Real Oviedo vs Elche preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
La Liga
Real OviedoOVI
1 2
ElcheELC
Full Time
Round 32 Regular Season
Ilyas Chaira - 76'
Goal
|
Goal
|
Red Card Germán Valera 90+5'

CONTEXT

Real Oviedo hosted Elche in a Segunda Division clash that ended in a shocking 1-2 defeat for the home side, despite entering as the stronger team with 60% possession. Elche struck twice before halftime, leading 0-2, capitalizing on early chances while Oviedo struggled to convert their dominance. The second half saw Oviedo pull one back, but Elche held firm even after receiving a red card, distorting the game's flow and forcing defensive resilience. Oviedo's pressure mounted with superior ball control, yet they couldn't overcome the two-goal deficit. This result marks a moderate structural deviation favoring Elche, who defied expectations through clinical finishing and grit. Possession stats highlighted Oviedo's control, but Elche's efficiency in both boxes proved decisive. The red card to Elche late on shifted dynamics, yet they secured the points. A tale of missed opportunities for the hosts and opportunistic play from the visitors.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate 7.7% deviation favored Elche in the final 1-2 scoreline.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams performed in line with efficiency expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: Elche's red card occurred, influencing second-half play.
  • Red card distortion: Red card to Elche created second-half distortion as listed in adjustments.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Real Oviedo J. Almada Álves
J. Almada Álves
VS
Elche E. Sarabia Armesto
E. Sarabia Armesto
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Villarreal Rank: D
Celta de Vigo Rank: W
Sevilla Rank: W
Levante Rank: L
Valencia Rank: W
Espanyol Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlético Madrid Rank: W
Valencia Rank: W
Rayo Vallecano Rank: L
Mallorca Rank: W
Real Madrid Rank: L
Villarreal Rank: L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Oviedo
42.56%
Draw
28.4%
Away Elche
29.04%

Movement

Changes since opening
Real Oviedo
+42.24%
Draw
+21.02%
Elche
-63.26%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.52
24.42
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Oviedo
Elche
Power Score
24.52
24.42
League Position
20
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Oviedo — Opponent-weighted form score
Elche — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Oviedo Elche

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Oviedo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Elche

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Oviedo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Elche
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Oviedo Elche
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Oviedo Elche
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Oviedo
Elche
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Real Oviedo
vs
Elche
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Real Oviedo Elche
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Real Oviedo 0.00
Elche 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Real Oviedo Elche
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Real Oviedo 0.00
Elche 0.00
Real Oviedo
Elche
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • OVI had peak pressure around 91'.
  • ELC started the game with stronger pressure.
OVI Pressure ELC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: OVI reached the top pressure at 91' (92.24).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Oviedo OVI Home
13 matches
Elche ELC Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
4
Losses
6
Goals
18
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
18
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T14:03:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
A. Escandell Banacloche
Spain
13 A. Escandell Banacloche
I. Vidal Miralles
Spain
22 I. Vidal Miralles
D. Costas Cordal
Spain
4 D. Costas Cordal
D. Veiga Teixeira Carmo
Substitution
Portugal
16 D. Veiga Teixeira Carmo
A. Alhassane Bonkan
Substitution
Niger
3 A. Alhassane Bonkan
H. Hassan
Substitution
France
10 H. Hassan
K. Sibo
Substitution
Ghana
6 K. Sibo
N. Fonseca
Substitution
Italy
23 N. Fonseca
I. Chaira
Morocco
7 I. Chaira
A. Reina Campos
Spain
5 A. Reina Campos
F. Viñas Barboza
Uruguay
9 F. Viñas Barboza

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Capacity
30500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
José María Sánchez Martínez
Raúl Cabañero Martínez
Juan José López Mir
E. García Arriola

Statistics

Possession
OVI
57%
ELC
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 4
45 Dangerous attacks 33
60 Possession 40
6 Corners 1
14 Free kicks 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
16 Dribble Attempts 16
6 Goal Attempts 3
1 Assists 2
2 Goal Kicks 9
31 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31
26 Throwins 16
5 Successful Dribbles 5
14 Successful Headers 21
66 Ball Safe 60

Attacking

82 Attacks 80
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

41 Successful Long Passes 24
375 Successful Passes 237
68 Long Passes 55
84 Successful Passes Percentage 78
445 Passes 305
9 Key Passes 3
60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

