São Paulo vs Athletico PR preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo Today - 12:30 AM
Serie A
São Paulo SAO
Athletico PR APR
KICKOFF : Today - 12:30 AM
Round 19 Regular Season

CONTEXT

São Paulo welcome Athletico PR to Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo for a Serie A regular season clash in 2026. The home side carries a clear power advantage of twelve points with a rating of 62.73 against the visitors 50.7 and is identified as the stronger team overall. São Paulo sit eighth in the domestic standings while Athletico PR occupy fifth place. Recent form tells a different story with the away side posting a markedly higher score of 24.94 compared to the hosts 11.44. Both teams will seek to impose their preferred structures in what promises to be a measured contest between two sides with contrasting league trajectories this season.

TL;DR

  • Structural: São Paulo hold a twelve-point power advantage with a rating of 62.73 against Athletico PR at 50.7.
  • Form: Athletico PR arrive with a stronger form score of 24.94 compared to São Paulo on 11.44.
  • Squad: Athletico PR sit fifth in the league table ahead of São Paulo who occupy eighth place.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both sides in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the current pre-match data set.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data carries low confidence and is unavailable for analysis.
  • xVariable: São Paulo are designated the stronger team on the basis of power scores.
  • Market: Projection split: São Paulo 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Athletico PR 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
São Paulo D. Silvestre Júnior
D. Silvestre Júnior
VS
Athletico PR O. Hellmann
O. Hellmann
1.39
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Remo Rank: 57 L
Botafogo Rank: 67 D
Fluminense Rank: 68 L
Corinthians Rank: 66 L
Bahia Rank: 62 D
Mirassol Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mirassol Rank: 65 W
Remo Rank: 57 W
Flamengo Rank: 75 D
Vasco da Gama Rank: 60 L
Grêmio Rank: 63 D
Vitória Rank: 62 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home São Paulo
0%
Draw
0%
Away Athletico PR
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.73
50.7
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
São Paulo
Athletico PR
Power Score
62.73
50.7
League Position
8
5
Global Rank
442
425

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
São Paulo — Opponent-weighted form score
Athletico PR — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) São Paulo Athletico PR

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

São Paulo SAO Home
2 matches
Athletico PR APR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
2
Goals
4
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
4
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-22T00:05:32+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
R. Monteiro
23 R. Monteiro
L. Batista Silva
19 L. Batista Silva
R. Tolói
2 R. Tolói
J. Chagas Monteiro
35 J. Chagas Monteiro
W. Nascimento Borges
18 W. Nascimento Borges
P. Gonçalves Maia Fortunato
29 P. Gonçalves Maia Fortunato
D. de Oliveira Sertanejo
94 D. de Oliveira Sertanejo
A. Guimarães
37 A. Guimarães
L. da Rocha Neves
10 L. da Rocha Neves
A. dos Santos Ferreira
11 A. dos Santos Ferreira
J. Calleri
9 J. Calleri
A. Melo dos Santos Neto
23 A. Melo dos Santos Neto
L. Esquivel
37 L. Esquivel
J. Aguirre Tabares
33 J. Aguirre Tabares
A. dos Santos Barbosa Dias
4 A. dos Santos Barbosa Dias
J. Mendoza Valencia
7 J. Mendoza Valencia
L. Dias
14 L. Dias
J. Alves dos Santos
16 J. Alves dos Santos
G. Moraes Junior
12 G. Moraes Junior
J. Machado Cruz
8 J. Machado Cruz
L. Caetano Silva
21 L. Caetano Silva
K. Viveros Rodallega
9 K. Viveros Rodallega

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 19 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Capacity
66795
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alex Gomes Stefano
Thiago Henrique Neto Correa Farinha
Luiz Claudio Regazzone
Arthur Gomes Rabelo

Expected Lineup

Referee : Alex Gomes Stefano

Starting XI ▼

23
Rafael
Rafael Goalkeeper
6.77
9
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri Centre Forward
6.9
18
Wendell
Wendell Left Back
6.66
19
Lucas Ramon
Lucas Ramon Right Back
6.88
94
Danielzinho
Danielzinho Defensive Midfield
7.01
29
Pablo Maia
Pablo Maia Defensive Midfield
6.63
35
Sabino
Sabino Left Back
6.99
37
Artur
Artur Right Wing
6.92
2
Rafael Tolói
Rafael Tolói Right Back
7.12
10
Luciano
Luciano Attacking Midfield
7.08
11
Ferreirinha
Ferreirinha Left Wing
7
Referee : Alex Gomes Stefano

Starting XI ▼

23
Santos
Santos Goalkeeper
6.81
8
João Cruz
João Cruz Midfielder
6.9
7
Stiven Mendoza
Stiven Mendoza Midfielder
6.97
12
Gilberto
Gilberto Midfielder
6.75
21
Leozinho
Leozinho Midfielder
6.65
9
Kevin Viveros
Kevin Viveros Centre Forward
7.05
14
Luiz Gustavo
Luiz Gustavo Central Midfield
6.9
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre
Juan Felipe Aguirre Centre Back
6.82
37
Lucas Esquivel
Lucas Esquivel Left Back
7.14
4
Arthur Dias
Arthur Dias Right Back
6.86
16
Jádson
Jádson Central Midfield
6.65

CONCLUSION

São Paulo will aim to harness their overall power edge and home setting to counter Athletico PR who bring superior recent form and a higher league standing into the match. The contest highlights differing strengths with the hosts likely to focus on structured play while the visitors seek to maintain momentum. Limited set piece and efficiency data suggest both teams must rely on open play execution. Athletico PR face a stern test away yet possess the tools to challenge the power advantage held by São Paulo. Expect a tactical encounter shaped by these contrasting profiles as the season progresses.