São Paulo vs Santos preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo Today - 12:00 AM
Serie A
São Paulo SAO
Santos STS
Postponed Today 12:00 AM
Round 21 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2026 Serie A regular season São Paulo host Santos at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. The sides arrive with nearly identical power scores of 63.4 and 63.46 respectively, leaving Santos as the marginally stronger side by a single tenth of a point. Domestically São Paulo sit twelfth while Santos occupy fourteenth, a narrow gap that underscores the even nature of the contest. Recent form readings show a clear edge for the visitors, whose 16.78 form score comfortably exceeds the home side's 6.39. Both teams will aim to control midfield exchanges and limit errors in possession as they seek to climb the table. The fixture offers a balanced test of organisation and execution between two sides separated by minimal margins.

TL;DR

  • Structural: São Paulo sit twelfth and Santos fourteenth in the domestic Serie A standings.
  • Form: Santos hold a superior form score of 16.78 against São Paulo's 6.39.
  • Squad: No detailed squad composition data is available for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition phase statistics are not provided in the data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data for both teams.
  • xVariable: Power scores are nearly identical with Santos holding a 0.1 point advantage.
  • Market: Baseline split: São Paulo 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Santos 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
São Paulo D. Silvestre Júnior
D. Silvestre Júnior
VS
Santos A. Stival
A. Stival
1.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.16
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Flamengo Rank: 77 D
Athletico PR Rank: 64 L
Remo Rank: 59 L
Botafogo Rank: 69 D
Fluminense Rank: 69 L
Corinthians Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chapecoense Rank: 52 D
Botafogo Rank: 67 L
Vitória Rank: 62 W
Grêmio Rank: 63 L
Coritiba Rank: 60 L
Bragantino Rank: 65 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home São Paulo
0%
Draw
0%
Away Santos
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.4
63.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
São Paulo
Santos
Power Score
63.4
63.46
League Position
12
14
Global Rank
453
451

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
São Paulo — Opponent-weighted form score
Santos — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) São Paulo Santos

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

São Paulo SAO Home
3 matches
Santos STS Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-28T00:03:50+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 29, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 21 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Capacity
66795
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

31
Carlos Miguel Coronel
Carlos Miguel Coronel Goalkeeper
23
Rafael Pires Monteiro
Rafael Pires Monteiro Goalkeeper
50
Young Navarro Moraes
Young Navarro Moraes Goalkeeper
52
Felipe Gabriel Preis
Felipe Gabriel Preis Goalkeeper
21
Cédric Ricardo Alves Soares
Cédric Ricardo Alves Soares Defender
18
Wendell Nascimento Borges
Wendell Nascimento Borges Defender
2
Rafael Tolói
Rafael Tolói Defender
19
Lucas Ramon Batista Silva
Lucas Ramon Batista Silva Defender
5
Robert Abel Arboleda Escobar
Robert Abel Arboleda Escobar Defender
13
Enzo Hernán Díaz
Enzo Hernán Díaz Defender
35
José Sabino Chagas Monteiro
José Sabino Chagas Monteiro Defender
15
João Moreira Souza
João Moreira Souza Defender
—
Matheus Souza
Matheus Souza Defender
53
Isac Silvestre da Silva
Isac Silvestre da Silva Defender
40
Igor Teixeira Felisberto
Igor Teixeira Felisberto Defender
54
Luis Osorio Messias de Oliveira
Luis Osorio Messias de Oliveira Defender
42
Maik Gomes Viegas
Maik Gomes Viegas Defender
56
Nicolas Bosshardt
Nicolas Bosshardt Defender
80
Cauly Oliveira Souza
Cauly Oliveira Souza Midfielder
94
Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo
Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo Midfielder
8
Marcos Antonio Silva Santos
Marcos Antonio Silva Santos Midfielder
33
Luan Vinicius da Silva Santos
Luan Vinicius da Silva Santos Midfielder
—
Newton Araújo da Costa Júnior
Newton Araújo da Costa Júnior Midfielder
16
Damián Bobadilla
Damián Bobadilla Midfielder
29
Pablo Gonçalves Maia Fortunato
Pablo Gonçalves Maia Fortunato Midfielder
30
Felipe Negrucci Berdague
Felipe Negrucci Berdague Midfielder
46
Pedro Henrique da Silva Ferreira
Pedro Henrique da Silva Ferreira Midfielder
38
Hugo Leonardo Nunes Fernandes Santos
Hugo Leonardo Nunes Fernandes Santos Midfielder
48
Djhordney Ferreira
Djhordney Ferreira Midfielder
9
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri Attacker
—
João Victor Santos Sa
João Victor Santos Sa Attacker
7
Lucas Rodrigues Moura da Silva
Lucas Rodrigues Moura da Silva Attacker
10
Luciano da Rocha Neves
Luciano da Rocha Neves Attacker
37
Artur Victor Guimarães
Artur Victor Guimarães Attacker
17
André Oliveira Silva
André Oliveira Silva Attacker
11
Aldemir dos Santos Ferreira
Aldemir dos Santos Ferreira Attacker
14
Gonzalo Andrés Tapia Dubournais
Gonzalo Andrés Tapia Dubournais Attacker
49
Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva
Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva Attacker
39
Paulo Sérgio Venuto Bezerra
Paulo Sérgio Venuto Bezerra Attacker
45
Lucca Marques Alencar
Lucca Marques Alencar Attacker
34
Perivan dos Santos
Perivan dos Santos Attacker