2 Saves 3
52 Duels Won 67
5 Interceptions 11
19 Tackles 22

Build-up

33 Total Crosses 7
9 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

21 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : José María Sánchez Martínez

Starting XI ▼

13
Aarón Escandell
Aarón Escandell Goalkeeper
7.17
3
Rahim Alhassane
Rahim Alhassane Defender
6.67
8
Santi Cazorla
Santi Cazorla
Midfielder58'
6.74
4
David Costas
David Costas Defender
6.76
16
David Carmo
David Carmo Defender
6.82
25
Javi López
Javi López
Defender65'
6.61
22
Nacho Vidal
Nacho Vidal Defender
6.69
6
Kwasi Sibo
Kwasi Sibo Midfielder
6.61
15
Thiago Fernández
Thiago Fernández
Attacker46'
6.57
7
Ilyas Chaira
Ilyas Chaira Midfielder
6.73
10
Haissem Hassan
Haissem Hassan Midfielder
6.68
17
Thiago Borbas
Thiago Borbas
Attacker58'
6.5
23
Nicolás Fonseca
Nicolás Fonseca Midfielder
6.69
11
Santiago Colombatto
Santiago Colombatto
Midfielder76'
6.83
5
Alberto Reina
Alberto Reina Attacker
6.76
9
Federico Viñas
Federico Viñas Attacker
7.03
Referee : José María Sánchez Martínez

Starting XI ▼

1
Matías Dituro
Matías Dituro Goalkeeper
7.13
3
Adrià Pedrosa
Adrià Pedrosa Defender
6.8
21
Léo Pétrot
Léo Pétrot
Defender82'
6.66
6
Pedro Bigas
Pedro Bigas Defender
6.82
22
David Affengruber
David Affengruber Defender
6.91
39
Héctor Fort
Héctor Fort Defender
6.68
15
Tete Morente
Tete Morente
Attacker62'
6.76
42
Buba Sangaré
Buba Sangaré Defender
6.46
23
Víctor Chust
Víctor Chust
Defender82'
6.75
8
Marc Aguado
Marc Aguado Midfielder
6.8
18
John Donald
John Donald
Defender69'
6.48
12
Gonzalo Villar
Gonzalo Villar Midfielder
6.59
14
Aleix Febas
Aleix Febas Midfielder
7.09
9
André Silva
André Silva Attacker
6.9
11
Germán Valera
Germán Valera
Attacker69'
7.01
20
Álvaro Rodríguez
Álvaro Rodríguez Attacker
6.88

