São Paulo vs Coritiba preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Serie A
São PauloSAO
1 – 1
CoritibaCFC
Full Time
Round 23 Regular Season
Pablo Maia - 43'
Goal
|
Goal
Tiago Cóser - 57'

CONTEXT

In a tightly contested match at home, São Paulo took on Coritiba and the game ended in a 1-1 draw. The hosts started strongly and led 1-0 at the interval thanks to an early goal. They dominated ball possession with 66 percent but struggled to create clear opportunities beyond their expected goals total of 1.39. Coritiba defended resiliently and found an equalizer after the break despite having only 0.39 xG. As the stronger side on paper, São Paulo could not overcome the visitors' organized resistance. No players were sent off in the encounter which remained competitive throughout. The result leaves both teams reflecting on missed opportunities in their respective campaigns.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: São Paulo showed a significant deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the overall match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was not consistent with the xG values recorded.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: São Paulo generated 1.39 xG compared to Coritiba's 0.39 xG.
  • Event impact: The match concluded as a 1-1 draw after a 1-0 halftime lead for the home side.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued during the contest affecting the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
C. Straub Deretti
C. Straub Deretti
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
F. Gomes Antunes
F. Gomes Antunes
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Gomes de Sa
A. Gomes de Sa
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Wanbelton Lisboa Valente
Wanbelton Lisboa Valente
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
São Paulo D. Silvestre Júnior
D. Silvestre Júnior
VS
Coritiba F. Seabra
F. Seabra
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.37
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grêmio Rank: 63 L
Santos Rank: 63 D
Flamengo Rank: 77 D
Athletico PR Rank: 65 L
Remo Rank: 57 L
Botafogo Rank: 66 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
Cruzeiro Rank: 70 L
Bragantino Rank: 65 D
Palmeiras Rank: 75 L
Flamengo Rank: 75 L
Bahia Rank: 63 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.92
52.94
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
São Paulo
Coritiba
Power Score
61.92
52.94
League Position
13
10
Global Rank
492
574

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
São Paulo — Opponent-weighted form score
Coritiba — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) São Paulo Coritiba

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

São Paulo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Coritiba

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

São Paulo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Coritiba
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.68
26.76
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.76
35.68
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
São Paulo +0.73 Efficiency Index
vs
Coritiba -0.73 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
São Paulo
Coritiba
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

São Paulo
vs
Coritiba
Created Set-piece attacking threat
São Paulo Coritiba
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
27%
58%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.37 vs -0.23
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
São Paulo Coritiba
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
58%
27%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.23 vs -0.37
São Paulo
Coritiba
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
São Paulo
vs
Coritiba
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
São Paulo Coritiba
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
São Paulo 0.21
Coritiba 0.36
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
São Paulo Coritiba
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
São Paulo 0.05
Coritiba 0.01
São Paulo
Coritiba
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CFC had peak pressure around 62'.
  • SAO started the game with stronger pressure.
SAO Pressure CFC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CFC reached the top pressure at 62' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

São Paulo SAO Home
1 matches
Coritiba CFC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-17T00:00:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Capacity
66795
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Charly Wendy Straub Deretti
Fernanda Nandrea Gomes Antunes
Anne Kesy Gomes de Sa
Wanbelton Lisboa Valente

Statistics

Possession
SAO
62%
CFC
38%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 6
91 Dangerous attacks 22
66 Possession 34
6 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

81 Ball Safe 90
6 Goal Kicks 8
11 Goal Attempts 5
4 Substitutions 5
35 Throwins 25
1 Hit Woodwork 0
19 Successful Headers 17
1 Assists 1
1 Injuries 4
16 Dribble Attempts 4
7 Successful Dribbles 3
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 75

Attacking

132 Attacks 67
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

35 Long Passes 50
601 Passes 312
522 Successful Passes 234
87 Successful Passes Percentage 75
15 Key Passes 6
15 Successful Long Passes 18
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

Defensive

0 Saves 5
11 Tackles 20
9 Interceptions 9
46 Duels Won 54

Build-up

33 Total Crosses 12
7 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
15 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Charly Wendy Straub Deretti

Starting XI ▼

23
Rafael
Rafael Goalkeeper
6.21
5
Robert Arboleda
Robert Arboleda Defender
7.21
18
Wendell
Wendell Defender
6.89
12
Iago
Iago
Defender78'
6.64
19
Lucas Ramon
Lucas Ramon Defender
6.41
22
Domingos Duarte
Domingos Duarte Defender
7.35
8
Marcos Antônio
Marcos Antônio Midfielder
7.41
10
Luciano
Luciano Midfielder
6.6
49
Ryan Francisco
Ryan Francisco
Attacker78'
6.35
27
Victor Sá
Victor Sá Midfielder
7.53
37
Artur
Artur
Attacker63'
6.31
28
Newton
Newton Midfielder
6.81
11
Ferreirinha
Ferreirinha
Attacker63'
7.12
29
Pablo Maia
Pablo Maia Midfielder
7.81
9
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri (C) Attacker
6.78
Referee : Charly Wendy Straub Deretti

