Santa Clara vs Nacional preview

Portugal flag 2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio de São Miguel Mon, 10 Aug - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Santa ClaraCDSC
2 – 2
NacionalCDN
Full Time Mon, 10 Aug 7:15 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
Gonçalo Paciência - 19', 21'
Goal
|
Goal
Liziero - 36' (P)
Miguel Baeza - 45'

CONTEXT

Santa Clara faced Nacional in a closely contested encounter that finished level at 2-2. The home side entered as the stronger team yet could not secure victory despite holding a slight edge in possession at 51 percent to 49 percent. Both teams found the net twice before the interval with the score already tied at 2-2 at halftime and remaining unchanged after the break. Santa Clara generated an expected goals total of 1.5 compared to Nacional's 1.25 creating a differential of 0.25. The outcome proved consistent with the underlying metrics as neither side received red cards throughout the fixture. A significant structural deviation was recorded for Santa Clara at the 100 percent level.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Santa Clara recorded a significant 100 percent deviation from expected patterns.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections for both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final 2-2 result aligned with the xG totals of 1.5 to 1.25.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome matched the aligned market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Santa Clara held a modest 0.25 xG advantage over Nacional.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the flow beyond the even halftime score.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued leaving no distortion to the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
H. Carvalho
H. Carvalho
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Graça Mira
J. Graça Mira
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Pontes Ferreira
A. Pontes Ferreira
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. da Silva Pinto
D. da Silva Pinto
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Santa Clara Petit
Petit
VS
Nacional J. Baptista dos Santos Brito Gião
J. Baptista dos Santos Brito Gião
1.46
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Porto Rank: 88 L
Nacional Rank: 68 W
Arouca Rank: 71 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 83 W
Casa Pia Rank: 65 D
Rio Ave Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 W
Santa Clara Rank: 70 L
AVS Rank: 64 L
Tondela Rank: 67 W
Alverca Rank: 69 W
Benfica Rank: 88 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70
68.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Santa Clara
Nacional
Power Score
70
68.17
League Position
7
10
Global Rank
278
326

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Santa Clara — Opponent-weighted form score
Nacional — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Santa Clara Nacional

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Santa Clara

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Nacional

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Santa Clara ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Nacional
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.37
24.39
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.39
41.37
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Santa Clara +1.47 Efficiency Index
vs
Nacional -1.47 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Santa Clara
Nacional
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Santa Clara
vs
Nacional
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Santa Clara Nacional
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
26%
87%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.39 vs -0.08
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Santa Clara Nacional
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
87%
26%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.08 vs -0.39
Santa Clara
Nacional
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Santa Clara
vs
Nacional
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Santa Clara Nacional
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Santa Clara 0.45
Nacional 0.26
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Santa Clara Nacional
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Santa Clara 0.05
Nacional 0.05
Santa Clara
Nacional
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CDSC had peak pressure around 26'.
  • CDSC started the game with stronger pressure.
CDSC Pressure CDN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CDSC reached the top pressure at 26' (82.54).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Santa Clara CDSC Home
4 matches
Nacional CDN Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
6
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-11T00:00:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 10, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio de São Miguel
Capacity
13277
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Hélder Carvalho
José Manuel Graça Mira
Alexandre Pontes Ferreira
Daniel Bruno da Silva Pinto

Statistics

Possession
CDSC
51%
CDN
49%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
4 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 5
42 Dangerous attacks 39
51 Possession 49
4 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

79 Ball Safe 72
0 Penalties 1
8 Goal Kicks 6
10 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
23 Throwins 30
19 Successful Headers 22
1 Assists 0
1 Injuries 1
15 Dribble Attempts 16
5 Successful Dribbles 6
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38

Attacking

85 Attacks 86
2 Big Chances Missed 0
1 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

48 Long Passes 60
385 Passes 370
314 Successful Passes 293
82 Successful Passes Percentage 79
9 Key Passes 8
22 Successful Long Passes 26
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

2 Saves 4
13 Tackles 15
8 Interceptions 4
51 Duels Won 58

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 13
5 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Hélder Carvalho

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas França
Lucas França Goalkeeper
6.4
2
Diogo Calila
Diogo Calila Defender
7.06
42
Lucas Soares
Lucas Soares
Defender85'
6.65
4
Pedro Pacheco
Pedro Pacheco Defender
6.54
5
Guilherme Romão
Guilherme Romão Defender
6.09
23
Sidney Lima
Sidney Lima (C) Defender
6.68
6
Pedro Ferreira
Pedro Ferreira Midfielder
6.67
8
Djé
Djé Midfielder
6.71
20
Tiago Ribeiro
Tiago Ribeiro
Midfielder68'
6.62
41
Daniel Borges
Daniel Borges Midfielder
6.97
37
Rildo
Rildo
Attacker79'
6.38
70
Vinícius Lopes
Vinícius Lopes Midfielder
6.09
11
Welinton Torrão
Welinton Torrão
Attacker68'
6.4
99
Sorriso Midfielder
9
Gonçalo Paciência
Gonçalo Paciência Attacker
2
8.41
Referee : Hélder Carvalho

