River Plate vs Rosario Central preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Mâs Monumental Sun, 2 Aug - 10:15 PM
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
River PlateRIV
0 1
Rosario CentralROS
Full Time Sun, 2 Aug 10:15 PM
Round 3 2nd Phase
|
Goal
Nicolás Otamendi - 27' (Own Goal)
|
Second yellow card Emanuel Coronel 83'

CONTEXT

River Plate hosted Rosario Central in a match that concluded with a 0-1 scoreline. The halftime score stood at 0-1 after Rosario Central took an early lead. River Plate dominated possession with 65 percent but generated an xG of 2.06 against the visitors 0.56. Rosario Central played with ten men following a red card. Despite the numerical disadvantage the away side secured the victory. The stronger team River Plate failed to convert their expected goal advantage into a positive result. The game featured notable structural elements including a significant deviation attributed to Rosario Central. Efficiency remained in line with overall patterns observed. The final outcome did not align with xG projections yet matched market alignment indicators.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: River Plate 0-1 Rosario Central. Rosario Central showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall match patterns.
  • xG alignment: The final result proved inconsistent with the recorded xG values.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: River Plate posted higher xG at 2.06 versus Rosario Central at 0.56.
  • Event impact: A red card to Rosario Central shaped the match progression.
  • Red card distortion: The red card introduced measurable distortion during the second half.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
N. Ramírez
N. Ramírez
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
P. González
P. González
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
U. García Leri
U. García Leri
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Del Barba
J. Del Barba
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
River Plate E. Coudet
E. Coudet
VS
Rosario Central J. Almirón Quintana
J. Almirón Quintana
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.68
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gimnasia La Plata Rank: 65 L
Barracas Central Rank: 59 L
Belgrano Rank: 70 L
Rosario Central Rank: 70 W
Gimnasia La Plata Rank: 67 W
San Lorenzo Rank: 65 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Club Rank: 70 D
Belgrano Rank: 67 L
River Plate Rank: 70 L
Racing Club Rank: 72 W
Independiente Rank: 71 W
Tigre Rank: 65 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.11
69.94
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
River Plate
Rosario Central
Power Score
70.11
69.94
League Position
15
12
Global Rank
303
311

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
River Plate — Opponent-weighted form score
Rosario Central — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) River Plate Rosario Central

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

River Plate

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rosario Central

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

River Plate ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rosario Central
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.38
33.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.43
33.38
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
River Plate 0.00 Efficiency Index
vs
Rosario Central +0.00 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
River Plate
Rosario Central
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

River Plate
vs
Rosario Central
Created Set-piece attacking threat
River Plate Rosario Central
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
31%
16%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.64 vs -0.09
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
River Plate Rosario Central
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
16%
31%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.09 vs -0.64
River Plate
Rosario Central
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
River Plate
vs
Rosario Central
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
River Plate Rosario Central
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
River Plate 0.35
Rosario Central 0.79
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
River Plate Rosario Central
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
River Plate 0.07
Rosario Central 0.00
River Plate
Rosario Central
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RIV had peak pressure around 97'.
  • RIV started the game with stronger pressure.
RIV Pressure ROS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RIV reached the top pressure at 97' (95.49).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

River Plate RIV Home
5 matches
Rosario Central ROS Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
8
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-03T00:06:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 02, 2026, 10:15 PM
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 3 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Mâs Monumental
Capacity
102733
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nicolás Ramírez
Pablo González
Uriel García Leri
Javier Del Barba

Statistics

Possession
RIV
61%
ROS
39%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 2
17 Shots 7
64 Dangerous attacks 18
65 Possession 35
10 Corners 4
15 Free kicks 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

82 Ball Safe 76
8 Goal Kicks 19
11 Goal Attempts 8
4 Substitutions 4
24 Throwins 19
1 Injuries 0
14 Dribble Attempts 14
5 Successful Dribbles 2
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 14

Attacking

114 Attacks 73
4 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

44 Long Passes 83
413 Passes 230
329 Successful Passes 130
80 Successful Passes Percentage 57
21 Key Passes 8
16 Successful Long Passes 27
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33

Defensive

3 Saves 5
13 Tackles 27
6 Interceptions 12
52 Duels Won 61

Build-up

37 Total Crosses 9
15 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
15 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Nicolás Ramírez

Starting XI ▼

41
Santiago Beltrán
Santiago Beltrán Goalkeeper
6.74
13
Lautaro Rivero
Lautaro Rivero Defender
6.45
43
Valentín Lucero
Valentín Lucero
Midfielder84'
28
Lucas Martínez Quarta
Lucas Martínez Quarta Defender
6.72
29
Gonzalo Montiel
Gonzalo Montiel Defender
7.28
30
Nicolás Otamendi
Nicolás Otamendi (C) Defender
6.46
6
Aníbal Moreno
Aníbal Moreno Midfielder
6.92
11
Facundo Colidio
Facundo Colidio Midfielder
7.11
15
Fausto Vera
Fausto Vera Midfielder
6.7
18
Lucas Beltrán
Lucas Beltrán
Attacker63'
6.32
25
Lautaro Pereyra
Lautaro Pereyra Midfielder
6.3
26
Tomás Galván
Tomás Galván
Midfielder46'
6.55
35
Joaquín Freitas
Joaquín Freitas Midfielder
6.83
24
Juan Cruz Meza
Juan Cruz Meza
Midfielder67'
6.66
19
Rafael Borré
Rafael Borré Attacker
7.05
Referee : Nicolás Ramírez

