Riga vs Győri ETO preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
Europa Conference League
RigaRFC
1 0
Győri ETOETO
Full Time
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
B. Selyem - 3' (Own Goal)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Riga hosted Győri ETO for the opening leg of their two-match series and emerged with a 1-0 win. The sole goal came before the interval leaving the score at 1-0 at halftime. Throughout the ninety minutes Riga controlled the game with 61 percent possession and generated an expected goals total of 1.81 against just 0.23 for their opponents. No red cards were shown to either team during the encounter. As the pre-match stronger side Riga delivered a performance that aligned well with expectations and secured the narrow advantage heading into the return fixture. The low scoring nature reflected the defensive efforts from Győri ETO but ultimately Riga's efficiency proved sufficient to claim the victory on the night.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Riga exhibited a significant structural deviation of 46.9 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: The match outcome was consistent with the xG figures.
  • Market alignment: The result showed market alignment.
  • xG expectations: Riga generated 1.81 xG compared to 0.23 for Győri ETO.
  • Event impact: The single goal proved decisive in the 1-0 victory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued affecting the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Laibuvitz
G. Laibuvitz
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Yacobov
M. Yacobov
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Telis
R. Telis
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Tzino
D. Tzino
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Riga A. Guľa
A. Guľa
VS
Győri ETO E. Juárez Váldez
E. Juárez Váldez
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vardar Rank: W
Vardar Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atert Bissen Rank: D
Atert Bissen Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Riga
53.05%
Draw
23.72%
Away Győri ETO
23.23%

Movement

Changes since opening
Riga
-43%
Draw
+20.41%
Győri ETO
+22.59%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
40
26.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Riga
Győri ETO
Power Score
40
26.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Riga — Opponent-weighted form score
Győri ETO — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Riga Győri ETO

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Riga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Győri ETO

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Riga
vs
Győri ETO
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Riga Győri ETO
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
47%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.84 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Riga Győri ETO
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
47%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.84
Riga
Győri ETO
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Riga
vs
Győri ETO
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Riga Győri ETO
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Riga 0.00
Győri ETO 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Riga Győri ETO
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Riga 0.00
Győri ETO 0.00
Riga
Győri ETO
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RFC had peak pressure around 94'.
  • RFC started the game with stronger pressure.
RFC Pressure ETO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RFC reached the top pressure at 94' (80.46).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
Capacity
8207
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gal Laibuvitz
Mati Yacobov
Rosti Telis
Dekel Tzino

Statistics

Possession
RFC
60%
ETO
40%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
10 Shots 1
59 Dangerous attacks 21
61 Possession 39
8 Corners 1
15 Free kicks 18
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

86 Ball Safe 84
4 Goal Kicks 17
14 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 3
16 Throwins 20
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Injuries 3
11 Dribble Attempts 11
7 Successful Dribbles 6
64 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55

Attacking

102 Attacks 89
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

55 Long Passes 58
534 Passes 344
467 Successful Passes 264
87 Successful Passes Percentage 77
31 Successful Long Passes 22
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38

Defensive

2 Saves 5
10 Tackles 8
12 Interceptions 4

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 9
6 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
18 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Gal Laibuvitz

Starting XI ▼

91
Frenks Orols
Frenks Orols Goalkeeper
13
Raivis Jurkovskis
Raivis Jurkovskis Defender
17
Andrés Salazar
Andrés Salazar Defender
23
Maksims Tonisevs
Maksims Tonisevs
Defender88'
21
Baba Musah
Baba Musah Defender
33
Paulo Eduardo
Paulo Eduardo Defender
4
Orlando Galo
Orlando Galo Midfielder
7
Raki Aouani
Raki Aouani Midfielder
25
Abdulrahman Taiwo
Abdulrahman Taiwo
Attacker77'
8
Iago Siqueira
Iago Siqueira Midfielder
18
Salah Oulad
Salah Oulad
Midfielder88'
22
Meïssa Diop
Meïssa Diop Midfielder
34
Antonijs Cernomordijs
Antonijs Cernomordijs
Defender77'
40
Ahmed Ankrah
Ahmed Ankrah Midfielder
10
Reginaldo Ramires
Reginaldo Ramires (C) Attacker
19
Mohamed Badamosi
Mohamed Badamosi
Attacker66'
Referee : Gal Laibuvitz

