Sabah vs AGF preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Bank Respublika Arena Tue, 11 Aug - 4:00 PM
Champions League
SabahSABA
4 0
AGFAGF
Full Time Tue, 11 Aug 4:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 5 - 2
Veljko Simic - 59'
Steve Solvet - 67'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sabah 4–0 AGF. The result saw Sabah take the points. Sabah showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Sabah 2.9 – 1.3 AGF. Possession was 50%–50%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sabah recorded a significant performance deviation of 51.2 percent from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with established benchmarks for both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned with the expected goals figures of 2.89 to 1.26.
  • Market alignment: The match outcome proved consistent with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals positioned Sabah as the clear favorite with a 1.63 differential.
  • Event impact: All four goals arrived after the halftime score of 0-0.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to alter the match dynamics or structure.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
W. Delajod
W. Delajod
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Gomes Maia
L. Gomes Maia
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
H. Marques
H. Marques
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Costa Veríssimo
F. Costa Veríssimo
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sabah V. Dambrauskas
V. Dambrauskas
VS
AGF J. Poulsen
J. Poulsen
2.4
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
AGF Rank: 76 L
KuPS Rank: W
KuPS Rank: W
The New Saints Rank: 62 W
The New Saints Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sabah Rank: W
Lech Poznań Rank: 74 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 73 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sabah
48.75%
Draw
25.89%
Away AGF
25.36%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sabah
-44.84%
Draw
+21.78%
AGF
+23.05%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
42
32.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sabah
AGF
Power Score
42
32.28
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sabah — Opponent-weighted form score
AGF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sabah AGF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sabah

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

AGF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sabah ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy AGF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
63.70
30.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.50
63.70
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sabah +2.81 Efficiency Index
vs
AGF -2.81 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sabah
AGF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sabah
vs
AGF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sabah AGF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
6%
11%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.18 vs -0.14
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sabah AGF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
11%
6%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.14 vs -0.18
Sabah
AGF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sabah
vs
AGF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sabah AGF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sabah 0.51
AGF 0.56
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sabah AGF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sabah 0.00
AGF 0.07
Sabah
AGF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SABA had peak pressure around 71'.
  • SABA started the game with stronger pressure.
SABA Pressure AGF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SABA reached the top pressure at 71' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sabah SABA Home
1 matches
AGF AGF Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0.84
xG
0.82
0.82
xGA
0.84

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:00:40+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-1-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 11, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 5 - 2
Stadium
Bank Respublika Arena
Capacity
13000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Willy Delajod
Luciano António Gomes Maia
Hugo Marques
Fábio José Costa Veríssimo

Statistics

Possession
SABA
54%
AGF
46%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 1
11 Shots 5
57 Dangerous attacks 25
50 Possession 50
7 Corners 4
10 Free kicks 11
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

7 Goal Kicks 9
5 Substitutions 6
20 Throwins 12
3 Assists 0
15 Dribble Attempts 13
9 Successful Dribbles 5
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38

Attacking

93 Attacks 60
2 Big Chances Missed 1
3 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

55 Long Passes 41
366 Passes 372
311 Successful Passes 322
85 Successful Passes Percentage 87
24 Key Passes 9
32 Successful Long Passes 19
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

5 Saves 5
15 Tackles 9
4 Interceptions 6
45 Duels Won 30

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 12
8 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Willy Delajod

Starting XI ▼

92
Stas Pokatilov
Stas Pokatilov (C) Goalkeeper
7.87
3
Steve Solvet
Steve Solvet Defender
7.95
5
Rahman Dashdamirov
Rahman Dashdamirov Defender
7.02
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz
Tymoteusz Puchacz Defender
7.31
80
Akim Zedadka
Akim Zedadka Defender
7.64
17
Tellur Mütallimov
Tellur Mütallimov
Defender90+4'
7
Umarali Rakhmonaliev
Umarali Rakhmonaliev Midfielder
6.93
10
Aleksey Isayev
Aleksey Isayev Midfielder
7.71
8
Christian Nwachukwu
Christian Nwachukwu
Attacker82'
6.87
13
Ivan Lepinjica
Ivan Lepinjica Midfielder
7.14
6
Abdulakh Khaybulayev
Abdulakh Khaybulayev
Midfielder90+3'
20
Joy-Lance Mickels
Joy-Lance Mickels Midfielder
8.08
88
Rodrigo Fernandes
Rodrigo Fernandes
Midfielder90+3'
21
Veljko Simic
Veljko Simic Midfielder
8.36
99
Orphé Mbina
Orphé Mbina Attacker
6.99
34
Xander Severina
Xander Severina
Midfielder58'
7.66
Referee : Willy Delajod