Starting XI ▼

23
Conan Ledesma
Conan Ledesma Goalkeeper
7.38
3
Agustín Sández
Agustín Sández Defender
7.01
13
Gastón Ávila
Gastón Ávila Defender
6.88
32
Emanuel Coronel
Emanuel Coronel Defender
6.52
46
Ignacio Ovando
Ignacio Ovando Defender
7.38
5
Franco Ibarra
Franco Ibarra Midfielder
7.26
8
Jáminton Campaz
Jáminton Campaz Midfielder
6.33
28
Pol Fernández
Pol Fernández
Midfielder82'
11
Ángel Di María
Ángel Di María (C) Midfielder
7.03
15
Facundo Mallo
Facundo Mallo
Defender85'
20
Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy
Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy Midfielder
6.76
31
Federico Navarro
Federico Navarro
Midfielder70'
6.65
26
Giovanni Cantizano
Giovanni Cantizano Midfielder
6.78
22
Enzo Copetti
Enzo Copetti Attacker
6.56
16
Tomás Badaloni
Tomás Badaloni
Attacker83'

Events

2ND-HALF
85'
Event
Facundo Mallo → Ángel Di María
8th Substitution
Event
Valentín Lucero → Lautaro Rivero
7th Substitution
84'
83'
Event
Tomás Badaloni → Enzo Copetti
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Emanuel Coronel
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
82'
Event
Pol Fernández → Jáminton Campaz
5th Substitution
80'
Event
Franco Ibarra
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Federico Navarro → Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy
4th Substitution
Event
Juan Cruz Meza → Joaquín Freitas
3rd Substitution
67'
65'
Event
Ángel Di María
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Lucas Beltrán → Fausto Vera
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Tomás Galván → Lautaro Pereyra
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Lucas Martínez Quarta
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
41'
Event
Nicolás Otamendi
Penalty disallowed
37'
34'
Event
Emanuel Coronel
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
27'
Event
Nicolás Otamendi
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
Event
Fausto Vera
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
17'
Event
Lautaro Rivero
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
10'
Event
Joaquín Freitas
Simulation / 1st Yellowcard
5'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Santos Borre Maury takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
90
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Santos Borre Maury takes a shot but misses.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Giovanni Cantizano takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Update Update
Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi's header is blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Update Update
Offside.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Facundo Colidio Head Shot Missed
86
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Martinez Quarta takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Facundo Mallo Blanco comes on for Angel Fabian Di Maria.
84
Update Update
Valentin Lucero comes on for Lautaro Ruben Rivero Cruz.
83
Attempt Attempt
Lautaro Ruben Rivero Cruz takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Emanuel Coronel receives a second yellow card.
83
Update Update
Tomas Oscar Badaloni comes on for Enzo Nahuel Copetti.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi attempts a header but misses the shot.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Franco Ibarra receives a yellow card.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Franco Ibarra receives a yellow card.
77
Attempt Attempt
Juan Meza takes a right-footed shot but misses.
77
Attempt Attempt
Federico Navarro takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Update Update
Federico Navarro comes on for Vicente Pizarro.
70
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Martinez Quarta takes a header shot but misses.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Beltran takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Update Update
Juan Meza comes on for Joaquin Freitas.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Angel Fabian Di Maria.
65
Attempt Attempt
Jaminton Campaz takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
64
Update Update
Offside.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Lucas Beltran comes on for Fausto Vera.
62
Attempt Attempt
Jaminton Campaz takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Jaminton Campaz takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Update Update
VAR decision reviewed for Lautaro Ruben Rivero Cruz.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Update Update
VAR Decision - vip_for_unknown.true
47
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Martinez Quarta takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
46
Update Update
Tomas Galvan comes on for Lautaro Pereyra.
45
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Santos Borre Maury takes a shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Fausto Vera takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lautaro Pereyra takes a left-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Vicente Pizarro takes a left-footed shot but misses.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Lucas Martinez Quarta.
40
Update Update
Offside.
37
Update Update
VAR decision: the penalty is cancelled for Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi.
36
Update Update
Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi's header is blocked.
36
Update Update
Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi's header is blocked.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Emanuel Coronel receives a yellow card.
33
Attempt Attempt
Fausto Vera takes a left-footed shot but misses.
33
Attempt Attempt
Lautaro Pereyra takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Giovanni Cantizano takes a right-footed shot but misses.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi results in an own goal.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi results in an own goal.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi puts the score at 0-1.
22
Attempt Attempt
Angel Fabian Di Maria takes a left-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Angel Fabian Di Maria takes a left-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
Fausto Vera takes a right-footed shot but misses.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Fausto Vera receives a yellow card.
14
Attempt Attempt
Anibal Ismael Moreno takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
14
Update Update
Offside.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
14
Attempt Attempt
Anibal Ismael Moreno takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
12
Attempt Attempt
Jaminton Campaz takes a left-footed shot but misses.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Giovanni Cantizano with his right foot is blocked.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Lautaro Ruben Rivero Cruz.
10
Attempt Attempt
Angel Fabian Di Maria takes a left-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Santos Borre Maury takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi attempts a header but misses the shot.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Nicolas Ramirez.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: River Plate 0-1 Rosario Central. Structural assessment: Rosario Central exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.