Rio Ave vs Sporting CP preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube Mon, 11 May - 7:15 PM
Liga Portugal
Rio AveRAFC
Sporting CPSCP
KICKOFF : Mon, 11 May - 7:15 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Rio Ave host Sporting CP in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. Domestically, Rio Ave sit 12th in the table while Sporting CP are 2th. Power ranking favours Sporting CP by 24.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting CP enjoys a 24.2-point power advantage over Rio Ave, with scores of 88.24 versus 64.05.
  • Form: Both Rio Ave and Sporting CP enter with neutral form scores of zero.
  • Squad: Rio Ave occupies 12th place domestically, while Sporting CP sits 2nd.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable due to lack of recent outing details.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats for both teams use low-confidence proxies without xG data.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Rio Ave 7.5% (Δ-0.2%) | Draw 14.6% (Δ-0.5%) | Sporting CP 77.9% (Δ+0.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Rio Ave S. Silaidopoulos
S. Silaidopoulos
VS
Sporting CP R. Gomes Borges
R. Gomes Borges
1.1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.29
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gil Vicente Rank: 70 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 L
AVS Rank: 55 D
Santa Clara Rank: 67 W
Alverca Rank: 67 L
Estoril Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 W
Tondela Rank: 59 D
AVS Rank: 55 D
Benfica Rank: 86 L
Estrela Amadora Rank: 58 W
Santa Clara Rank: 67 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 7 - 24
24
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rio Ave
7.49%
Draw
14.57%
Away Sporting CP
77.94%

Movement

Changes since opening
Rio Ave
-0.17%
Draw
-0.46%
Sporting CP
+0.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.05
88.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Power Score
64.05
88.24
League Position
12
2
Global Rank
364
19

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rio Ave — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting CP — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rio Ave Sporting CP

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
R. Dantas da Silva
1 R. Dantas da Silva
M. Araújo Vilches
20 M. Araújo Vilches
G. Inácio
25 G. Inácio
Z. Debast
6 Z. Debast
E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
72 E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
H. Morita
5 H. Morita
D. Santos Bragança
23 D. Santos Bragança
P. Pereira Gonçalves
8 P. Pereira Gonçalves
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
17 F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
G. Cipriano Catamo
10 G. Cipriano Catamo
L. Suárez Charris
97 L. Suárez Charris

General Information

Date & Time
May 11, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Capacity
12815
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Pedro Ribeiro
João António Ferreira Gonçalves
Miguel Ângelo da Silva Martins
Diogo Araújo

Expected Lineup

Referee : João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Starting XI ▼

1
Cezary Miszta
Cezary Miszta Goalkeeper
6.98
9
Tamble Monteiro
Tamble Monteiro Centre Forward
6.69
7
Diogo Bezerra
Diogo Bezerra Right Wing
6.8
11
Jalen Blesa
Jalen Blesa Attacking Midfield
7.1
17
Marios Vrousai
Marios Vrousai Right Back
7.06
23
Francisco Petrasso
Francisco Petrasso Right Back
6.62
6
Nelson Abbey
Nelson Abbey Left Back
6.61
18
Dario Spikic
Dario Spikic Left Wing
6.68
39
Gustavo Mancha
Gustavo Mancha Left Back
6.73
44
Tamás Nikitscher
Tamás Nikitscher Defensive Midfield
6.65
5
Andreas Ntoi
Andreas Ntoi Defensive Midfield
6.6
Referee : João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Starting XI ▼

1
Rui Silva
Rui Silva Goalkeeper
6.95
97
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez Centre Forward
7.5
72
Eduardo Quaresma
Eduardo Quaresma Right Back
7.12
5
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita Defensive Midfield
6.89
6
Zeno Debast
Zeno Debast Right Back
6.91
8
Pedro Gonçalves
Pedro Gonçalves Left Wing
7.56
10
Geny Catamo
Geny Catamo Right Wing
7.09
17
Francisco Trincão
Francisco Trincão Attacking Midfield
7.31
20
Maxi Araújo
Maxi Araújo Left Back
7.11
23
Daniel Bragança
Daniel Bragança Defensive Midfield
7.18
25
Gonçalo Inácio
Gonçalo Inácio Left Back
7.23

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Sporting CP holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Sporting CP a 24.2-point edge. External projection is Rio Ave 8.5%, draw 16.3%, and Sporting CP 75.1%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.