Rosenborg vs Kristiansund preview
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Rosenborg defeated Kristiansund by a final score of 3-0. The home side led 2-0 at halftime after establishing early control. Rosenborg recorded 70 percent possession against the visitors 30 percent. Expected goals stood at 2.8 for Rosenborg and 0.83 for Kristiansund producing a differential of 1.97. The stronger team Rosenborg secured the victory in line with pre-match indicators. No red cards were shown to either side. The match featured a significant deviation level of 100 percent attributed to Rosenborg. Outcome remained consistent with underlying metrics throughout both halves.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Rosenborg 3-0 Kristiansund. Rosenborg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics remained in line with expected patterns for both teams.
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xG alignment: Final outcome proved consistent with the 2.8 to 0.83 xG distribution.
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Market alignment: Result aligned directly with available pre-match indicators.
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xG expectations: Home xG of 2.8 exceeded away xG of 0.83 by a 1.97 differential.
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Event impact: No second half adjustments or notable events altered the match flow.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued resulting in no distortion to the result.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Rosenborg
Kristiansund
Team Power Ranking
i
63.05
55.4
Rosenborg
Kristiansund
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Rosenborg
Kristiansund
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Rosenborg
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
Kristiansund
Rosenborg
Kristiansund
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
Kristiansund
Rosenborg
Kristiansund
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Rosenborg had peak pressure around 34'.
- Rosenborg started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-07-13T10:54:19+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Rosenborg
vs
Start
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Jul - 2:00 PM
Venue: Sparebanken Sør Arena
Kristiansund
vs
Sarpsborg 08
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sat, 18 Jul - 2:00 PM
Venue: Kristiansund Stadion
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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