Rosenborg vs Aalesund preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Lerkendal Stadion Sat, 16 May - 2:00 PM
Eliteserien
Rosenborg Rosenborg
2 3
Aalesund Aalesund
Full Time Sat, 16 May 2:00 PM
Round 9 Regular Season
Amin Chiakha - 3'
Emil Konradsen Ceide - 78'
Goal
|
Goal
Kristian Lonebu - 29'
Mathias Christensen - 50'
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch - 80'

CONTEXT

Rosenborg hosted Aalesund in a match that defied expectations as the visitors claimed a 3-2 victory. The game remained balanced at halftime with both teams finding the net once. Rosenborg controlled 67 percent of possession yet struggled to create clear chances against a compact defense. Aalesund operated efficiently on the counter and capitalized on limited opportunities to secure the win. Expected goals favored the away side slightly at 1.26 compared to Rosenborg's 1.02. No red cards were issued and the contest unfolded without major interruptions. The outcome proved consistent with underlying metrics while highlighting Aalesund's clinical finishing on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Rosenborg 2-3 Aalesund. Aalesund showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with performance indicators across both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the expected goals distribution.
  • Market alignment: The outcome matched market alignment throughout the fixture.
  • xG expectations: Rosenborg posted 1.02 expected goals against Aalesund's 1.26.
  • Event impact: No standout events shifted momentum beyond routine match play.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards prevented any distortion to overall match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Røvig Sletner
S. Røvig Sletner
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Knutsen
J. Knutsen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Støfringshaug
M. Støfringshaug
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Rosenborg A. Tettey
A. Tettey
VS
Aalesund K. Rekdal
K. Rekdal
1.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.43
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lillestrøm Rank: 58 W
Viking Rank: 78 L
Brann Rank: 66 D
Sandefjord Rank: 61 D
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 58 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sandefjord Rank: 62 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
KFUM Rank: 56 D
Fredrikstad Rank: 60 L
Start Rank: 49 D
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 11 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rosenborg
0.27%
Draw
7.39%
Away Aalesund
92.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.03
45.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rosenborg
Aalesund
Power Score
61.03
45.18
League Position
14
15
Global Rank
443
949

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rosenborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Aalesund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rosenborg Aalesund

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rosenborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Aalesund

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rosenborg ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aalesund
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.78
32.27
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.27
24.78
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rosenborg -0.75 Efficiency Index
vs
Aalesund +0.75 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rosenborg
Aalesund
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rosenborg
vs
Aalesund
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rosenborg Aalesund
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rosenborg Aalesund
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Rosenborg
Aalesund
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rosenborg
vs
Aalesund
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rosenborg Aalesund
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rosenborg 0.18
Aalesund 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rosenborg Aalesund
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rosenborg 0.09
Aalesund 0.03
Rosenborg
Aalesund
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Rosenborg had peak pressure around 94'.
  • Rosenborg started the game with stronger pressure.
Rosenborg Pressure Aalesund Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Rosenborg reached the top pressure at 94' (70.84).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rosenborg Rosenborg Home
30 matches
Aalesund Aalesund Away
Match Record
16
Wins
3
11
Draws
11
3
Losses
16
Goals
58
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
58
+28
Goal Difference
-28
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:56:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
L. Wahlstedt
Sweden
1 L. Wahlstedt
J. Søgaard Mortensen
Substitution
Denmark
15 J. Søgaard Mortensen
H. Røsten
Norway
2 H. Røsten
T. Nemčík
Slovakia
21 T. Nemčík
T. Solheim Dahl
Norway
3 T. Solheim Dahl
M. Bomholt
Substitution
Denmark
17 M. Bomholt
S. Väänänen
Finland
6 S. Väänänen
O. Selnæs
Substitution
Norway
10 (C) O. Selnæs
E. Ceide
Norway
35 E. Ceide
A. Chiakha
Denmark
18 A. Chiakha
S. Nordli
Substitution
Norway
7 S. Nordli
K. Klaesson
Norway
1 K. Klaesson
U. Nwokoma
Nigeria
14 U. Nwokoma
O. Gudmundsson
Iceland
3 O. Gudmundsson
A. Hammer Kjelsen
Norway
5 (C) A. Hammer Kjelsen
S. Haram
Norway
4 S. Haram
M. Andersen
Substitution
Norway
2 M. Andersen
E. Hjertager Osenbroch
Substitution
Norway
15 E. Hjertager Osenbroch
E. Hagen
Norway
18 E. Hagen
M. Christensen
Substitution
Denmark
21 M. Christensen
M. Haagensen Reed
Substitution
27 M. Haagensen Reed
K. Lonnebu
Norway
39 K. Lonnebu

