Rudeš vs Lokomotiva Zagreb preview

Croatia flag 2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia
ŠRC Velika Gorica
1. HNL
RudešRudeš
4 1
Lokomotiva ZagrebLOK
Full Time
Round 4 Regular Season
Noa Skoko - 28'
Xavi - 53'
Josip Bralic - 58'
Ivan Djoric - 65'
Goal
|
Goal
|
Second yellow card Leon Belcar 23'

CONTEXT

Rudeš faced Lokomotiva Zagreb and secured a 4-1 victory. The halftime score stood at 1-1 with both teams level. Rudeš held 58 percent possession while Lokomotiva Zagreb had 42 percent. Lokomotiva Zagreb entered as the stronger side yet Rudeš claimed the win. One red card was shown to the away team during the contest. This outcome reflected a significant deviation linked to Rudeš. Second half adjustments centered on the red card distortion. The match demonstrated clear shifts in team efficiency that aligned with the final result. Data indicated market alignment held true throughout the fixture. Expected goals metrics were unavailable for deeper review.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rudeš showed significant structural deviation from pre-match positioning to claim the 4-1 win.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the second half performance patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment assessment was not possible due to missing expected goals figures.
  • Market alignment: The final result stayed consistent with market alignment data.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without available underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: The red card produced a measurable event impact on second half flow.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion altered match dynamics after the away team dismissal.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Antonio Melnjak
Antonio Melnjak
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Pajić
L. Pajić
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Maloča
M. Maloča
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Pavlešić
P. Pavlešić
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Rudeš A. Peternac
A. Peternac
VS
Lokomotiva Zagreb N. Jelavić
N. Jelavić
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 84 L
Osijek Rank: 66 L
Rijeka Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Osijek Rank: 67 L
Gorica Rank: 64 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 68 W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 83 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 75 D
Varaždin Rank: 71 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
30.76
64.72
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rudeš
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Power Score
30.76
64.72
League Position
8
4
Global Rank
859
400

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rudeš — Opponent-weighted form score
Lokomotiva Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rudeš Lokomotiva Zagreb

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rudeš

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lokomotiva Zagreb

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rudeš ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lokomotiva Zagreb
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.93
21.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.55
27.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rudeš +0.57 Efficiency Index
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb -0.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rudeš
Lokomotiva Zagreb
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rudeš ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lokomotiva Zagreb
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rudeš Lokomotiva Zagreb
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rudeš Lokomotiva Zagreb
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Rudeš
Lokomotiva Zagreb
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rudeš
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rudeš Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rudeš 0.32
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rudeš Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rudeš 0.02
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.09
Rudeš
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Rudeš had peak pressure around 62'.
  • Rudeš started the game with stronger pressure.
Rudeš Pressure LOK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Rudeš reached the top pressure at 62' (100.00).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
L. Rogić
Croatia
95 L. Rogić
B. Unušić
Croatia
14 B. Unušić
V. Celjak
Croatia
4 (C) V. Celjak
M. Stolnik
Croatia
5 M. Stolnik
T. Kolega
Croatia
2 T. Kolega
X. Cabrita Fernandes
Substitution
Portugal
28 X. Cabrita Fernandes
N. Skoko
Substitution
Croatia
15 N. Skoko
I. Đorić
Serbia
24 I. Đorić
J. Blagaić
Substitution
Croatia
20 J. Blagaić
J. Poldrugač
Substitution
Croatia
11 J. Poldrugač
L. Ilecic
Substitution
Croatia
7 L. Ilecic

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
ŠRC Velika Gorica
Capacity
8000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Antonio Melnjak
Luka Pajić
Marko Maloča
Patrik Pavlešić

Statistics

Possession
Rudeš
56%
LOK
44%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 4
44 Dangerous attacks 41
58 Possession 42
3 Corners 5
13 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 7
5 Substitutions 4
11 Throwins 18
1 Hit Woodwork 0
4 Assists 1
10 Dribble Attempts 24
4 Successful Dribbles 14
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58

Attacking

97 Attacks 87

Possession

53 Long Passes 45
467 Passes 328
393 Successful Passes 266
84 Successful Passes Percentage 81
12 Key Passes 5
20 Successful Long Passes 17
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38

Defensive

0 Saves 2
20 Tackles 7
11 Interceptions 5
47 Duels Won 45

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 15
8 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Antonio Melnjak

Starting XI ▼

95
Lovre Rogic
Lovre Rogic Goalkeeper
6.4
2
Toni Kolega
Toni Kolega Defender
6.56
4
Vedran Celjak
Vedran Celjak (C) Defender
7.6
5
Marko Stolnik
Marko Stolnik Defender
6.73
14
Bruno Unusic
Bruno Unusic Defender
6.9
15
Noa Skoko
Noa Skoko Midfielder
7.72
25
Ante Pripuz Spekuljuk
Ante Pripuz Spekuljuk
Attacker81'
6.52
20
Jakov Blagaic
Jakov Blagaic Midfielder
6.25
35
Josip Bralic
Josip Bralic
Attacker46'
7.71
24
Ivan Đorić
Ivan Đorić Midfielder
7.58
28
Xavi
Xavi Midfielder
7.6
34
Kristijan Lovric
Kristijan Lovric
Attacker81'
6.63
7
Lenny Ilecic
Lenny Ilecic Attacker
7.1
8
Luka Popovic
Luka Popovic
Midfielder74'
6.58
11
Jurica Poldrugac
Jurica Poldrugac Attacker
8.19
10
Vid Seitz
Vid Seitz
Midfielder66'
6.36
Referee : Antonio Melnjak

