Rosenborg vs Viking preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Lerkendal Stadion
Eliteserien
Full Time
Round 18 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rosenborg hosted Viking in a match that concluded with a 1-0 home victory. The halftime score was 1-0 after Rosenborg scored in the opening period and held the lead until the end. Rosenborg recorded 55 percent possession compared to 45 percent for Viking. Expected goals stood at 1.71 for Rosenborg and 1.34 for Viking, creating a differential of 0.37. Although Viking was identified as the stronger team beforehand, Rosenborg claimed the three points. No red cards were issued to players from either side. The final outcome remained consistent with the expected goals figures. Rosenborg produced a significant performance deviation during the contest while efficiency levels stayed in line with projections for both teams.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Rosenborg 1-0 Viking. Rosenborg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with projections for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The outcome aligned with the expected goals differential of 0.37.
  • Market alignment: The result stayed consistent with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Rosenborg registered 1.71 expected goals against 1.34 for Viking.
  • Event impact: No major events disrupted the overall match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion from dismissals took place.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Saggi
R. Saggi
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Olav Dale
A. Olav Dale
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Grov Heiberg
P. Grov Heiberg
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.5
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lillestrøm Rank: 61 W
Brann Rank: 72 L
Fredrikstad Rank: 62 W
Start Rank: 52 W
Kristiansund Rank: 56 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 85 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 65 W
Start Rank: 56 W
Aalesund Rank: 48 D
Lillestrøm Rank: 60 W
Sandefjord Rank: 61 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 65 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.35
80.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rosenborg
Viking
Power Score
66.35
80.68
League Position
6
2
Global Rank
375
74

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Rosenborg Opponent-weighted form score
Viking Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rosenborg Viking

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Rosenborg

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Viking

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rosenborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Viking
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.09
18.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.56
39.09
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rosenborg +1.91 Efficiency Index
vs
Viking -1.91 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rosenborg
Viking
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rosenborg
vs
Viking
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rosenborg Viking
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
2%
41%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.04 vs -0.54
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rosenborg Viking
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
41%
2%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.54 vs -0.04
Rosenborg
Viking
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Rosenborg
vs
Viking
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rosenborg Viking
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rosenborg Viking
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Rosenborg
Viking
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VIK had peak pressure around 84'.
  • VIK started the game with stronger pressure.
RBK Pressure VIK Pressure
Pressure Index: VIK reached the top pressure at 84' (44.76).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rosenborg RBK Home
5 matches
Viking VIK Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
6
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-15T00:01:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 18 · Regular Season
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
Capacity
21421
Attendance
17556
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rohit Saggi
Anders Olav Dale
Ole Andreas Skogsrud Haukåsen
Per Oscar Grov Heiberg

Statistics

Possession
RBK
55%
VIK
45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 5
70 Dangerous attacks 47
55 Possession 45
9 Corners 6
6 Free kicks 12

Match Overview

66 Ball Safe 91
7 Goal Kicks 4
12 Goal Attempts 5
4 Substitutions 5
9 Throwins 21
1 Hit Woodwork 0
15 Dribble Attempts 5
7 Successful Dribbles 1
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 20

Attacking

132 Attacks 70
0 Big Chances Missed 1
3 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

40 Long Passes 52
370 Passes 304
308 Successful Passes 242
83 Successful Passes Percentage 80
14 Key Passes 5
17 Successful Long Passes 23
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

1 Saves 4
9 Tackles 10
7 Interceptions 6
38 Duels Won 39

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 15
5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI

1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper
6.23
4
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
6.58
19
Adrian Pereira
Adrian Pereira Defender
6.34
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
6.38
21
Tomas Nemcik
Tomas Nemcik Defender
6.31
22
Jonas Svensson
6.99
10
Ole Selnæs
Ole Selnæs Midfielder
6.74
11
Noah Sahsah
Noah Sahsah Midfielder
6.97
15
Jonas Mortensen
Jonas Mortensen
Defender59'
6.48
17
Mads Bomholt
Mads Bomholt Midfielder
7.48
29
David Duris
David Duris Midfielder
6.82
16
Aslak Witry
Aslak Witry
Defender59'
6.66
18
Amin Chiakha
Amin Chiakha Attacker
7.98
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
7.71
14
Jesper Reitan-Sunde
6.51
Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI

1
Arild Østbø
Arild Østbø Goalkeeper
6.62
6
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness Defender
6.21
18
Sondre Bjørshol
6.85
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Midfielder62'
24
Vetle Auklend
Vetle Auklend Defender
6.74
25
Henrik Falchener
Henrik Falchener Defender
6.42
5
Henrik Heggheim
Henrik Heggheim
Defender62'
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
6.85
16
Ruben Alte
Ruben Alte Midfielder
6.46
10
Zlatko Tripic
Zlatko Tripic
Attacker62'
7.11
29
Tobias Moi
Tobias Moi Midfielder
6.64
2
Herman Haugen
Herman Haugen Attacker
6.69
8
Joe Bell
Joe Bell
Midfielder72'
6.56
17
Edvin Austbø
Edvin Austbø Attacker
6.85
11
Romano Postema
Romano Postema
Attacker84'
6.41
20
Peter Christiansen
7.15

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+5'
84'
Event
Romano Postema Edvin Austbø
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Tobias Solheim Dahl Adrian Pereira
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Jesper Reitan-Sunde Emil Konradsen Ceide
8th Substitution
79'
72'
Event
Joe Bell Herman Haugen
6th Substitution
62'
Event
Simen Kvia-Egeskog Sondre Bjørshol
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Henrik Heggheim Henrik Falchener
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Zlatko Tripic Ruben Alte
5th Substitution
Event
Jonas Mortensen Noah Sahsah
1st Substitution
59'
Event
Aslak Witry David Duris
2nd Substitution
59'
1ST-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
15'

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Rosenborg 1-0 Viking. Structural assessment: Rosenborg exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.