Santa Clara vs Sporting Braga preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio de São Miguel
Liga Portugal
Santa ClaraCDSC
2 1
Sporting BragaSCB
Full Time
Round 31 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Santa Clara secured a 2-1 victory over Sporting Braga at home, overturning a 0-1 halftime deficit. Despite holding just 37% possession throughout, the hosts mounted a second-half comeback, netting twice to claim the points against the stronger visitors who dominated the ball with 63%. No red cards disrupted play, and the match proceeded without significant second-half tactical adjustments. Santa Clara's win marks a minimal structural deviation of 5.3% from pre-match expectations, with the outcome aligning with market assessments. Braga's failure to capitalize on their territorial advantage highlighted Santa Clara's clinical finishing in key moments. The result underscores the hosts' resilience, as they defied higher-rated opponents by exploiting limited chances effectively. Possession disparity did not translate into goals for Braga, allowing Santa Clara to grind out the triumph.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Santa Clara's 2-1 win exhibited minimal structural deviation of 5.3%.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevents alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Final outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG metrics absent, so expectations cannot be evaluated.
  • Event impact: No impactful events or adjustments altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant zero distortion to proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Santa Clara Petit
Petit
VS
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.09
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Casa Pia Rank: D
Rio Ave Rank: L
Sporting CP Rank: L
Gil Vicente Rank: W
AVS Rank: W
Vitória Guimarães Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Casa Pia Rank: W
Famalicão Rank: D
Arouca Rank: W
Moreirense Rank: W
Porto Rank: L
Sporting CP Rank: D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Santa Clara
36.93%
Draw
30.63%
Away Sporting Braga
32.44%

Movement

Changes since opening
Santa Clara
-57.79%
Draw
+25.54%
Sporting Braga
+32.25%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.36
39.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Santa Clara
Sporting Braga
Power Score
21.36
39.31
League Position
14
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Santa Clara — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Santa Clara Sporting Braga

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Santa Clara

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sporting Braga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Santa Clara ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting Braga
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Santa Clara Sporting Braga
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Santa Clara Sporting Braga
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Santa Clara
Sporting Braga
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Santa Clara
vs
Sporting Braga
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Santa Clara Sporting Braga
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Santa Clara 0.00
Sporting Braga 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Santa Clara Sporting Braga
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Santa Clara 0.00
Sporting Braga 0.00
Santa Clara
Sporting Braga
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CDSC had peak pressure around 44'.
  • CDSC started the game with stronger pressure.
CDSC Pressure SCB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CDSC reached the top pressure at 44' (88.83).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Santa Clara CDSC Home
13 matches
Sporting Braga SCB Away
Match Record
2
Wins
7
4
Draws
4
7
Losses
2
Goals
12
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
12
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T16:30:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio de São Miguel
Capacity
13277
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Paulo Ricardo Duarte Brás
Marcos Roberto Viegas Brazão
Pedro Mota
Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Statistics

Possession
CDSC
41%
SCB
59%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 2
72 Dangerous attacks 38
37 Possession 63
4 Corners 1
11 Free kicks 14
4 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27
4 Substitutions 5
24 Throwins 25
6 Successful Dribbles 3
14 Dribble Attempts 11
6 Goal Kicks 14
10 Successful Headers 17
1 Assists 1
64 Ball Safe 122
3 Injuries 1
8 Goal Attempts 1

Attacking

64 Attacks 109
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

75 Successful Passes Percentage 86
287 Passes 519
51 Long Passes 60
23 Successful Long Passes 34
11 Key Passes 2
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 57
216 Successful Passes 446

Defensive

41 Duels Won 50
14 Tackles 15
9 Interceptions 5
1 Saves 1

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 4
6 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Starting XI ▼

1
Gabriel Batista
Gabriel Batista Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Diogo Calila
Diogo Calila Defender
6.51
5
Guilherme Romão
Guilherme Romão Defender
6.79
21
Frederico Venâncio
Frederico Venâncio Defender
6.83
23
Sidney Lima
Sidney Lima Defender
6.88
8
Pedro Ferreira
Pedro Ferreira Midfielder
6.77
65
José Luís Rocha Tavares
José Luís Rocha Tavares
Midfielder3'
6.65
10
Gabriel Silva
Gabriel Silva Midfielder
6.83
11
Brenner
Brenner Midfielder
6.72
37
Darlan
Darlan
Midfielder79'
6.55
35
Serginho
Serginho Midfielder
6.96
77
Gustavo Klismahn
Gustavo Klismahn Midfielder
6.86
49
Welinton Torrão
Welinton Torrão
Attacker65'
6.61
39
Gonçalo Paciência
Gonçalo Paciência Attacker
6.64
7
Elias Manoel
Elias Manoel
Attacker79'
6.6
Referee : Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Starting XI ▼

