Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad preview
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Lerkendal Stadion
Mon, 27 Jul - 5:00 PM
Round 15 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 13
CONTEXT
Rosenborg secured a comprehensive 4-0 victory over Fredrikstad in the match. The home side took control early, leading 2-0 at halftime. Throughout the game, Rosenborg maintained 55 percent possession while limiting Fredrikstad to 45 percent. The expected goals stood at 2.73 for Rosenborg and 0.5 for the visitors, reflecting the dominance on display. No red cards were shown to either team. The stronger team, Rosenborg, delivered a performance that resulted in a clear win consistent with projections. This outcome highlighted their superiority in creating scoring opportunities and converting them effectively on the day. The xG differential of 2.23 underscored the gap in quality between the two sides.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Rosenborg exhibited a significant structural deviation in their performance against Fredrikstad.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the stronger team's capabilities.
-
xG alignment: The final result was consistent with the xG values of 2.73 to 0.5.
-
Market alignment: The match outcome aligned with pre-match market indicators.
-
xG expectations: Expected goals favored Rosenborg substantially over the course of the match.
-
Event impact: Rosenborg established a 2-0 halftime lead that shaped the second half.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Nilsen
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
E. Hareland
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Alnes Dyb
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
P. Øien
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
F. Alexandersson
VS
C. Røjkjaer
1.15
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.08
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start
Rank: 52
W
Kristiansund
Rank: 56
W
Bodø / Glimt
Rank: 85
D
KFUM
Rank: 58
L
Aalesund
Rank: 49
L
Lillestrøm
Rank: 61
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bodø / Glimt
Rank: 83
L
Lillestrøm
Rank: 58
L
Start
Rank: 53
W
Sandefjord
Rank: 63
D
HamKam
Rank: 61
W
Sarpsborg 08
Rank: 65
L
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.83
61.01
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
Power Score
65.83
61.01
League Position
9
12
Global Rank
385
531
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Rosenborg
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Fredrikstad
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Rosenborg Fredrikstad
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Rosenborg
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Fredrikstad
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Rosenborg
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Fredrikstad
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
48.27
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.33
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Rosenborg
+3.10
Efficiency Index
vs
Fredrikstad
-3.10
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Rosenborg
vs
Fredrikstad
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
15%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.42
vs
-0.14
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
29%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.14
vs
-0.42
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Rosenborg
vs
Fredrikstad
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Rosenborg
0.32
Fredrikstad
0.22
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Rosenborg
0.00
Fredrikstad
0.06
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- RBK had peak pressure around 11'.
- RBK started the game with stronger pressure.
RBK Pressure
FFK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
RBK reached the top pressure at 11' (87.95).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Rosenborg
RBK
Home
4
matches
Fredrikstad
FFK
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
6
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-07-28T00:00:24+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-3-3
Match Formation
3-4-3
22 (C) J. Svensson
4 M. Ceide
21 T. Nemčík
19 A. Pereira
17 M. Bomholt
10 O. Selnæs
29 D. Duris
18 A. Chiakha
35 E. Ceide
General Information
Date & Time
Jul 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 15 · Regular Season
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
Capacity
21421
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ola Hobber Nilsen
Erland Hareland
Jim André Alnes Dyb
Preben Øien
Next Match
Rosenborg
vs
Brann
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 2 Aug - 5:15 PM
Venue: Brann Stadion
Fredrikstad
vs
Sandefjord
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sat, 1 Aug - 2:00 PM
Venue: Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
Statistics
Possession
RBK
56%
FFK
44%
Top Statistics
4
Goals
0
5
Big Chances Created
0
8
Shots
2
71
Dangerous attacks
27
55
Possession
45
10
Corners
3
9
Free kicks
15
1
Yellow Cards
0
Match Overview
73
Ball Safe
86
4
Goal Kicks
13
19
Goal Attempts
6
5
Substitutions
5
29
Throwins
23
27
Dribble Attempts
20
10
Successful Dribbles
9
37
Successful Dribbles Percentage
45
Attacking
156
Attacks
78
3
Big Chances Missed
0
0
Counter Attacks
1
Possession
40
Long Passes
49
585
Passes
493
507
Successful Passes
398
87
Successful Passes Percentage
81
17
Key Passes
5
23
Successful Long Passes
16
58
Successful Long Passes Percentage
33
Defensive
3
Saves
6
18
Tackles
26
16
Interceptions
10
43
Duels Won
56
Build-up
19
Total Crosses
9
4
Accurate Crosses
1
Discipline
2
Offsides
0
15
Fouls
9
Lineup
Referee :
Ola Hobber Nilsen
Manager ▼
F. Alexandersson
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
12
Rasmus Sandberg
Goalkeeper
15
Jonas Mortensen
Defender
25
Johan Johanessen Bakke
Midfielder
30
Maciej Soboczynski
Attacker
Referee :
Ola Hobber Nilsen
Manager ▼
C. Røjkjaer
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
1
Öystein Övretveit
Goalkeeper
3
Aleksander Andresen
Defender
18
Jonathan Norbye
Defender
24
Leonard Owusu
Midfielder
Events
2ND-HALF
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
88'
10th Substitution
85'
9th Substitution
81'
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
77'
75'
7th Substitution
75'
8th Substitution
5th Substitution
70'
6th Substitution
70'
67'
4th Substitution
57'
3rd Substitution
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
32'
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
13'
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
10'
CONCLUSION
Final score detail: Rosenborg 4-0 Fredrikstad. Structural assessment: Rosenborg exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.