Squad ▼

—
João Paulo Silva Martins
João Paulo Silva Martins Goalkeeper
77
Gabriel Nascimento Resende Brazão
Gabriel Nascimento Resende Brazão Goalkeeper
1
Diogenes Vinicius da Silva
Diogenes Vinicius da Silva Goalkeeper
67
Rodrigo Plazezwski Falcão
Rodrigo Plazezwski Falcão Goalkeeper
12
Mayke Rocha de Oliveira
Mayke Rocha de Oliveira Defender
14
Luan Peres Petroni
Luan Peres Petroni Defender
4
Lucas Verissimo da Silva
Lucas Verissimo da Silva Defender
2
José Ivaldo Almeida Silva
José Ivaldo Almeida Silva Defender
31
Gonzalo Daniel Escobar
Gonzalo Daniel Escobar Defender
—
Alexis David Duarte Pereira
Alexis David Duarte Pereira Defender
18
Igor Vinicius de Souza
Igor Vinicius de Souza Defender
—
Alex de Oliveira Nascimento
Alex de Oliveira Nascimento Defender
98
Adonis Uriel Frías
Adonis Uriel Frías Defender
3
Vinicius Rodrigues Lira
Vinicius Rodrigues Lira Defender
42
João Alencar Santos Paes da Costa
João Alencar Santos Paes da Costa Defender
26
João Paulo Ananias Bento
João Paulo Ananias Bento Defender
5
João Felipe Schmidt Urbano
João Felipe Schmidt Urbano Midfielder
10
Neymar da Silva Santos Junior
Neymar da Silva Santos Junior Midfielder
15
Willian Souza Arão da Silva
Willian Souza Arão da Silva Midfielder
6
José Rafael Vivian
José Rafael Vivian Midfielder
16
Thaciano Mickael da Silva
Thaciano Mickael da Silva Midfielder
28
Christian Gabriel Oliva Giménez
Christian Gabriel Oliva Giménez Midfielder
25
Gabriel Vinicius Menino
Gabriel Vinicius Menino Midfielder
30
Miguel Ángel Terceros
Miguel Ángel Terceros Midfielder
49
Gabriel Morais Silva Bontempo
Gabriel Morais Silva Bontempo Midfielder
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
Gustavo Henrique Pereira Midfielder
20
Pedro Paulo Manoel Fermino
Pedro Paulo Manoel Fermino Midfielder
9
Gabriel Barbosa Almeida
Gabriel Barbosa Almeida Attacker
11
Ronielson da Silva Barbosa
Ronielson da Silva Barbosa Attacker
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
Benjamín Rollheiser Attacker
22
Álvaro Martín Barreal
Álvaro Martín Barreal Attacker
21
Moises Vieira da Veiga
Moises Vieira da Veiga Attacker
—
Gustavo Caballero
Gustavo Caballero Attacker
47
Mateus Xavier de Sousa
Mateus Xavier de Sousa Attacker
7
Robson de Souza Júnior
Robson de Souza Júnior Attacker
—
Enzo Duscov Boer
Enzo Duscov Boer Attacker

CONCLUSION

The encounter shapes up as a tight domestic league meeting where small differences in organisation could decide the outcome. São Paulo will rely on home advantage to offset Santos' better recent form readings while both sides navigate limited efficiency and set piece insights. With power metrics almost level the contest is likely to hinge on midfield control and individual moments rather than structural superiority. Santos may look to exploit their form edge through measured build up while São Paulo seek to impose rhythm early. The narrow league positions suggest neither side can afford complacency in what promises to be a measured tactical battle.