Starting XI ▼

21
Mads Hedenstad
Mads Hedenstad Goalkeeper
6.16
19
Eric Kahl
Eric Kahl Defender
6.45
25
Colin Rösler
Colin Rösler Defender
6.76
44
Mouhammade Camara
Mouhammade Camara
Defender81'
6.85
26
Jacob Andersen
Jacob Andersen Defender
5.82
4
Magnus Knudsen
Magnus Knudsen Midfielder
6.19
13
Janni Serra
Janni Serra
Attacker72'
6.47
10
Kristian Arnstad
Kristian Arnstad (C) Midfielder
5.96
11
Gift Links
Gift Links Midfielder
6.84
39
Frederik Emmery
Frederik Emmery
Attacker64'
6.68
16
Jens Jönsson
Jens Jönsson Midfielder
6.64
8
Sebastian Jørgensen
Sebastian Jørgensen
Midfielder82'
6.74
29
Rasmus Carstensen
Rasmus Carstensen Midfielder
6.74
23
Mikael Anderson
Mikael Anderson
Midfielder65'
6.33
28
James Bogere
James Bogere Attacker
6.5
31
Tobias Bech
Tobias Bech Attacker
6.52

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tellur Mütallimov → Akim Zedadka
10th Substitution
90+4'
Event
Rodrigo Fernandes → Joy-Lance Mickels
8th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Abdulakh Khaybulayev → Ivan Lepinjica
9th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Xander Severina
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
89'
Event
Christian Nwachukwu → Aleksey Isayev
7th Substitution
82'
82'
Event
Sebastian Jørgensen → Jens Jönsson
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Mouhammade Camara → Colin Rösler
5th Substitution
Event
Joy-Lance Mickels
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
78'
72'
Event
Janni Serra → Magnus Knudsen
4th Substitution
Event
Steve Solvet
Header / 2nd Goal
67'
66'
Event
Eric Kahl
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
65'
Event
Mikael Anderson → Rasmus Carstensen
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Frederik Emmery → Gift Links
2nd Substitution
Event
Veljko Simic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
59'
Event
Xander Severina → Orphé Mbina
1st Substitution
58'
1ST-HALF
32'
Event
Jacob Andersen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
8'
Event
Rasmus Carstensen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Tellur Mutallimov comes on for Akim Zedadka.
90
Update Update
Abdulakh Khaybulaev is on, and Ivan Lepinjica is off.
90
Update Update
Rodrigo Francisco Pinto Vieira Fernandes is on, and Joy-Lance Mickels is off.
90
Attempt Attempt
James Bogere takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Emmery takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Emmery takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Xander Severina with a right-footed shot results in a goal.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Xander Severina scores, making it 4-0, assisted by Akim Zedadka.
87
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 4-0.
86
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Xander Severina's left-footed shot is blocked.
82
Attempt Attempt
Xander Severina takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
82
Substitution Substitution
Christian Nwachukwu is substituted off for Aleksey Isaev.
81
Update Update
Sebastian Jorgensen comes on for Jens Jonsson.
81
Update Update
Mouhammade Camara comes on for Colin Rosler.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Joy-Lance Mickels with his right foot results in a goal.
78
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
78
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Joy-Lance Mickels scores, making it 3-0.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-0.
72
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Colin Rosler Head Shot Missed
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Janni Serra comes on for Magnus Knudsen.
72
Substitution Substitution
Janni Serra is substituted for Magnus Knudsen.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Joy-Lance Mickels with his right foot is saved.
68
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Steve Solvet Head Shot Goal
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Steve Solvet scores, making it 2-0.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Eric Kahl.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Eric Kahl.
64
Substitution Substitution
Mikael Neville Anderson is substituted on for Rasmus Carstensen.
64
Update Update
Frederik Emmery replaces Gift Links.
64
Attempt Attempt
Steve Solvet attempts a header but misses the shot.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Veljko Simic with his right foot results in a goal.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Veljko Simic scores to make it 1-0.
58
Update Update
Offside.
58
Update Update
Xander Severina is on, and Orphe Mbina is off.
57
Update Update
Xander Severina is on, and Orphe Mbina is off.
57
Update Update
Offside.
56
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a left-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a right-footed shot but misses.
53
Attempt Attempt
Orphe Mbina takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Tymoteusz Puchacz takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Attempt Attempt
Joy-Lance Mickels takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kristian Malt Arnstad takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Kristian Malt Arnstad takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Attempt Attempt
James Bogere takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
43
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Carstensen takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Attempt Attempt
Akim Zedadka takes a right-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Akim Zedadka takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Orphe Mbina has a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jacob Andersen receives a yellow card.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Ivan Lepinjica with his right foot is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Umarali Rakhmonaliev takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Jens Jonsson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
18
Attempt Attempt
Steve Solvet takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Update Update
Offside.
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Joy-Lance Mickels with his right foot, but it's saved.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rasmus Carstensen receives a yellow card.
7
Attempt Attempt
Veljko Simic attempts a header but misses the shot.
4
Update Update
VAR decision is pending.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Willy Delajod.

CONCLUSION

The 4-0 result delivered Sabah a decisive aggregate victory and progression in the tie. Expected goals data supported the home side's superiority while possession equality highlighted their clinical finishing edge after the interval. The absence of dismissals allowed uninterrupted flow and enabled the second-half adjustments that produced the final margin. Alignment between the scoreline and underlying metrics confirmed the performance levels observed on the pitch. Sabah converted their opportunities efficiently once the deadlock broke while AGF struggled to create meaningful threats. This outcome reflected the pre-match assessment of relative team strengths without external distortions from disciplinary events.