Real Valladolid vs Deportivo La Coruña preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla Sun, 24 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Real Valladolid REV
Deportivo La Coruña COR
KICKOFF : Sun, 24 May - 4:30 PM
Round 41 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Real Valladolid hosts Deportivo La Coruña at the Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla in a La Liga 2 regular season match during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side occupies sixteenth place in the domestic table while the visitors sit second. Deportivo La Coruña carries a clear power advantage of fourteen points and registers the higher overall strength rating. Form metrics also tilt toward the away team which posts a stronger recent performance score. This encounter features a mid-table side facing one of the division leaders on current standing. Both clubs will seek to control key areas of the pitch with the hosts aiming to improve their position and the visitors looking to sustain momentum. The match offers an analytical test of structure against superior underlying numbers.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Deportivo La Coruña holds a power advantage of 14 points over Real Valladolid.
  • Form: Deportivo La Coruña shows a higher form score of 29.44 compared to Real Valladolid's 14.22.
  • Squad: The stronger team on paper is Deportivo La Coruña with a power score of 70.29.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for detailed comparison in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play analysis remains limited due to available data constraints.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: The power advantage points to Deportivo La Coruña as the stronger side by 14 points.
  • Market: Real Valladolid 18.7% (Δ+1.2%) | Draw 24.8% (Δ+0.8%) | Deportivo La Coruña 56.4% (Δ-2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
VS
Deportivo La Coruña A. Hidalgo Morilla
A. Hidalgo Morilla
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Santander Rank: 71 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 W
Las Palmas Rank: 71 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 W
FC Andorra Rank: 67 L
SD Eibar Rank: 69 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Andorra Rank: 67 W
Cádiz Rank: 57 W
Leganés Rank: 64 W
Burgos Rank: 68 D
Mirandés Rank: 59 W
Huesca Rank: 58 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 6 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Valladolid
18.74%
Draw
24.82%
Away Deportivo La Coruña
56.44%

Movement

Changes since opening
Real Valladolid
+1.17%
Draw
+0.84%
Deportivo La Coruña
-2.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.34
70.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Valladolid
Deportivo La Coruña
Power Score
56.34
70.29
League Position
16
2
Global Rank
463
204

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
Deportivo La Coruña — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Valladolid Deportivo La Coruña

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Valladolid REV Home
13 matches
Deportivo La Coruña COR Away
Match Record
4
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
3
Losses
4
Goals
17
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
17
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T00:11:05+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
G. Carvalho Fernandes
13 G. Carvalho Fernandes
I. Alejo Peralta
14 I. Alejo Peralta
R. Martinez Gil
5 R. Martinez Gil
M. Jaouab
23 M. Jaouab
H. San Modesto Valdespino
30 H. San Modesto Valdespino
P. Gonzalez Carmona
22 P. Gonzalez Carmona
J. Ponceau
21 J. Ponceau
M. Lachuer
6 M. Lachuer
Mario Maroto
16 Mario Maroto
?. Carvajal García
38 ?. Carvajal García
J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
9 J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
Á. Fernández Llorente
25 Á. Fernández Llorente
G. Quagliata
12 G. Quagliata
M. Loureiro Ameijeda
15 M. Loureiro Ameijeda
L. Noubi Ngnokam
4 L. Noubi Ngnokam
J. Navarro Jiménez
23 J. Navarro Jiménez
L. Cruz Hernández
19 L. Cruz Hernández
M. Soriano Carreño
21 M. Soriano Carreño
D. Villares Yáñez
8 D. Villares Yáñez
A. Altimira Reynaldos
2 A. Altimira Reynaldos
B. Nsongo Tonfack
32 B. Nsongo Tonfack
Y. Hernández Cubas
10 Y. Hernández Cubas

General Information

Date & Time
May 24, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 41 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Capacity
27618
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Guilherme Fernandes
Guilherme Fernandes Goalkeeper
6.77
22
Peter Federico
Peter Federico Midfielder
6.85
16
Mario Maroto
Mario Maroto Midfielder
6.6
38
Angel Carvajal
Angel Carvajal Attacker
7.02
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa Attacker
6.88
6
Mathis Lachuer
Mathis Lachuer Central Midfield
6.66
14
Iván Alejo
Iván Alejo Right Back
6.98
23
Mohamed Jaouab
Mohamed Jaouab Left Back
6.54
5
Ramón Martínez
Ramón Martínez Right Back
6.5
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Central Midfield
6.84
30
Hugo San
Hugo San Left Back
6.56

Starting XI ▼

25
Álvaro Fernández
Álvaro Fernández Goalkeeper
6.84
2
Adrià Altimira
Adrià Altimira Midfielder
7.1
19
Luismi Cruz
Luismi Cruz Midfielder
6.99
10
Yeremay Hernández
Yeremay Hernández Attacker
7.24
32
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack
Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack Attacker
6.75
8
Diego Villares
Diego Villares Central Midfield
6.78
15
Miguel Loureiro
Miguel Loureiro Left Back
6.9
4
Lucas Noubi
Lucas Noubi Right Back
6.82
21
Mario Soriano
Mario Soriano Central Midfield
7.12
12
Giacomo Quagliata
Giacomo Quagliata Left Back
6.78
23
Ximo Navarro
Ximo Navarro Right Back
6.95

CONCLUSION

Deportivo La Coruña enters this fixture with superior structural metrics and a stronger recent form profile that should shape the contest. Real Valladolid will rely on home support and organized defending to limit clear opportunities for the visitors. The league positions highlight a gap in current standing yet both sides possess the tools to influence phases of play. Set piece situations and transitional moments could prove decisive given the data profile. Overall the away side appears better equipped on underlying indicators while the hosts seek to exploit familiarity with the venue. This regular season clash should deliver a measured tactical battle between contrasting ambitions in La Liga 2.