Santos vs Chapecoense preview
2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Round 20 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 26
CONTEXT
Santos hosted Chapecoense in a fixture that concluded 2-2. The halftime score stood at 1-0 in favor of the home side. Santos recorded 1.94 expected goals against 0.6 for the visitors, producing an xG differential of 1.34. Home possession reached 64 percent while the away side held 36 percent. No red cards were issued to either team. Santos entered as the stronger side yet the result finished level. The final outcome proved inconsistent with underlying xG metrics. Deviation from expected patterns registered at 100 percent and was classified as significant for Santos. Efficiency metrics remained in line with observed patterns throughout the contest.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Final score: Santos 2-2 Chapecoense. Santos showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with observed performance patterns.
-
xG alignment: Final result was not consistent with xG metrics.
-
Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match expectations.
-
xG expectations: Santos held 1.94 xG against 0.6 for Chapecoense.
-
Event impact: No second-half adjustments altered the match flow.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to influence proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
R. Henrique Correa
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
A. Menezes Leao
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Martins de Almeida Junior
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
1.11
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.47
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Botafogo
Rank: 67
L
Vitória
Rank: 63
W
Grêmio
Rank: 62
L
Coritiba
Rank: 59
L
Bragantino
Rank: 64
W
Palmeiras
Rank: 77
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Flamengo
Rank: 75
L
Bahia
Rank: 61
L
Palmeiras
Rank: 77
L
Cruzeiro
Rank: 68
L
Remo
Rank: 57
L
Mirassol
Rank: 66
D
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.23
47.81
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Santos
Chapecoense
Power Score
63.23
47.81
League Position
14
20
Global Rank
443
790
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Santos
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Chapecoense
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Santos Chapecoense
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Santos
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Chapecoense
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Santos
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Chapecoense
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.84
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.08
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Santos
+1.87
Efficiency Index
vs
Chapecoense
-1.87
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Santos
Chapecoense
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Santos
vs
Chapecoense
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Santos
Chapecoense
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
48%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.08
vs
-0.16
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Santos
Chapecoense
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
26%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.16
vs
+0.08
Santos
Chapecoense
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Santos
vs
Chapecoense
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Santos
Chapecoense
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Santos
0.23
Chapecoense
0.22
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Santos
Chapecoense
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Santos
0.09
Chapecoense
0.02
Santos
Chapecoense
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- STS had peak pressure around 99'.
- STS started the game with stronger pressure.
STS Pressure
ACF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
STS reached the top pressure at 99' (100.00).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Santos
STS
Home
1
matches
Chapecoense
ACF
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-07-26T00:03:57+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-1-4-1
Match Formation
4-5-1
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 20 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Capacity
16798
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho
Rodrigo Figueiredo Henrique Correa
Acacio Menezes Leao
Michelangelo Martins de Almeida Junior
Next Match
Santos
vs
Athletico PR
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 9 Aug - 9:30 PM
Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Chapecoense
vs
Vasco da Gama
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Wed, 29 Jul - 12:00 AM
Venue: Arena Condá
Statistics
Possession
STS
63%
ACF
37%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
2
1
Big Chances Created
2
7
Shots
1
90
Dangerous attacks
23
64
Possession
36
12
Corners
1
12
Free kicks
11
3
Yellow Cards
4
Match Overview
54
Ball Safe
64
1
Penalties
0
3
Goal Kicks
15
12
Goal Attempts
4
5
Substitutions
5
19
Throwins
12
12
Successful Headers
7
1
Assists
1
0
Injuries
1
16
Dribble Attempts
14
6
Successful Dribbles
3
38
Successful Dribbles Percentage
21
Attacking
143
Attacks
66
0
Big Chances Missed
1
Possession
30
Long Passes
45
596
Passes
337
533
Successful Passes
268
89
Successful Passes Percentage
80
19
Key Passes
4
20
Successful Long Passes
13
67
Successful Long Passes Percentage
29
Defensive
2
Saves
5
17
Tackles
19
7
Interceptions
17
49
Duels Won
40
Build-up
36
Total Crosses
8
9
Accurate Crosses
0
Discipline
1
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
13
Lineup
Referee :
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho
Manager ▼
A. Stival
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
34
João Paulo
Goalkeeper
14
Luan Peres
Defender
98
Adonis Frías
Defender
5
João Schmidt
Midfielder
30
Miguelito
Midfielder
81
Samuel Pierri
Midfielder
7
Robinho Junior
Attacker
Referee :
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho
Manager ▼
R. dos Santos Lacerda
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
1
Rafael Santos
Goalkeeper
15
Rafael Thyere
Defender
21
Kauan Faria
Defender
26
Everton
Defender
18
Neto Pessoa
Attacker
50
Kassio
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
89'
88'
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
88'
Card adjusted
83'
10th Substitution
8th Substitution
80'
9th Substitution
80'
80'
7th Substitution
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
77'
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
76'
75'
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
73'
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
68'
4th Substitution
63'
5th Substitution
63'
6th Substitution
63'
62'
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
54'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
51'
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
1st Substitution
46'
2nd Substitution
46'
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
36'
CONCLUSION
The 2-2 draw between Santos and Chapecoense reflected a contest where home dominance in possession and expected goals failed to translate into a victory. Santos controlled territory at 64 percent and generated the majority of quality chances yet could not prevent an equalizer. Chapecoense defended compactly and capitalized on limited opportunities to secure the point. Absence of disciplinary incidents allowed both sides to maintain full personnel on the pitch. The result highlighted how finishing variance can override underlying metrics in a single fixture. Santos will review conversion rates while Chapecoense can draw confidence from resilience away from home.
Match Commentary