Riga vs KÍ preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
Europa Conference League
RigaRFC
2 1
KÍKÍ
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 1
Salah Oulad - 89'
Goal
|
Goal
Andrés Salazar 75' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Riga 2–1 KÍ. The result saw Riga take the points. Riga showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 53%–47%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Riga 2-1 KÍ. Riga showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Lindhout
A. Lindhout
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Balder
J. Balder
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
H. Kucukerbir
H. Kucukerbir
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Bos
A. Bos
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Riga A. Guľa
A. Guľa
VS
KÍ M. Powell
M. Powell
2.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
2.2 i
Last 6 Opponents
KÍ Rank: D
Győri ETO Rank: 68 D
Győri ETO Rank: 69 W
Vardar Rank: W
Vardar Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Riga Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Riga
68.33%
Draw
19.06%
Away KÍ
12.61%

Movement

Changes since opening
Riga
-27.36%
Draw
+15.38%
KÍ
+11.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
38.89
23.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Riga
KÍ
Power Score
38.89
23.17
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Riga — Opponent-weighted form score
KÍ — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Riga KÍ

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Riga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

KÍ

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Riga ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KÍ
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
7.36
4.89
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
4.89
7.36
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Riga +0.19 Efficiency Index
vs
KÍ -0.19 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Riga
KÍ
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Riga ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KÍ
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Riga KÍ
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Riga KÍ
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Riga
KÍ
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Riga
vs
KÍ
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Riga KÍ
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Riga 0.00
KÍ 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Riga KÍ
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Riga 0.02
KÍ 0.03
Riga
KÍ
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RFC had peak pressure around 25'.
  • RFC started the game with stronger pressure.
RFC Pressure KÍ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RFC reached the top pressure at 25' (87.48).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Riga RFC Home
1 matches
KÍ KÍ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-28T00:03:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 1
Stadium
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
Capacity
8207
Attendance
6339
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Allard Lindhout
Johan Balder
Halis Murat Kucukerbir
Alex Bos

Statistics

Possession
RFC
55%
KÍ
45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
5 Shots 1
78 Dangerous attacks 46
53 Possession 47
10 Corners 0
11 Free kicks 10
3 Yellow Cards 6
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

79 Ball Safe 80
9 Goal Kicks 10
15 Goal Attempts 5
4 Substitutions 4
13 Throwins 18

Attacking

112 Attacks 95

Defensive

0 Saves 8

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Allard Lindhout

Starting XI ▼

91
Frenks Orols
Frenks Orols Goalkeeper
6.12
5
Karl Gameni Wassom
Karl Gameni Wassom Defender
6.26
13
Raivis Jurkovskis
Raivis Jurkovskis Defender
6.26
17
Andrés Salazar
Andrés Salazar Defender
5.7
21
Baba Musah
Baba Musah Defender
6.26
33
Paulo Eduardo
Paulo Eduardo Defender
6.26
7
Raki Aouani
Raki Aouani Midfielder
6.37
23
Maksims Tonisevs
Maksims Tonisevs
Defender78'
6.49
8
Iago Siqueira
Iago Siqueira Midfielder
6.37
18
Salah Oulad
Salah Oulad
Midfielder86'
6.69
22
Meïssa Diop
Meïssa Diop Midfielder
6.5
99
Caio
Caio
Attacker59'
6.46
40
Ahmed Ankrah
Ahmed Ankrah Midfielder
6.33
10
Reginaldo Ramires
Reginaldo Ramires (C) Attacker
6.86
19
Mohamed Badamosi
Mohamed Badamosi
Attacker60'
6.46
Referee : Allard Lindhout

Starting XI ▼

96
Mark Jensen
Mark Jensen Goalkeeper
5.88
2
Gastón Tellechea
Gastón Tellechea Defender
6.26
5
Deni Pavlovic
Deni Pavlovic
Midfielder68'
6.37
23
Jóannes Danielsen
Jóannes Danielsen Defender
6.05
26
Gilli Sörensen
Gilli Sörensen Defender
6.26
22
Odmar Færø
Odmar Færø
Defender87'
6.25
36
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos Defender
6.05
4
Mansour Sinyan
Mansour Sinyan Midfielder
6.23
7
Árni Frederiksberg
Árni Frederiksberg Midfielder
6.34
10
Hallur Hansson
Hallur Hansson Midfielder
6.23
14
René Joensen
René Joensen Midfielder
6.27
27
Dávid Reynheim
Dávid Reynheim
Attacker90+1'
28
Oussama Ali
Oussama Ali Midfielder
6.23
20
Erlend Hustad
Erlend Hustad
Attacker90+1'
9
Páll Klettskard
Páll Klettskard (C) Attacker
6.79

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Erlend Hustad
7th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
9th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Odmar Færø
6th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
8th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Erlend Hustad → Oussama Ali
7th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Dávid Reynheim → René Joensen
8th Substitution
Event
Salah Oulad
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
89'
87'
Event
Odmar Færø → Gilli Sörensen
6th Substitution
Event
Salah Oulad → Iago Siqueira
5th Substitution
86'
85'
Event
Árni Frederiksberg
5th Yellowcard
Event
Maksims Tonisevs → Raki Aouani
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Andrés Salazar
1st Redcard
75'
75'
Event
Oussama Ali
4th Yellowcard
68'
Event
Deni Pavlovic → Gastón Tellechea
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Páll Klettskard
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
61'
Event
Hallur Hansson
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Mohamed Badamosi → Reginaldo Ramires
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Caio → Meïssa Diop
1st Substitution
59'
Event
Ahmed Ankrah
2nd Yellowcard
58'
Event
Reginaldo Ramires
Field Goal / 1st Goal
47'
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Mansour Sinyan
1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Erlend Hustad receives a yellow card.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Odmar Faeroe.
90
Update Update
Erlend Hustad is on, and Oussama Ali is off.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: David Reynheim comes on for Rene Joensen.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Maksims Tonisevs.
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Salah scores, making it 2-1.
87
Substitution Substitution
Odmar Faeroe is substituted off for Gilli Sorensen.
86
Substitution Substitution
Salah MHand is substituted on for Iago Siqueira Augusto.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Arni Frederiksberg.
78
Update Update
Maksims Tonisevs is on, and Raki Aouani is off.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Oussama Ali.
75
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued to Andres Salazar.
68
Update Update
Deni Pavlovic comes on for Gaston Tellechea.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Pall Klettskard equalizes to make it 1-1, assisted by Arni Frederiksberg.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Hallur Hansson.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Mohamed Badamosi comes on for Reginaldo Ramires.
59
Update Update
Caio Ferreira replaces Meissa Diop.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ahmed Ankrah.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Reginaldo Oliveira.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Reginaldo Oliveira scores, making it 1-0.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Mansour Sinyan.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Allard Lindhout.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Riga 2-1 KÍ. Structural assessment: Riga exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.