Sabah vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))
Champions League
SabahSABA
5 2
Hapoel Be'er ShevaHBS
Full Time: After Extra Time
Play-offs Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 6 - 4
Orphé Mbina - 101'
Goal
|
Goal
Guy Mizrahi - 61'
|
Second yellow card Djibril Diop 100'
Second yellow card Eliel Peretz 117'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sabah 5–2 Hapoel Be'er Sheva. The result saw Sabah take the points. Sabah showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished Sabah 3.9 – 1.2 Hapoel Be'er Sheva. Possession was 54%–46%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sabah recorded a significant deviation by overcoming the stronger opponent to win 5-2.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the underlying performance indicators.
  • xG alignment: The outcome proved consistent with the xG figures of 3.86 to 1.24.
  • Market alignment: The result did not align with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Sabah exceeded xG expectations while Hapoel Be'er Sheva fell short.
  • Event impact: The second half red cards created a decisive event impact on proceedings.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion from two dismissals for the away team altered the match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Kovacs
I. Kovacs
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Marica
M. Marica
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Tunyogi
F. Tunyogi
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Kovacs
S. Kovacs
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sabah V. Dambrauskas
V. Dambrauskas
VS
Hapoel Be'er Sheva R. Kozuch
R. Kozuch
2.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.4
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Rank: L
AGF Rank: 75 W
AGF Rank: 76 L
KuPS Rank: W
KuPS Rank: W
The New Saints Rank: 61 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sabah Rank: W
Crvena Zvezda Rank: W
Crvena Zvezda Rank: W
Víkingur Reykjavík Rank: W
Víkingur Reykjavík Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sabah
9%
Draw
85.71%
Away Hapoel Be'er Sheva
5.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
37.62
42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sabah
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Power Score
37.62
42
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sabah — Opponent-weighted form score
Hapoel Be'er Sheva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sabah Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sabah

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sabah ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
68.24
35.11
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.11
68.24
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sabah +1.32 Efficiency Index
vs
Hapoel Be'er Sheva -1.32 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sabah
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sabah
vs
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sabah Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
21%
2%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.80 vs -0.02
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sabah Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
2%
21%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.02 vs -0.80
Sabah
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sabah
vs
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sabah Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sabah 0.43
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sabah Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sabah 0.05
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0.06
Sabah
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SABA had peak pressure around 98'.
  • SABA started the game with stronger pressure.
SABA Pressure HBS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SABA reached the top pressure at 98' (97.12).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sabah SABA Home
1 matches
Hapoel Be'er Sheva HBS Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0.65
xG
1.72
1.72
xGA
0.65

Data last updated: 2026-08-26T00:01:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 6 - 4
Stadium
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))
Capacity
31200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Istvan Kovacs
Mihai Marius Marica
Ferencz Tunyogi
Szabolcs Kovacs

Statistics

Possession
SABA
55%
HBS
45%

Top Statistics

5 Goals 2
9 Big Chances Created 1
15 Shots 5
77 Dangerous attacks 43
54 Possession 46
11 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 22
2 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 2

Match Overview

121 Ball Safe 96
9 Goal Kicks 14
21 Goal Attempts 11
6 Substitutions 6
31 Throwins 25
2 Hit Woodwork 0
4 Assists 0
0 Injuries 1
28 Dribble Attempts 16
12 Successful Dribbles 7
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44

Attacking

121 Attacks 116
7 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

59 Long Passes 63
585 Passes 515
491 Successful Passes 429
84 Successful Passes Percentage 83
25 Key Passes 9
41 Successful Long Passes 30
69 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48

