos Santos

Squad

João Paulo Silva Martins
67
Rodrigo Plazezwski Falcão
Rodrigo Plazezwski Falcão Goalkeeper
12
Mayke Rocha de Oliveira
Mayke Rocha de Oliveira Defender
14
Luan Peres Petroni
Alexis David Duarte Pereira
Alexis David Duarte Pereira Defender
Alex de Oliveira Nascimento
Alex de Oliveira Nascimento Defender
98
Adonis Uriel Frías
3
Vinicius Rodrigues Lira
Vinicius Rodrigues Lira Defender
6
José Rafael Vivian
José Rafael Vivian Midfielder
25
Gabriel Vinicius Menino
30
Miguel Ángel Terceros
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
20
Pedro Paulo Manoel Fermino
Pedro Paulo Manoel Fermino Midfielder
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
Gustavo Caballero
47
Mateus Xavier de Sousa
Mateus Xavier de Sousa Attacker
Enzo Duscov Boer
Enzo Duscov Boer Attacker

CONCLUSION

The encounter shapes up as a tight domestic league meeting where small differences in organisation could decide the outcome. São Paulo will rely on home advantage to offset Santos' better recent form readings while both sides navigate limited efficiency and set piece insights. With power metrics almost level the contest is likely to hinge on midfield control and individual moments rather than structural superiority. Santos may look to exploit their form edge through measured build up while São Paulo seek to impose rhythm early. The narrow league positions suggest neither side can afford complacency in what promises to be a measured tactical battle.