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 9 · Regular Season
Stadium
Lerkendal Stadion
Capacity
21421
Attendance
21426
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stian Røvig Sletner
Jon-Michael Knutsen
Mathias Støfringshaug
Ole Andreas Skogsrud Haukåsen

Statistics

Possession
Rosenborg
62%
Aalesund
38%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
2 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 4
72 Dangerous attacks 33
67 Possession 33
11 Corners 0
15 Free kicks 7
2 Yellow Cards 6

Match Overview

8 Successful Dribbles 5
8 Goal Kicks 10
1 Assists 3
32 Throwins 30
24 Dribble Attempts 15
74 Ball Safe 56
9 Goal Attempts 5
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

119 Attacks 86
1 Big Chances Missed 0
4 Counter Attacks 2

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 67
42 Long Passes 52
9 Key Passes 6
423 Successful Passes 175
20 Successful Long Passes 18
515 Passes 263
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35

Defensive

55 Duels Won 51
10 Interceptions 18
25 Tackles 25
1 Saves 2

Build-up

7 Accurate Crosses 2
27 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

7 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Stian Røvig Sletner

Starting XI ▼

1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper
6.07
2
Håkon Røsten
Håkon Røsten Defender
6.51
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
Tobias Solheim Dahl Defender
6.54
15
Jonas Mortensen
Jonas Mortensen Defender
6.22
19
Adrian Pereira
Adrian Pereira
Defender46'
6.18
21
Tomas Nemcik
Tomas Nemcik Defender
6.5
6
Santeri Väänänen
Santeri Väänänen Midfielder
6.99
10
Ole Selnæs
Ole Selnæs (C) Midfielder
7.1
8
Iver Fossum
Iver Fossum
Midfielder46'
6.44
17
Mads Bomholt
Mads Bomholt Midfielder
6.99
11
Noah Sahsah
Noah Sahsah
Attacker68'
6.62
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide Midfielder
7.14
7
Simen Bolkan Nordli
Simen Bolkan Nordli Attacker
6.99
9
Dino Islamovic
Dino Islamovic
Attacker68'
6.62
18
Amin Chiakha
Amin Chiakha Attacker
7.4
Referee : Stian Røvig Sletner

Starting XI ▼

1
Kristoffer Klaesson
Kristoffer Klaesson Goalkeeper
6.45
2
Marius Andresen
Marius Andresen Defender
7.41
7
Kristoffer Nessø
Kristoffer Nessø
Midfielder84'
6.57
3
Ólafur Guðmundsson
Ólafur Guðmundsson Defender
6.7
4
Simen Haram
Simen Haram Defender
6.39
5
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen (C) Defender
6.61
14
Uba Charles
Uba Charles Defender
6.83
15
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch Midfielder
7.72
6
Hakon Butli Hammer
Hakon Butli Hammer
Midfielder81'
6.59
18
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen Midfielder
6.86
21
Mathias Christensen
Mathias Christensen Midfielder
6.62
11
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Midfielder76'
7.02
27
Marcus Haagensen Reed
Marcus Haagensen Reed Attacker
6.57
17
E. Myrlid
E. Myrlid
Attacker81'
6.41
39
Kristian Lonebu
Kristian Lonebu Attacker
6.67

Events

2ND-HALF
90+8'
Event
E. Myrlid
Time wasting / 8th Yellowcard
Event
Dino Islamovic
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
90+3'
90+3'
Event
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
90'
Event
Uba Charles
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
David Duris → Adrian Pereira
9th Substitution
88'
84'
Event
Kristoffer Nessø → Marius Andresen
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Hakon Butli Hammer → Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
6th Substitution
81'
Event
E. Myrlid → Marcus Haagensen Reed
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
78'
76'
Event
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson → Mathias Christensen
5th Substitution
Event
Noah Sahsah → Mads Bomholt
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Dino Islamovic → Simen Bolkan Nordli
3rd Substitution
68'
66'
Event
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
55'
Event
Mathias Christensen
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
50'
Event
Mathias Christensen
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Adrian Pereira → Jonas Mortensen
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Iver Fossum → Ole Selnæs
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Tomas Nemcik
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
39'
29'
Event
Kristian Lonebu
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
5'
Event
Kristoffer Klaesson
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Amin Chiakha
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
3'

CONCLUSION

Aalesund's triumph over Rosenborg underscored the value of clinical execution even when facing the stronger side on paper. Despite Rosenborg's clear possession advantage the visitors created enough quality to edge the contest. The 2-3 scoreline accurately reflected the narrow expected goals gap and confirmed the absence of major anomalies. Both teams contributed to an open first half that ended level at 1-1 before Aalesund pulled ahead after the break. This result demonstrates how efficiency and timely finishing can overcome statistical dominance in possession. Future fixtures will reveal whether Aalesund can sustain such performances against similarly favored opponents.