Defensive

3 Saves 7
29 Tackles 25
9 Interceptions 18
76 Duels Won 59

Build-up

36 Total Crosses 10
18 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

5 Offsides 4
22 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Istvan Kovacs

Starting XI ▼

92
Stas Pokatilov
Stas Pokatilov (C) Goalkeeper
5.75
3
Steve Solvet
Steve Solvet Defender
6.76
5
Rahman Dashdamirov
Rahman Dashdamirov Defender
6.92
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz
Tymoteusz Puchacz Defender
7.28
4
Aden McCarthy
Aden McCarthy
Defender91'
6.57
80
Akim Zedadka
Akim Zedadka Defender
6.67
17
Tellur Mütallimov
Tellur Mütallimov
Defender87'
8.04
7
Umarali Rakhmonaliev
Umarali Rakhmonaliev Midfielder
7.86
34
Xander Severina
Xander Severina
Midfielder80'
6.4
8
Christian Nwachukwu
Christian Nwachukwu Midfielder
7.11
10
Aleksey Isayev
Aleksey Isayev
Midfielder63'
8.48
11
Kaheem Parris
Kaheem Parris Midfielder
6.15
99
Orphé Mbina
Orphé Mbina
Attacker63'
8.27
13
Ivan Lepinjica
Ivan Lepinjica Midfielder
7.21
21
Veljko Simic
Veljko Simic Midfielder
7.31
6
Abdulakh Khaybulayev
Abdulakh Khaybulayev
Midfielder87'
6.97
20
Joy-Lance Mickels
Joy-Lance Mickels Attacker
7.29
Referee : Istvan Kovacs

Starting XI ▼

1
Ofir Marciano
Ofir Marciano Goalkeeper
7.01
2
Guy Mizrahi
Guy Mizrahi Defender
7.04
3
Matan Baltaxa
Matan Baltaxa
Defender78'
5.93
4
Miguel Vítor
Miguel Vítor (C) Defender
7.22
44
Djibril Diop
Djibril Diop
Defender46'
5.49
5
Pedro Amador
Pedro Amador Defender
6.04
12
Itay Rotman
Itay Rotman Defender
6.83
13
Ofir Davidzada
Ofir Davidzada
Defender101'
6.02
7
Eliel Peretz
Eliel Peretz Midfielder
6.24
25
Lucas Ventura
Lucas Ventura Midfielder
6.25
28
Niv Yehoshua
Niv Yehoshua Midfielder
6.92
18
Roy Levy
Roy Levy
Midfielder73'
6.58
9
Zahi Ahmed
Zahi Ahmed Attacker
6.61
20
Javon East
Javon East Attacker
7.11
14
Yonas Malede
Yonas Malede
Attacker78'
6.45
66
Igor Zlatanovic
Igor Zlatanovic Attacker
7.41
45
Muhammad Abu Rumi
Muhammad Abu Rumi
Attacker35'
6.87

Events

2ND-HALF
117'
Event
Eliel Peretz
Argument / 2nd Yellow/red Card
Event
Joy-Lance Mickels
Left foot shot / 7th Goal
115'
Event
Orphé Mbina
Header / 6th Goal
101'
101'
Event
Ofir Davidzada → Itay Rotman
12th Substitution
100'
Event
Djibril Diop
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
92'
Event
Yonas Malede
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Aden McCarthy → Tymoteusz Puchacz
11th Substitution
91'
Event
Tellur Mütallimov
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
90+4'
89'
Event
Djibril Diop
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Abdulakh Khaybulayev → Veljko Simic
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Tellur Mütallimov → Akim Zedadka
10th Substitution
87'
83'
Event
Eliel Peretz
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Xander Severina → Umarali Rakhmonaliev
8th Substitution
80'
78'
Event
Matan Baltaxa → Guy Mizrahi
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Yonas Malede → Javon East
7th Substitution
Event
Umarali Rakhmonaliev
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
74'
Event
Ivan Lepinjica
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
73'
73'
Event
Roy Levy → Niv Yehoshua
5th Substitution
Event
Aleksey Isayev → Christian Nwachukwu
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Orphé Mbina → Kaheem Parris
4th Substitution
63'
61'
Event
Guy Mizrahi
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
46'
Event
Djibril Diop → Miguel Vítor 
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Christian Nwachukwu
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
38'
35'
Event
Muhammad Abu Rumi → Igor Zlatanovic
1st Substitution
Event
Kaheem Parris
Simulation / 1st Yellowcard
21'
10'
Event
Igor Zlatanovic
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
3'
Event
Igor Zlatanovic
Goal awarded