12
Tiago Sá
Tiago Sá Goalkeeper
5.49
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho Defender
7.02
15
Paulo Oliveira
Paulo Oliveira
Defender48'
6.69
17
Gabriel Moscardo
Gabriel Moscardo Defender
6.61
41
Yanis da Rocha
Yanis da Rocha Defender
6.48
5
Leonardo Lelo
Leonardo Lelo Midfielder
6.95
10
Rodrigo Zalazar
Rodrigo Zalazar Midfielder
7.45
80
Vasconcelos
Vasconcelos
Midfielder48'
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Midfielder
6.96
29
Gorby
Gorby
Midfielder48'
6.77
90
Luís Teixeira Pinto
Luís Teixeira Pinto Midfielder
9
Amine El Ouazzani
Amine El Ouazzani Attacker
6.76
27
Florian Grillitsch
Florian Grillitsch
Midfielder60'
6.97
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles Attacker
6.81
39
Fran Navarro
Fran Navarro Attacker
6.6

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Mordomo → Florian Grillitsch
9th Substitution
Event
Gabriel Silva
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
83'
Event
Darlan → Brenner
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Elias Manoel → Gonçalo Paciência
8th Substitution
79'
Event
10th Yellowcard
78'
Event
José Luís Rocha Tavares
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
78'
Event
Gonçalo Paciência
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
71'
69'
Event
Gorby
Persistent fouling / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Welinton Torrão → Gustavo Klismahn
6th Substitution
65'
64'
Event
Paulo Oliveira
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
9th Yellowcard
60'
Event
Sidney Lima
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
60'
60'
Event
Florian Grillitsch → Amine El Ouazzani
5th Substitution
51'
Event
Amine El Ouazzani
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
48'
Event
Gorby → Demir Ege Tıknaz
2nd Substitution
48'
Event
Paulo Oliveira → Vítor Carvalho
3rd Substitution
48'
Event
Vasconcelos → Rodrigo Zalazar
4th Substitution
Event
Gabriel Silva
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
47'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
30'
Event
Rodrigo Zalazar
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Gustavo Klismahn
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
27'
Event
José Luís Rocha Tavares → Pedro Ferreira
1st Substitution
3'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Luisinho wins a free kick for Sporting Braga in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Leonardo Lelo of Sporting Braga.
90
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara wins a free kick in the defensive half.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Florian Grillitsch of Sporting Braga.
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gabriel Silva scores for Santa Clara with a right-footed shot from outside the box into the bottom left corner. The score is now Santa Clara 2, Sporting Braga 1.
81
Update Update
Mario Dorgeles from Sporting Braga wins a free kick on the left wing.
81
Update Update
Foul committed by Darlan of Santa Clara.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Santa Clara: Darlan comes on for Brenner.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Santa Clara: Elias Manoel comes on for Gonçalo Paciência.
79
Attempt Attempt
Brenner from Santa Clara misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
José Tavares of Santa Clara receives a yellow card for a foul.
78
Update Update
Mario Dorgeles from Sporting Braga wins a free kick on the left wing.
74
Attempt Attempt
Gonçalo Paciência's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. He was assisted by Welinton Torrão's cross.
78
Update Update
Foul committed by José Tavares of Santa Clara.
81
Update Update
Foul committed by Welinton Torrão of Santa Clara.
70
Update Update
Frederico Venâncio of Santa Clara misses a header from the right side of the six-yard box, sending the ball to the right. The chance was set up by Serginho's cross after a set piece.
69
Update Update
Foul by Jean-Baptiste Gorby of Sporting Braga.
66
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Welinton Torrão of Santa Clara heads the ball from close range but it goes too high. Serginho provided the assist with a cross after a set piece situation.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Serginho of Santa Clara.
69
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara wins a free kick in the attacking half.
81
Update Update
Foul committed by Darlan of Santa Clara.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Paulo Oliveira from Sporting Braga receives a yellow card for a foul.
86
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Santa Clara: Welinton Torrão comes on for Gustavo Klismahn.
90
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
63
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Klismahn from Santa Clara misses a left-footed shot from outside the box, sending the ball to the right.
64
Update Update
Gonçalo Paciência from Santa Clara wins a free kick on the right wing.
62
Update Update
Gabriel Moscardo from Sporting Braga wins a free kick on the right wing.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jean-Baptiste Gorby of Sporting Braga receives a yellow card.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sidney Lima of Santa Clara receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
62
Update Update
Foul committed by Gabriel Silva of Santa Clara.
60
Update Update
Mario Dorgeles of Sporting Braga is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gonçalo Paciência scores for Santa Clara with a left-footed shot from the center of the box. The match is now 1-1.
61
Update Update
There's a delay in the match due to an injury to Mario Dorgeles from Sporting Braga.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Sidney Lima of Santa Clara.
59
Update Update
Serginho from Santa Clara wins a free kick in the defensive half.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Braga: Florian Grillitsch comes on for Amine El Ouazzani.