Starting XI ▼

1
Renato Marin
Renato Marin Goalkeeper
6.57
6
Matheus Dias
Matheus Dias Defender
6.65
34
Léo Santos
Léo Santos (C) Defender
6.86
38
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor Defender
6.9
7
Markus Jensen
Markus Jensen Midfielder
6.76
23
Mateus Iseppe
Mateus Iseppe
Midfielder80'
6.45
26
Joel Silva
Joel Silva Midfielder
6.26
22
Filipe Soares
Filipe Soares
Midfielder61'
6.61
28
Liziero
Liziero Midfielder
7.21
52
Wesley Gasolina
Wesley Gasolina Midfielder
6.81
2
Daniel de la Cruz
Daniel de la Cruz
Defender73'
6.73
8
Miguel Baeza
Miguel Baeza Attacker
7.16
11
Stavros Gavriel
Stavros Gavriel
Midfielder72'
6.76
10
Daniel Jr
Daniel Jr Attacker
7.26
88
Deivison
Deivison
Midfielder80'
6.44
99
Pablo Ruan
Pablo Ruan Attacker
7.04

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lucas Soares → Diogo Calila
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Fernando → Luiz Fernando Salles de Castro
8th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Deivison → Daniel Jr
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Mateus Iseppe → Markus Jensen
9th Substitution
Event
Rildo → Daniel Borges
6th Substitution
79'
73'
Event
Daniel de la Cruz → Wesley Gasolina
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Stavros Gavriel → Miguel Baeza
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Filipe Soares
Off the ball foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Tiago Ribeiro → Djé
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Welinton Torrão → Vinícius Lopes
3rd Substitution
68'
61'
Event
Filipe Soares → Joel Silva
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Miguel Baeza
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
40'
Event
Wesley Gasolina
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Daniel Borges
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
39'
36'
Event
Liziero
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Vinícius Lopes
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
24'
Event
Gonçalo Paciência
Header / 2nd Goal
21'
Event
Gonçalo Paciência
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
19'
2'
Event
Léo Santos
Review

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Soares de Almeida takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Lucas Soares de Almeida is on, and Diogo dos Santos Cabral is off.
83
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Ferreira takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
82
Attempt Attempt
Rildo Goncalves de Amorim Filho takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
80
Update Update
Mateus Jose Iseppe is on, and Markus Jensen is off.
80
Update Update
Deivison Souza Brito comes on for Daniel Junior.
80
Substitution Substitution
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira is substituted on for Sorriso.
79
Update Update
Rildo Goncalves de Amorim Filho comes on for Daniel Borges.
75
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos attempts a header but misses the shot.
73
Update Update
Daniel Isai de la Cruz is on, and Wesley David de Oliveira Andrade is off.
72
Update Update
Stavros Gavriel is on, and Miguel Baeza Perez is off.
72
Attempt Attempt
Tiago Ribeiro's left-footed shot is saved.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Filipe Miguel Barros Soares.
68
Update Update
Tiago Ribeiro comes on for José Tavares.
68
Update Update
Welinton Macedo dos Santos replaces Vinicius Lopes Da Silva.
67
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos attempts a header but misses the shot.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
Filipe Miguel Barros Soares comes on for Joel da Silva.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Pacheco takes a right-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Paciencia takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
48
Attempt Attempt
Right-footed shot saved.
47
Attempt Attempt
Wesley David de Oliveira Andrade takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sidney Lima takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Miguel Baeza Perez scores with a left-footed shot.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Miguel Baeza Perez scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
42
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Paciencia takes a left-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Paciencia takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Ruan's right-footed shot is saved.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
38
Attempt Attempt
Igor Matheus Liziero Pereira takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Igor Matheus Liziero Pereira scores with a left-footed shot.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Igor Matheus Liziero Pereira scores, making it 2-1.
34
Attempt Attempt
Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos attempts a header but misses the shot.
34
Attempt Attempt
Wesley David de Oliveira Andrade takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Update Update
Offside.
29
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Ruan takes a left-footed shot but misses.
24
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Paciencia takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
24
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Borges attempts a header but misses the shot.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Vinicius Lopes Da Silva.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Goncalo Paciencia Head Shot Goal
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goncalo Paciencia takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
19
Attempt Attempt
Vinicius Lopes Da Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Goncalo Paciencia scores to make it 1-0.
16
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Borges takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
The left-footed shot is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Paciencia takes a right-footed shot but misses.
2
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos with another body part, but it misses the target.
2
Update Update
VAR decision reviewed for Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw between Santa Clara and Nacional reflected a balanced contest where both teams matched each other from start to finish. With the score already level at halftime the second period produced no further goals despite Santa Clara maintaining a narrow possession lead. The expected goals figures supported the final outcome as the home side edged the metric without converting the advantage into a win. Absence of red cards ensured the match progressed without major disruptions or distortions. Overall the result highlighted the competitive nature of the fixture with neither team able to pull ahead after the early exchanges. This performance underscored Santa Clara's inability to capitalize on their slight superiority on the day.