Starting XI ▼

99
Samuel Petras
Samuel Petras Goalkeeper
24
Miljan Krpic
Miljan Krpic (C) Defender
26
Ádám Umathum
Ádám Umathum Defender
37
Norbert Urblík
Norbert Urblík Defender
14
Márton Szép
Márton Szép Midfielder
17
Szabolcs Schön
Szabolcs Schön Midfielder
75
Noel Csorba
Noel Csorba
Defender90+1'
47
Ádám Décsy
Ádám Décsy Midfielder
53
B. Selyem
B. Selyem Midfielder
10
Claudiu Bumba
Claudiu Bumba Attacker
96
Marcell Huszár
Marcell Huszár
Attacker61'
11
Nfansu Njie
Nfansu Njie Attacker
23
Daniel Stefulj
Daniel Stefulj
Defender80'
34
Viktor Djukanovic
Viktor Djukanovic Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Noel Csorba → Szabolcs Schön
8th Substitution
Event
Salah Oulad → Iago Siqueira
6th Substitution
88'
Event
Maksims Tonisevs → Andrés Salazar
7th Substitution
88'
80'
Event
Daniel Stefulj → Nfansu Njie
5th Substitution
Event
Antonijs Cernomordijs  → Meïssa Diop
3rd Substitution
77'
Event
Abdulrahman Taiwo → Raki Aouani
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Raki Aouani
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
73'
Event
Meïssa Diop
Offside / Goal Disallowed
72'
Event
Mohamed Badamosi → Reginaldo Ramires
2nd Substitution
66'
61'
Event
Marcell Huszár → Claudiu Bumba
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Paulo Eduardo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
18'
Event
B. Selyem
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
3'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Orlando Moises Galo Calderon attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Substitution Substitution
Noel Csorba is substituted for Szabolcs Schon.
90
Attempt Attempt
Raivis Jurkovskis takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Update Update
Salah MHand comes on for Iago Siqueira Augusto.
88
Update Update
Maksims Tonisevs is on, and Andres Salazar is off.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Djukanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Update Update
Daniel Stefulj comes on for Nfansu Njie.
77
Update Update
Antonijs Cernomordijs is on, and Meissa Diop is off.
77
Update Update
Abdulrahman Taiwo is on, and Raki Aouani is off.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Raki Aouani.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Meissa Diop.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Meissa Diop scores, making it 2-0, assisted by Iago Siqueira Augusto.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Meissa Diop scores, making it 2-0.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Meissa Diop takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
71
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Badamosi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Update Update
Mohamed Badamosi comes on for Reginaldo Oliveira.
61
Update Update
Marcell Huszar comes on for Claudiu Vasile Bumba.
60
Update Update
Marcell Huszar comes on for Claudiu Vasile Bumba.
60
Attempt Attempt
Raki Aouani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Attempt Attempt
Raki Aouani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Orlando Moises Galo Calderon attempts a header but misses the shot.
51
Attempt Attempt
Iago Siqueira Augusto takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Attempt Attempt
Raivis Jurkovskis takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Update Update
First half ends with the score at 1-0.
44
Attempt Attempt
Reginaldo Ramires takes a right-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Raivis Jurkovskis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
40
Attempt Attempt
Paulo Eduardo Ferreira Godinho's header is saved.
40
Attempt Attempt
Raivis Jurkovskis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Szabolcs Schon takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Claudiu Vasile Bumba takes a right-footed shot, but it hits the post.
24
Attempt Attempt
Raki Aouani's right-footed shot is saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Raki Aouani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Paulo Eduardo Ferreira Godinho.
15
Attempt Attempt
Orlando Moises Galo Calderon takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Baba Musah takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Balint Selyem puts the score at 1-0.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Gal Leibovitz.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Riga 1-0 Győri ETO. Structural assessment: Riga exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.