Starting XI ▼

1
Pedro Morisco
Pedro Morisco Goalkeeper
7.52
2
Tinga
Tinga Defender
6.37
44
JP Chermont
JP Chermont
Defender20'
6.77
23
Tiago Cóser
Tiago Cóser Defender
7.68
26
Bruno Melo
Bruno Melo Defender
7.39
55
Jacy
Jacy (C) Defender
7.4
7
Joaquín Lavega
Joaquín Lavega Midfielder
6.35
19
Sebastián Gómez
Sebastián Gómez Midfielder
6.48
36
Vini Paulista
Vini Paulista
Attacker74'
6.58
21
Thiago Santos
Thiago Santos Midfielder
7.1
50
Tissi
Tissi
Midfielder66'
6.81
77
Breno Lopes
Breno Lopes Midfielder
7.07
88
Fernando Sobral
Fernando Sobral Midfielder
6.43
20
Keno
Keno
Attacker74'
6.7
32
Pedro Rocha
Pedro Rocha Attacker
6.41
18
Paulo Roberto
Paulo Roberto
Midfielder74'
6.77

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Iago → Wendell
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Ryan Francisco → Luciano
9th Substitution
78'
74'
Event
Keno → Fernando Sobral
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Vini Paulista → Sebastián Gómez 
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Paulo Roberto → Pedro Rocha
7th Substitution
Event
Lucas Ramon
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
68'
66'
Event
Tissi → Thiago Santos
4th Substitution
Event
Artur → Victor Sá
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Ferreirinha → Newton 
3rd Substitution
63'
57'
Event
Tiago Cóser
Header / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Pablo Maia
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
43'
Event
Pablo Maia
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
41'
20'
Event
JP Chermont → Tinga
1st Substitution
5'
Event
Tiago Cóser
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Match Ends！ 1-1
90
Update Update
Offside
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ryan Francisco Left Footed Shot Blocked
90
Update Update
Offside
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Vitor Goncalves Tissi Right Footed Shot Blocked
89
Corner Corner
Corner
84
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Artur Victor Guimaraes Left Footed Shot Blocked
83
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jonathan Calleri Head Shot Saved
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jonathan Calleri Right Footed Shot Saved
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marcos Antonio Silva San Left Footed Shot Blocked
81
Corner Corner
Corner
78
Update Update
On Iago Amaral Borduchi，Off Wendell
78
Update Update
On Ryan Francisco，Off Luciano da Rocha Neves
78
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Pablo Maia Right Footed Shot Missed
78
Corner Corner
Corner
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lucas Ramon Batista Silva Right Footed Shot Blocked
74
Corner Corner
Corner
74
Update Update
On Marcos da Silva Franca Keno，Off Fernando Sobral
74
Update Update
On Paulo Roberto，Off Pedro Rocha Neves
74
Update Update
On Vinicius Romualdo dos Santos，Off Sebastian Gomez
72
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Domingos Duarte Head Shot Saved
72
Corner Corner
Corner
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Lucas Ramon Batista Silva
66
Update Update
On Vitor Goncalves Tissi，Off Thiago dos Santos
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luciano da Rocha Neves Head Shot Missed
63
Update Update
On Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira，Off Newton
63
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luciano da Rocha Neves Head Shot Missed
62
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luciano da Rocha Neves Left Footed Shot Blocked
62
Corner Corner
Corner
61
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Thiago dos Santos Right Footed Shot Missed
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Tiago Coser Head Shot Goal
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-1
53
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Halisson Bruno Melo dos Santos Head Shot Missed
50
Update Update
Offside
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luciano da Rocha Neves Left Footed Shot Saved
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luciano da Rocha Neves Left Footed Shot Saved
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Pablo Maia Left Footed Shot Goal
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Pablo Maia
37
Corner Corner
Corner
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jacy Maranhao Oliveira Head Shot Missed
36
Corner Corner
Corner
29
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luciano da Rocha Neves Left Footed Shot Blocked
28
Corner Corner
Corner
24
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Newton Right Footed Shot Missed
20
Update Update
On Joao Pedro Chermont，Off Guilherme de Jesus da Silva, Tinga
17
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Pablo Maia Left Footed Shot Missed
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Victor Sa Santos Right Footed Shot Saved
14
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jonathan Calleri Head Shot Blocked
10
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Victor Sa Santos Head Shot Blocked
5
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Tiago Coser
4
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Charly Wendy Straub Deretti

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: São Paulo 1-1 Coritiba. Structural assessment: São Paulo exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.