58
Update Update
Foul committed by Gabriel Silva of Santa Clara.
58
Update Update
Luisinho from Sporting Braga wins a free kick in the defensive half.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by Fran Navarro of Sporting Braga.
55
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to José Tavares of Santa Clara.
56
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara wins a free kick in the defensive half.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Braga: Rodrigo Silva comes on for Florian Grillitsch due to an injury.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Amine El Ouazzani of Sporting Braga receives a yellow card.
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Amine El Ouazzani's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the center of the goal by Gabriel Batista. The attempt was assisted by João Vasconcelos.
51
Update Update
Gabriel Silva of Santa Clara is caught offside.
50
Update Update
Foul committed by Jean-Baptiste Gorby of Sporting Braga.
64
Update Update
Foul committed by Paulo Oliveira of Sporting Braga.
48
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara wins a free kick in the attacking half.
49
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Braga: Jean-Baptiste Gorby comes on for Demir Ege Tiknaz.
48
Update Update
Foul by Jean-Baptiste Gorby of Sporting Braga.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara receives a yellow card for a foul.
47
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Vítor Carvalho from Sporting Braga.
48
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Braga: Paulo Oliveira comes on for Vítor Carvalho due to an injury.
50
Update Update
José Tavares from Santa Clara wins a free kick in the defensive half.
49
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Braga: João Vasconcelos comes on for Rodrigo Zalazar.
47
Update Update
Vítor Carvalho from Sporting Braga wins a free kick in the defensive half.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Gabriel Silva of Santa Clara.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Santa Clara 0, Sporting Braga 1.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Santa Clara trailing Sporting Braga 1-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. José Tavares from Santa Clara takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Sidney Lima's header from the center of the box is saved in the top center of the goal by Tiago Sá. The attempt was assisted by Serginho's cross.
40
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara wins a free kick in the attacking half.
38
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Zalazar's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Demir Ege Tiknaz of Sporting Braga receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
38
Corner Corner
Sporting Braga wins a corner after Serginho concedes.
36
Update Update
Foul committed by José Tavares of Santa Clara.
32
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara misses a right-footed shot from outside the box to the left, assisted by Gustavo Klismahn.
56
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sporting Braga takes the lead 1-0 with Rodrigo Zalazar scoring from the left side of the box into the bottom left corner, assisted by Luisinho.
30
Update Update
Foul committed by Serginho of Santa Clara.
29
Update Update
Gabriel Moscardo wins a free kick for Sporting Braga in the defensive half.
27
Update Update
Foul committed by Gustavo Klismahn of Santa Clara.
26
Update Update
Mario Dorgeles from Sporting Braga is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Santa Clara after a concession by Mario Dorgeles.
22
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Sidney Lima of Santa Clara.
20
Update Update
Rodrigo Zalazar from Sporting Braga wins a free kick on the left wing.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gustavo Klismahn from Santa Clara receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by José Tavares of Santa Clara.
29
Update Update
Foul committed by Gabriel Silva of Santa Clara.
40
Update Update
Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara wins a free kick in the attacking half.
16
Update Update
Gonçalo Paciência is caught offside for Santa Clara.
30
Update Update
Amine El Ouazzani from Sporting Braga wins a free kick on the left wing.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Santa Clara after a concession by Vítor Carvalho.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Santa Clara after a concession by Gabriel Moscardo.
10
Attempt Attempt
Frederico Venâncio from Santa Clara misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it to the left.
7
Attempt Attempt
José Tavares from Santa Clara has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked. Gabriel Silva provided the assist.
9
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Gabriel Silva from Santa Clara with a left-footed shot from very close range.
7
Corner Corner
Santa Clara wins a corner after Vítor Carvalho concedes.
26
Update Update
Foul committed by Serginho of Santa Clara.
36
Update Update
Mario Dorgeles from Sporting Braga is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
5
Attempt Attempt
Gonçalo Paciência from Santa Clara misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it high and wide to the left. The shot was assisted by Gustavo Klismahn after a set piece situation.
5
Update Update
Foul committed by Yanis da Rocha of Sporting Braga.
3
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Santa Clara: José Tavares comes on for Pedro Ferreira due to an injury.
27
Update Update
Mario Dorgeles from Sporting Braga is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
5
Update Update
Gonçalo Paciência from Santa Clara wins a free kick on the left wing.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Santa Clara exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.