Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Lerkendal Stadion Today - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Rosenborg RBK
Fredrikstad FFK
KICKOFF : Today - 5:00 PM
Round 15 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rosenborg welcome Fredrikstad to Lerkendal Stadion for this Eliteserien regular season clash in 2026. The hosts sit tenth in the domestic standings while the visitors occupy twelfth place. Rosenborg carry a narrow power advantage of 2.5 points and are designated the stronger side overall. Their form score stands at 22.78 against Fredrikstad's 12.89, underlining a clear edge in recent performances. Both teams operate with limited advanced metrics available, particularly around efficiency and set-piece data which register low confidence levels. The fixture promises a competitive league encounter where home advantage and structural edges could prove decisive for the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rosenborg hold a 2.5-point power advantage and are the stronger team overall.
  • Form: Rosenborg post a superior form score of 22.78 compared to Fredrikstad's 12.89.
  • Squad: Detailed squad information remains unavailable for both sides ahead of kickoff.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not provided for this particular fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play statistics are currently unavailable for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy values applied to both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to missing advanced data.
  • Market: Rosenborg 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Fredrikstad 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rosenborg F. Alexandersson
F. Alexandersson
VS
Fredrikstad C. Røjkjaer
C. Røjkjaer
1.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.08
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start Rank: 52 W
Kristiansund Rank: 56 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 85 D
KFUM Rank: 58 L
Aalesund Rank: 49 L
Lillestrøm Rank: 61 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 L
Lillestrøm Rank: 58 L
Start Rank: 53 W
Sandefjord Rank: 63 D
HamKam Rank: 61 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 65 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rosenborg
0%
Draw
0%
Away Fredrikstad
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.67
62.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
Power Score
64.67
62.14
League Position
10
12
Global Rank
413
504

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rosenborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Fredrikstad — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rosenborg Fredrikstad

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rosenborg RBK Home
4 matches
Fredrikstad FFK Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
6
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-27T00:06:23+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
L. Wahlstedt
1 L. Wahlstedt
J. Svensson
22 J. Svensson
M. Ceide
4 M. Ceide
T. Nemčík
21 T. Nemčík
A. Pereira
19 A. Pereira
O. Selnæs
10 O. Selnæs
I. Fossum
8 I. Fossum
M. Bomholt
17 M. Bomholt
D. Duris
29 D. Duris
A. Chiakha
18 A. Chiakha
E. Ceide
35 E. Ceide
M. Børsheim
77 M. Børsheim
U. Fredriksen
12 U. Fredriksen
F. Holmé
4 F. Holmé
S. Rafn
5 S. Rafn
F. Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
19 F. Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
L. Owusu
24 L. Owusu
M. Nilsson
14 M. Nilsson
D. Eid
16 D. Eid
S. Laghzaoui
9 S. Laghzaoui
H. Skogvold
23 H. Skogvold
B. Thoresen Faraas
7 B. Thoresen Faraas

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 15 · Regular Season
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
Capacity
21421
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ola Hobber Nilsen
Erland Hareland
Jim André Alnes Dyb
Preben Øien

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ola Hobber Nilsen

Starting XI ▼

1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper
6.87
29
David Duris
David Duris Attacker
6.56
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide Attacker
6.84
18
Amin Chiakha
Amin Chiakha Centre Forward
6.9
4
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide Right Back
6.88
8
Iver Fossum
Iver Fossum Central Midfield
6.87
17
Mads Bomholt
Mads Bomholt Central Midfield
6.92
19
Adrian Pereira
Adrian Pereira Left Back
6.5
21
Tomas Nemcik
Tomas Nemcik Left Back
6.96
22
Jonas Svensson
Jonas Svensson Right Back
6.84
10
Ole Selnæs
Ole Selnæs Central Midfield
7.13
Referee : Ola Hobber Nilsen

Starting XI ▼

77
Martin Børsheim
Martin Børsheim Goalkeeper
6.92
16
Daniel Eid
Daniel Eid Midfielder
7.2
19
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem Midfielder
6.42
7
Benjamin Faraas
Benjamin Faraas Attacker
6.6
9
S. Laghzaoui
S. Laghzaoui Attacker
6.61
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Henrik Langaas Skogvold Centre Forward
6.58
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
Ulrik Fredriksen Left Back
7.02
14
Max Nilsson
Max Nilsson Central Midfield
6.72
24
Leonard Owusu
Leonard Owusu Central Midfield
6.64
4
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrik Holmé Centre Back
7.01
5
Julián Cruz Ossa
Julián Cruz Ossa Right Back
6.75

CONCLUSION

Rosenborg are expected to leverage their home setting and modest power edge when they face Fredrikstad. The hosts' stronger recent form provides a platform to control proceedings at Lerkendal Stadion. Fredrikstad will look to exploit any lapses but face an uphill task given their lower form rating. With both sides lacking detailed efficiency and set-piece insights, the contest may hinge on basic structural factors and individual quality. Rosenborg's domestic position offers slight encouragement though the gap to the visitors remains narrow. A measured approach from the home side should help them navigate this league fixture successfully.