Rīgas FS vs Glentoran preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
LNK Sporta Parks
Europa Conference League
Rīgas FSRFS
2 0
GlentoranGLE
Full Time
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 1
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Rīgas FS 2–0 Glentoran. The result saw Rīgas FS take the points. Rīgas FS showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 56%–44%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match recorded a significant deviation of 31.4 percent favoring Rīgas FS.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match indicators throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The result proved consistent with the aligned market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were supplied in the available data.
  • Event impact: The second leg produced a 2-0 scoreline that confirmed progression for Rīgas FS.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown so no distortion affected match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Simani
P. Simani
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
C. De Casseres
C. De Casseres
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Koskinen
S. Koskinen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Hyytiä
J. Hyytiä
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Rīgas FS V. Morozs
V. Morozs
VS
Glentoran D. Devine
D. Devine
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Glentoran Rank: 53 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rīgas FS Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Rīgas FS
68.63%
Draw
17.7%
Away Glentoran
13.67%

Movement

Changes since opening
Rīgas FS
-28.5%
Draw
+15.8%
Glentoran
+12.71%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Rīgas FS — Opponent-weighted form score
Glentoran — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Rīgas FS Glentoran

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Rīgas FS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Glentoran

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Rīgas FS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Glentoran
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.21
19.20
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.20
23.21
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Rīgas FS +0.31 Efficiency Index
vs
Glentoran -0.31 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Rīgas FS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Glentoran
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Rīgas FS Glentoran
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Rīgas FS Glentoran
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Rīgas FS
vs
Glentoran
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Rīgas FS Glentoran
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Rīgas FS 0.17
Glentoran 0.12
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Rīgas FS Glentoran
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Rīgas FS 0.00
Glentoran 0.03
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GLE had peak pressure around 89'.
  • RFS started the game with stronger pressure.
RFS Pressure GLE Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GLE reached the top pressure at 89' (61.14).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Rīgas FS RFS Home
1 matches
Glentoran GLE Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:01:03+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 1
Stadium
LNK Sporta Parks
Capacity
27000
Attendance
1537
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Peiman Simani
Christian De Casseres
Samu Koskinen
Joni Hyytiä

Statistics

Possession
RFS
54%
GLE
46%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
4 Shots 2
60 Dangerous attacks 49
56 Possession 44
5 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

85 Ball Safe 74
6 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 4
23 Throwins 24
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

111 Attacks 92

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Peiman Simani

Starting XI ▼

16
Jevgenijs Nerugals
Jevgenijs Nerugals Goalkeeper
6.5
6
Aleksandar Filipovic
Aleksandar Filipovic Defender
6.5
11
Roberts Savalnieks
Roberts Savalnieks
Defender81'
6.5
23
Herdi Prenga
Herdi Prenga Defender
6.49
43
Ziga Lipuscek
Ziga Lipuscek (C) Defender
6.5
99
Shina Kumater
Shina Kumater Defender
6.5
8
Lasha Odisharia
Lasha Odisharia Midfielder
6.61
49
Martins Kigurs
Martins Kigurs
Midfielder62'
6.5
10
Janis Ikaunieks
Janis Ikaunieks Midfielder
6.69
81
Strahinja Rakic
Strahinja Rakic
Midfielder81'
6.5
18
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs Midfielder
6.5
77
Gauthier Mankenda
Gauthier Mankenda
Midfielder68'
6.5
26
Stefan Panic
Stefan Panic Midfielder
6.5
66
Modou Saidy
Modou Saidy Midfielder
6.69
15
Rostand Ndjiki
Rostand Ndjiki Attacker
6.59
22
Darko Lemajic
Darko Lemajic
Attacker68'
6.5
Referee : Peiman Simani

Starting XI ▼

31
William Crellin
William Crellin Goalkeeper
5.88
2
Ryan Cooney
Ryan Cooney Defender
6.05
4
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
Zeno Ibsen Rossi Defender
6.04
20
Daniel Larmour
Daniel Larmour Defender
6.26
3
Marcus Kane
Marcus Kane
Defender11'
6.25
6
Joe Thomson
Joe Thomson Midfielder
6.27
7
Ross Clarke
Ross Clarke Midfielder
6.37
30
Jordan Jenkins
Jordan Jenkins
Attacker57'
6.46
8
Aaron McEneff
Aaron McEneff Midfielder
6.27
10
Jordan Stewart
Jordan Stewart Midfielder
6.27
11
Joshua Daniels
Joshua Daniels
Midfielder72'
6.5
27
James Singleton
James Singleton (C) Midfielder
6.23
29
Jack Malone
Jack Malone Midfielder
6.27
5
Joshua Kelly
Joshua Kelly
Midfielder72'
6.45
9
Pat Hoban
Pat Hoban Attacker
6.43

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Strahinja Rakic → Janis Ikaunieks
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Roberts Savalnieks → Aleksandar Filipovic
9th Substitution
81'
78'
Event
Joshua Kelly
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
77'
Event
James Singleton
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Joshua Daniels → Jordan Stewart
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Joshua Kelly → Jack Malone
7th Substitution
Event
Darko Lemajic → Rostand Ndjiki
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Gauthier Mankenda → Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
5th Substitution
68'
63'
Event
Marcus Kane
Handball / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Martins Kigurs → Lasha Odisharia
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Janis Ikaunieks
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
61'
57'
Event
Jordan Jenkins → Ross Clarke
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Herdi Prenga
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
43'
22'
Event
Zeno Ibsen Rossi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
11'
Event
Marcus Kane → Daniel Larmour
1st Substitution
Event
Modou Saidy
Field Goal / 1st Goal
5'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Update Update
Strahinja Rakic is on, and Janis Ikaunieks is off.
81
Update Update
Roberts Savalnieks is on, and Aleksandar Filipovic is off.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Substitution Substitution
Joshua Kelly is substituted for Jack Maloney.
72
Substitution Substitution
Joshua Daniels is substituted for Jordan Stewart.
68
Substitution Substitution
Gauthier Mankenda is substituted for Dmitrijs Zelenkovs.
68
Update Update
Darko Lemajic is coming on for Rostand Ndjiki.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
62
Substitution Substitution
Martins Kigurs is substituted for Lasha Odisharia.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Janis Ikaunieks scores, making it 2-0.
57
Update Update
Jordan Jenkins is on, and Ross Clarke is off.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Marcus Kane comes on for Daniel Larmour.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Modou Saidy scores, making it 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Peiman Simani.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Rīgas FS 2-0 Glentoran. Structural assessment: Rīgas FS exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.