Riga vs Vardar preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs Today - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Riga RFC
Vardar VAR
KICKOFF : Today - 5:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 2

CONTEXT

Riga welcome Vardar to Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs for the second leg of their Europa Conference League second qualifying round tie. The Latvian side hold a 3-2 aggregate lead after a 3-2 victory in Skopje six days ago. Riga possess a clear power advantage rated at 36.67 against Vardar's 23.33, underlining their status as the stronger side. Home form stands at 50 while the visitors register zero, suggesting a marked difference in recent momentum. Both teams operate with limited underlying data, particularly around efficiency and set-piece metrics that carry low confidence ratings. The match represents a chance for Riga to close out progression while Vardar must find a way to overturn the deficit on the road.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Riga hold a 13.3 point power advantage over Vardar at this venue.
  • Form: Riga post a form score of 50 compared to Vardar's zero.
  • Squad: Detailed squad information remains unavailable for both sides.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not provided for this encounter.
  • Transition: Transition data is absent from the available statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data.
  • xVariable: Riga are identified as the stronger team by power metrics.
  • Market: Riga 69.2% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 19.8% (Δ+0.2%) | Vardar 11% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Riga A. Guľa
A. Guľa
VS
Vardar C. Fabbiani
C. Fabbiani
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vardar Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Riga Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Riga
69.19%
Draw
19.82%
Away Vardar
10.98%

Movement

Changes since opening
Riga
-0.07%
Draw
+0.18%
Vardar
-0.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.67
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Riga
Vardar
Power Score
36.67
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Riga — Opponent-weighted form score
Vardar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Riga Vardar

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Riga RFC Home
1 matches
Vardar VAR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-27T00:07:14+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 28, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 2
Stadium
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
Capacity
8207
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Wojciech Myć
Bartosz Heinig
Mikołaj Kostrzewa
Patryk Gryckiewicz

Squad

Referee : Wojciech Myć

Squad ▼

1
Krišjānis Zviedris
Krišjānis Zviedris Goalkeeper
91
Frenks Dāvids Orols
Frenks Dāvids Orols Goalkeeper
12
Kristaps Zommers
Kristaps Zommers Goalkeeper
31
Athanasios-Theologos Papadoudis
Athanasios-Theologos Papadoudis Goalkeeper
44
Mārcis Kazainis
Mārcis Kazainis Goalkeeper
34
Antonijs Černomordijs
Antonijs Černomordijs Defender
13
Raivis Andris Jurkovskis
Raivis Andris Jurkovskis Defender
27
Emīls Birka
Emīls Birka Defender
23
Maksims Toņiševs
Maksims Toņiševs Defender
33
Paulo Eduardo Ferreira Godinho
Paulo Eduardo Ferreira Godinho Defender
17
Andrés Salazar Osorio
Andrés Salazar Osorio Defender
21
Baba Musah
Baba Musah Defender
3
Abner Salles da Silva
Abner Salles da Silva Defender
28
Jegors Blaževičs
Jegors Blaževičs Defender
14
Renārs Varslavāns
Renārs Varslavāns Midfielder
4
Orlando Moisés Galo Calderón
Orlando Moisés Galo Calderón Midfielder
8
Iago Siqueira Augusto
Iago Siqueira Augusto Midfielder
18
Salah Oulad M'Hand
Salah Oulad M'Hand Midfielder
11
Brian Peña Perez-Vico
Brian Peña Perez-Vico Midfielder
40
Ahmed Ankrah
Ahmed Ankrah Midfielder
5
Karl Gameni Wassom
Karl Gameni Wassom Midfielder
9
Anthony Daniel Contreras Enríquez
Anthony Daniel Contreras Enríquez Attacker
25
Abdulrahman Taiwo
Abdulrahman Taiwo Attacker
19
Muhammed Badamosi
Muhammed Badamosi Attacker
10
Reginaldo Ramires de Oliveira Albertino
Reginaldo Ramires de Oliveira Albertino Attacker
70
Juan Christian Pereira Coelho
Juan Christian Pereira Coelho Attacker
22
Meissa Diop
Meissa Diop Attacker
7
Raki Aouani
Raki Aouani Attacker
99
Caio Ferreira Martins
Caio Ferreira Martins Attacker
Referee : Wojciech Myć

Squad ▼

95
Davor Taleski
Davor Taleski Goalkeeper
1
Daniel Dikovski
Daniel Dikovski Goalkeeper
18
Nenad Mishkovski
Nenad Mishkovski Defender
5
Filip Najdoski
Filip Najdoski Defender
14
Darko Velkovski
Darko Velkovski Defender
3
Mihail Manevski
Mihail Manevski Defender
4
Mislav Matić
Mislav Matić Defender
21
Georgije Jankulov
Georgije Jankulov Defender
27
Filip Cvetkovski
Filip Cvetkovski Defender
23
Filip Duranski
Filip Duranski Midfielder
8
Boban Nikolov
Boban Nikolov Midfielder
88
Nemanja Bosančić
Nemanja Bosančić Midfielder
6
David Babunski
David Babunski Midfielder
22
Dimitar Todorovski
Dimitar Todorovski Midfielder
71
Miguel Ângelo Ferreira Pires
Miguel Ângelo Ferreira Pires Midfielder
10
Goran Zakarić
Goran Zakarić Attacker
7
Gerson Leal Rodrigues Gouveia
Gerson Leal Rodrigues Gouveia Attacker
99
Joaquín Torres
Joaquín Torres Attacker
9
Azer Omeragikj
Azer Omeragikj Attacker
34
Ian Puleio
Ian Puleio Attacker
17
Ediz Spahiu
Ediz Spahiu Attacker
32
Diego Castañeda
Diego Castañeda Attacker
49
Dimitar Danev
Dimitar Danev Attacker

CONCLUSION

Riga are well positioned to advance after establishing a narrow aggregate lead in the first leg. Their superior power rating and home form provide a platform to control proceedings against a Vardar side that has shown little recent momentum. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces means both teams will rely on established patterns rather than advanced indicators. The visitors face a difficult task requiring goals while defending against a stronger home attack. Riga can focus on maintaining structure and avoiding unnecessary risks to secure progression to the next stage of the competition.