Match Commentary

120
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Xander Severina with his right foot is saved.
119
Attempt Attempt
Xander Severina takes a left-footed shot but misses.
117
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card issued to Eliel Peretz.
115
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a left-footed shot and scores a goal.
115
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Joy-Lance Mickels scores, making it 5-2.
114
Update Update
Offside.
113
Attempt Attempt
Xander Severina takes a left-footed shot but misses.
108
Attempt Attempt
Aleksey Isaev takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
104
Update Update
Offside.
101
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Orphe Mbina scores with a header.
101
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Orphe Mbina scores, assisted by Aleksey Isaev. The score is now 4-2.
101
Update Update
On comes Ofir Davidadze, off goes Itay Rotman.
100
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card shown to Djibril Diop.
98
Attempt Attempt
Orphe Mbina takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
97
Update Update
Offside.
96
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Orphe Mbina with his right foot is saved.
95
Update Update
Offside.
92
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yonas Malede receives a yellow card.
91
Update Update
Aden McCarthy replaces Tymoteusz Puchacz.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Tellur Mutallimov scores with a right-footed shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Orphe Mbina takes a shot with his head, but it is saved.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tellur Mutallimov scores to make it 3-2, assisted by Tymoteusz Puchacz.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Tellur Mutallimov takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Joy-Lance Mickels with a header goes wide.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joy-Lance Mickels Head Shot Missed
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Djibril Diop.
87
Update Update
Abdulakh Khaybulaev is on, and Veljko Simic is off.
87
Update Update
Tellur Mutallimov replaces Akim Zedadka.
85
Attempt Attempt
Mohammed Abu Rumi takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Eliel Peretz.
80
Attempt Attempt
Yonas Malede takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Update Update
Xander Severina is on, and Umarali Rakhmonaliev is off.
79
Attempt Attempt
Orphe Mbina attempts a header but misses the shot.
78
Update Update
On Yonas Malede, off Javon Romario East.
78
Substitution Substitution
Matan Baltaxa is substituted for Guy Mizrahi.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Umarali Rakhmonaliev takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Umarali Rakhmonaliev scores to make it 2-2, assisted by Orphe Mbina.
73
Update Update
On comes Roy Levy, off goes Niv Yehoshua.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ivan Lepinjica.
71
Update Update
Offside.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Attempt Attempt
Rahman Dashdamirov attempts a header but misses the shot.
68
Attempt Attempt
Umarali Rakhmonaliev takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Attempt Attempt
Veljko Simic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Orphe Mbina takes a shot with his head but misses.
66
Update Update
Offside.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Orphe Mbina comes on for Kaheem Parris.
63
Update Update
Aleksey Isaev is on, and Christian Nwachukwu is off.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Guy Mizrahi with his right foot results in a goal.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Guy Mizrahi scores, making it 1-2.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Itay Rotman with a header, but it misses the target.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Attempt Attempt
Eliel Peretz takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Eliel Peretz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Christian Nwachukwu Head Shot Missed
49
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
46
Attempt Attempt
Niv Yehoshua takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
46
Update Update
Offside.
46
Update Update
Djibril Diop comes on for Miguel Angelo Leonardo Vitor.
45
Attempt Attempt
Christian Nwachukwu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Lucas de Souza Ventura with his right foot, but it is saved by the goalkeeper.
45
Attempt Attempt
Eliel Peretz takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Eliel Peretz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Christian Nwachukwu takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Christian Nwachukwu scores, making it 1-1.
37
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a right-footed shot but misses.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Attempt Attempt
Umarali Rakhmonaliev takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Update Update
Mohammed Abu Rumi comes on for Igor Zlatanovic.
34
Attempt Attempt
Umarali Rakhmonaliev takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Kaheem Parris takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Lucas de Souza Ventura is blocked after a right-footed attempt.
25
Attempt Attempt
Niv Yehoshua takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Update Update
Offside.
25
Update Update
Offside.
23
Attempt Attempt
Umarali Rakhmonaliev takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
22
Attempt Attempt
Igor Zlatanovic takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kaheem Parris receives a yellow card.
13
Attempt Attempt
Umarali Rakhmonaliev takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Igor Zlatanovic with his left foot finds the back of the net.
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Igor Zlatanovic scores to make it 1-0.
8
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Kaheem Parris takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Igor Zlatanovic.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Igor Zlatanovic scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Zahi Ahmed.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Igor Zlatanovic scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Zahi Ahmed.
2
Attempt Attempt
Veljko Simic attempts a header but misses the shot.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Istvan Kovacs.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sabah 5-2 Hapoel Be'er Sheva. Structural assessment: Sabah exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.