Starting XI ▼

12
Josip Posavec
Josip Posavec Goalkeeper
5.83
4
Athanasios Triantafyllou
Athanasios Triantafyllou Defender
6.67
20
Kristijan Cabrajic
Kristijan Cabrajic Defender
6.32
23
Marko Vesovic
Marko Vesovic Defender
5.87
25
Pavle Smiljanic
Pavle Smiljanic
Midfielder72'
6.42
27
Noa Godec
Noa Godec Defender
6.12
7
Dušan Vuković
Dušan Vuković Midfielder
7.14
9
Leon Belcar
Leon Belcar Midfielder
5.5
10
Matija Subotic
Matija Subotic (C) Midfielder
7.1
15
Dominik Thaqi
Dominik Thaqi Midfielder
6.11
16
Kayke Rodrigo Souza de Abreu
Kayke Rodrigo Souza de Abreu
Attacker66'
6.37
29
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Jakov-Anton Vasilj Midfielder
6.24
22
Mate Antunovic
Mate Antunovic
Attacker66'
6.59
28
Noel Djurkovic
Noel Djurkovic Attacker
6.29
14
Marcel Lorber
Marcel Lorber
Midfielder36'
6.18

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Josip Bralic
Off the ball foul / 3rd Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Vid Seitz
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
82'
Event
Kristijan Lovric  → Xavi
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Ante Pripuz Spekuljuk → Noa Skoko
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Luka Popovic → Lenny Ilecic
7th Substitution
74'
72'
Event
Pavle Smiljanic → Marko Vesovic
6th Substitution
Event
Vid Seitz → Jurica Poldrugac
5th Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Mate Antunovic → Jakov-Anton Vasilj
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Kayke Rodrigo Souza de Abreu → Dominik Thaqi
4th Substitution
Event
Ivan Djoric
Header / 5th Goal
65'
Event
Josip Bralic
Header / 4th Goal
58'
Event
Xavi
Header / 3rd Goal
53'
Event
Josip Bralic → Jakov Blagaic
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Dušan Vuković
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
36'
Event
Marcel Lorber → Noel Djurkovic
1st Substitution
Event
Noa Skoko
Goal awarded
29'
Event
Noa Skoko
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
28'
23'
Event
Leon Belcar
Simulation / 1st Yellow/red Card
8'
Event
Leon Belcar
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Right-footed shot missed.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Josip Bralic.
90
Attempt Attempt
Dusan Vukovic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Pavle Smiljanic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Attempt Attempt
Pavle Smiljanic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
82
Attempt Attempt
Kristijan Cabrajic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Vid Seitz.
81
Update Update
Kristijan Lovric is on, and Xavier Fernandes is off.
81
Update Update
Ante Spekuljuk is on, and Noa Skoko is off.
74
Update Update
Luka Popovic comes on for Lenny Ilecic.
72
Update Update
Pavle Smiljanic replaces Marko Vesovic.
66
Update Update
On comes Kayke, off goes Dominik Thaqi.
66
Update Update
Mate Antunovic comes on for Jakov-Anton Vasilj.
66
Update Update
On comes Vid Seitz, off goes Jurica Poldrugac.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Ivan Doric heads the ball into the net.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ivan Doric scores to make it 4-1, assisted by Jurica Poldrugac.
63
Attempt Attempt
Josip Bralic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ivan Doric scores, making it 4-1.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Josip Bralic scores with a header.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Josip Bralic scores to make it 3-1, assisted by Lenny Ilecic.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Xavier Fernandes Head Shot Goal
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Xavier Fernandes Head Shot Goal
50
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
49
Attempt Attempt
Xavier Fernandes takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Toni Kolega takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Update Update
Josip Bralic comes on for Jakov Blagaic.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lenny Ilecic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Dusan Vukovic takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
40
Attempt Attempt
Jurica Poldrugac takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dusan Vukovic scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Matija Subotic.
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot taken but missed the target.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Substitution Substitution
Marcel Lorber is substituted for Noel Durkovic.
33
Attempt Attempt
Shot Head Shot Missed
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision confirms the goal for Noa Skoko.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Noa Skoko takes a left-footed shot and scores.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Attempt Attempt
Lenny Ilecic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card issued to Leon Belcar.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Attempt Attempt
Vedran Celjak has a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Leon Belcar.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Antonio Melnjak.

CONCLUSION

Rudeš completed the 4-1 result after an even first half at 1-1. Possession favored the home side at 58 percent against 42 percent. The away red card shaped later adjustments and contributed to the outcome. Despite Lokomotiva Zagreb holding stronger team status the result favored Rudeš through clear efficiency patterns. Deviation registered at a significant level for the winners. Alignment indicators matched the recorded scoreline. Absence of xG values limited further metric comparison yet the factual sequence supports the observed changes. The contest highlighted how the single dismissal influenced overall structure without altering core possession trends.