Samsunspor vs Göztepe preview

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Stadyum Samsun Sat, 16 May - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
SamsunsporSamsunspor
GöztepeGOZ
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 5:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Samsunspor host Göztepe at Stadyum Samsun in a pivotal Super Lig regular season fixture for the 2025/2026 campaign. The 7th-placed Black Sea outfit seek to close the gap on their 5th-placed opponents, who arrive with a narrow power advantage of 1.1 points and a superior score of 74.25 to Samsunspor's 73.12. Recent form favors the hosts markedly, with a 34.5 rating dwarfing Göztepe's 18.83, hinting at building momentum ahead of this mid-table showdown. Both sides sit comfortably in the top half, making points here vital for European aspirations. Samsunspor's home fortress could prove decisive against a resilient Göztepe unit known for grinding out results. Expect a tactical battle where control of possession and clinical finishing separate the teams in what shapes as a closely contested affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Göztepe possesses a slight structural edge with a 74.25 power score over Samsunspor's 73.12.
  • Form: Samsunspor shows stronger recent form at 34.5 compared to Göztepe's 18.83.
  • Squad: No major squad disruptions reported for either team entering the match.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not available in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not accessible for either side.
  • Market: Samsunspor 41.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.8% (Δ+0%) | Göztepe 31.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Samsunspor T. Fink
T. Fink
VS
Göztepe S. Stoilov
S. Stoilov
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.57
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 76 L
Galatasaray Rank: 87 W
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 W
Eyüpspor Rank: 66 W
Rizespor Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 66 W
Trabzonspor Rank: 79 D
Antalyaspor Rank: 60 W
Kocaelispor Rank: 64 D
Kasımpaşa Rank: 65 D
Galatasaray Rank: 87 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Samsunspor
41.05%
Draw
27.81%
Away Göztepe
31.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.12
74.25
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Samsunspor
Göztepe
Power Score
73.12
74.25
League Position
7
5
Global Rank
143
131

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Samsunspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Göztepe — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Samsunspor Göztepe

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Samsunspor Samsunspor Home
3 matches
Göztepe GOZ Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
6
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:03:12+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
O. Kocuk
1 O. Kocuk
Z. Yavru
18 Z. Yavru
T. Borevković
24 T. Borevković
R. van Drongelen
4 R. van Drongelen
L. Tómasson
17 L. Tómasson
C. Holse
21 C. Holse
A. Makoumbou
29 A. Makoumbou
M. Mouandilmadji
9 M. Mouandilmadji
Y. Cift
55 Y. Cift
E. Tavsan
7 E. Tavsan
P. Ndiaye
19 P. Ndiaye
M. Lis
1 M. Lis
M. Mputu
26 M. Mputu
H. dos Santos
5 H. dos Santos
A. Godói Santos
3 A. Godói Santos
M. Cherni
15 M. Cherni
N. Dismas
20 N. Dismas
A. Dennis
30 A. Dennis
A. Kurtulan
2 A. Kurtulan
A. Antunes
8 A. Antunes
Juan
9 Juan
J. Marinho dos Santos
19 J. Marinho dos Santos

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadyum Samsun
Capacity
33919
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Okan Kocuk
Okan Kocuk Goalkeeper
6.71
19
Cherif Ndiaye
Cherif Ndiaye Centre Forward
6.88
7
Elayis Tavsan
Elayis Tavsan Left Wing
6.86
9
Marius Mouandilmadji
Marius Mouandilmadji Right Wing
6.8
17
Logi Tómasson
Logi Tómasson Left Back
6.81
18
Zeki Yavru
Zeki Yavru Right Back
6.81
55
Yunus Emre Çift
Yunus Emre Çift Attacking Midfield
6.66
4
Rick van Drongelen
Rick van Drongelen Left Back
7.02
21
Carlo Holse
Carlo Holse Defensive Midfield
7.11
24
Toni Borevković
Toni Borevković Right Back
6.63
29
Antoine Makoumbou
Antoine Makoumbou Defensive Midfield
6.86

Starting XI ▼

1
Mateusz Lis
Mateusz Lis Goalkeeper
6.89
2
Arda Okan Kurtulan
Arda Okan Kurtulan Midfielder
6.86
15
Amin Cherni
Amin Cherni Midfielder
6.8
9
Juan
Juan Attacker
6.99
19
Jeh
Jeh Attacker
6.78
3
Allan Godói
Allan Godói Right Back
6.89
5
Héliton
Héliton Centre Back
6.91
8
Alexis Antunes
Alexis Antunes Attacking Midfield
6.85
20
Novatus Miroshi
Novatus Miroshi Central Midfield
6.79
26
Malcom Bokele
Malcom Bokele Left Back
6.73
30
Anthony Dennis
Anthony Dennis Central Midfield
6.75

CONCLUSION

This Super Lig encounter pits Samsunspor's home form and momentum against Göztepe's subtle power superiority and higher league standing. The hosts' superior form score suggests they can exploit Stadyum Samsun's atmosphere, but visitors' resilience could force a stalemate. Mid-table implications loom large, with both needing points to sustain top-half pushes. Tactical discipline and key individual duels will define the outcome in a match low on data but high on intensity. Samsunspor edge it narrowly on current trends.