São Paulo vs Coritiba preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo Sun, 16 Aug - 12:00 AM
Serie A
KICKOFF : Sun, 16 Aug - 12:00 AM
Round 23 Regular Season

CONTEXT

São Paulo welcomes Coritiba to Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo for a Serie A regular season encounter in 2026. The hosts carry a power score of 63.09 against the visitors 53.34, creating a 9.8 point structural edge that marks São Paulo as the stronger side overall. League positions show Coritiba in tenth and São Paulo in twelfth, reflecting a tight mid-table battle. Recent form favors the away team with a score of 13.72 compared to the home side 8.22, suggesting Coritiba arrives with greater momentum. Data on efficiency and set pieces remains limited with low confidence and proxy values in use for both clubs. This fixture highlights the contrast between São Paulo home authority and Coritiba current trajectory in a season where small margins will decide outcomes.

TL;DR

  • Structural: São Paulo holds a 9.8 point power advantage over Coritiba with scores of 63.09 to 53.34.
  • Form: Coritiba leads in form with 13.72 compared to São Paulo 8.22.
  • Squad: São Paulo is identified as the stronger squad based on overall power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics show no available data for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence with proxy data applied for both clubs.
  • xVariable: São Paulo power advantage stands at 9.8 points as the key variable.
  • Market: São Paulo 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Coritiba 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
São Paulo D. Silvestre Júnior
D. Silvestre Júnior
VS
Coritiba F. Seabra
F. Seabra
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.37
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grêmio Rank: 63 L
Santos Rank: 63 D
Flamengo Rank: 77 D
Athletico PR Rank: 64 L
Remo Rank: 59 L
Botafogo Rank: 69 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
Cruzeiro Rank: 70 L
Bragantino Rank: 65 D
Palmeiras Rank: 76 L
Flamengo Rank: 76 L
Bahia Rank: 64 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.09
53.34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
São Paulo
Coritiba
Power Score
63.09
53.34
League Position
12
10
Global Rank
488
582

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
São Paulo Opponent-weighted form score
Coritiba Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) São Paulo Coritiba

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

São Paulo SAO Home
1 matches
Coritiba CFC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-10T00:30:16+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Capacity
66795
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

31
Carlos Miguel Coronel
23
Rafael Pires Monteiro
50
Young Navarro Moraes
Young Navarro Moraes Goalkeeper
52
Felipe Gabriel Preis
Felipe Gabriel Preis Goalkeeper
21
Cédric Ricardo Alves Soares
Cédric Ricardo Alves Soares Defender
2
Rafael Tolói
Rafael Tolói Defender
13
Enzo Hernán Díaz
Enzo Hernán Díaz Defender
15
João Moreira Souza
João Moreira Souza Defender
Matheus Souza
Matheus Souza Defender
40
Igor Teixeira Felisberto
Igor Teixeira Felisberto Defender
42
Maik Gomes Viegas
Maik Gomes Viegas Defender
56
Nicolas Bosshardt
80
Cauly Oliveira Souza
33
Luan Vinicius da Silva Santos
Luan Vinicius da Silva Santos Midfielder
16
Damián Bobadilla
Damián Bobadilla Midfielder
30
Felipe Negrucci Berdague
Felipe Negrucci Berdague Midfielder
46
Pedro Henrique da Silva Ferreira
Pedro Henrique da Silva Ferreira Midfielder
38
Hugo Leonardo Nunes Fernandes Santos
Hugo Leonardo Nunes Fernandes Santos Midfielder
48
Djhordney Ferreira
Djhordney Ferreira Midfielder
9
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri Attacker
João Victor Santos Sa
7
Lucas Rodrigues Moura da Silva
Lucas Rodrigues Moura da Silva Attacker
17
André Oliveira Silva
14
Gonzalo Andrés Tapia Dubournais
Gonzalo Andrés Tapia Dubournais Attacker
49
Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva
Ryan Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos Silva Attacker
39
Paulo Sérgio Venuto Bezerra
Paulo Sérgio Venuto Bezerra Attacker
45
Lucca Marques Alencar
Lucca Marques Alencar Attacker
34
Perivan dos Santos

Squad

13
Keiller da Silva Nunes
Keiller da Silva Nunes Goalkeeper
67
J. Silva Benassi
J. Silva Benassi Goalkeeper
21
Thiago dos Santos
26
Bruno Ferreira Melo
23
Tiago Coiser
Tiago Coiser Defender
16
João Vitor da Silva Almeida
João Vitor da Silva Almeida Defender
29
Willian Osmar de Oliveira Silva
Willian Osmar de Oliveira Silva Midfielder
8
Wallisson Luiz Alves Maximo
Wallisson Luiz Alves Maximo Midfielder
Geovane Santana Meurer
Geovane Santana Meurer Midfielder
32
Pedro Rocha Neves
28
Fabio Augusto Luciano da Silva
Fabio Augusto Luciano da Silva Attacker
78
Renato Marques de Oliveira Junior
Renato Marques de Oliveira Junior Attacker
Éberth Araújo Nogueira
Éberth Araújo Nogueira Attacker

CONCLUSION

São Paulo enters with a clear structural edge and home venue support that could shape the contest against a Coritiba side showing stronger recent form. Mid-table positions for both teams add pressure to secure points in this regular season meeting. Limited efficiency and set piece insights leave room for on-field adjustments to decide key moments. The power differential suggests São Paulo may control territory while Coritiba looks to exploit momentum. Smooth transitions between defense and attack will matter as the match unfolds. Overall the encounter offers a balanced test where São Paulo home strength meets Coritiba current trajectory in a season defined by consistency.