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Germán Valera
1st Redcard
82'
Event
Víctor Chust → Buba Sangaré
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Léo Pétrot → Adrià Pedrosa
10th Substitution
Event
Ilyas Chaira
Goal awarded
78'
Event
Ilyas Chaira
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
76'
Event
Santiago Colombatto → Nicolás Fonseca
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Thiago Fernández
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
75'
69'
Event
John Donald → Marc Aguado
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Germán Valera → André Silva
7th Substitution
Event
Javi López → David Carmo
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Nicolás Fonseca
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
63'
62'
Event
Tete Morente → Héctor Fort
4th Substitution
Event
Thiago Borbas → Haissem Hassan
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Santi Cazorla → Rahim Alhassane
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Thiago Fernández → Kwasi Sibo
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
16'
Event
Gonzalo Villar
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
6'
Event
Pedro Bigas
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolás Fonseca of Real Oviedo receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Nicolás Fonseca of Real Oviedo.
74
Update Update
Foul committed by Thiago Borbas of Real Oviedo.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Oviedo: Santi Cazorla comes on for Rahim Alhassane.
57
Corner Corner
Ilyas Chaira from Real Oviedo misses the header from the center of the box, sending it too high. Thiago Fernández provided the assist with a cross after a corner.
57
Attempt Attempt
Thiago Fernández's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Ilyas Chaira.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Oviedo after a concession by Marc Aguado.
55
Update Update
Marc Aguado from Elche wins a free kick in the defensive half.
55
Update Update
Foul committed by Federico Viñas of Real Oviedo.
53
Update Update
Ilyas Chaira of Real Oviedo wins a free kick on the left wing.
50
Corner Corner
Ilyas Chaira's header from the right side of the six-yard box is saved in the bottom right corner by Matías Dituro. The attempt was assisted by Thiago Fernández's cross.
52
Update Update
Foul committed by Nacho Vidal of Real Oviedo.
52
Update Update
Aleix Febas from Elche wins a free kick on the left wing.
51
Update Update
Nicolás Fonseca from Real Oviedo wins a free kick in the attacking half.
53
Update Update
Foul committed by Buba Sangaré of Elche.
51
Update Update
Foul committed by Álvaro Rodríguez of Elche.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Oviedo after Buba Sangaré concedes.
49
Update Update
Foul committed by Héctor Fort of Elche.
47
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Federico Viñas from Real Oviedo has a right-footed shot from outside the box that goes high and wide to the right.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Oviedo: Thiago Fernández comes on for Kwasi Sibo.
46
Update Update
Nicolás Fonseca commits a foul for Real Oviedo.
46
Update Update
Gonzalo Villar from Elche wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Real Oviedo 0, Elche 2.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision confirms the goal for Elche. The match score is now Real Oviedo 0, Elche 2, with Ilyas Chaira scoring.
76
Update Update
Ilyas Chaira of Real Oviedo is caught offside.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Oviedo: Santiago Colombatto comes on for Nicolás Fonseca.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thiago Fernández of Real Oviedo receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
45
Update Update
Foul by Buba Sangaré of Elche.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Oviedo after a concession by Buba Sangaré.
75
Update Update
Foul by Thiago Fernández of Real Oviedo.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
75
Update Update
Tete Morente from Elche wins a free kick on the right wing.
74
Update Update
John Donald from Elche wins a free kick in the attacking half.
45
Update Update
First half ends with Real Oviedo trailing 0-2 against Elche.
73
Update Update
David Affengruber from Elche wins a free kick in the defensive half.
73
Update Update
Foul committed by Thiago Borbas of Real Oviedo.
88
Update Update
Ilyas Chaira from Real Oviedo misses a header from the center of the box, sending the ball to the left. The cross was assisted by Santi Cazorla.
45
Update Update
Alberto Reina of Real Oviedo wins a free kick in the defensive half.
44
Update Update
Handball by Rahim Alhassane of Real Oviedo.
43
Update Update
Foul committed by Alberto Reina of Real Oviedo.
43
Update Update
Gonzalo Villar of Elche is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
42
Attempt Attempt
Nicolás Fonseca's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
39
Update Update
Foul by Kwasi Sibo of Real Oviedo.
39
Update Update
Aleix Febas from Elche wins a free kick in the defensive half.
38
Update Update
Federico Viñas from Real Oviedo wins a free kick in the defensive half.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Oviedo: Thiago Borbas comes on for Haissem Hassan.
38
Update Update
Foul committed by Aleix Febas of Elche.
37
Update Update
Foul by David Affengruber of Elche.
36
Update Update
Buba Sangaré from Elche wins a free kick in the defensive half.
32
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Ilyas Chaira from Real Oviedo has a right-footed shot from outside the box that is saved.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Oviedo after a concession by Héctor Fort.
84
Attempt Attempt
Ilyas Chaira's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Federico Viñas provided the assist.
26
Update Update
Foul committed by Federico Viñas of Real Oviedo.
26
Update Update
Buba Sangaré from Elche wins a free kick in the defensive half.
23
Update Update
Foul committed by Alberto Reina of Real Oviedo.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
André Silva's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved in the top center of the goal by Aarón Escandell.
23
Update Update
Buba Sangaré from Elche wins a free kick on the right wing.
23
Update Update
Foul by Haissem Hassan of Real Oviedo.
19
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Ilyas Chaira of Real Oviedo.
21
Update Update
Foul committed by Kwasi Sibo of Real Oviedo.
21
Update Update
Álvaro Rodríguez from Elche wins a free kick on the right wing.
84
Update Update
Federico Viñas' header from the center of the box is blocked. Javi López provided the cross.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Elche leads 2-0 with Gonzalo Villar scoring from the center of the box with a left-footed shot into the bottom left corner, assisted by Álvaro Rodríguez.
14
Update Update
Foul committed by Ilyas Chaira of Real Oviedo.
89
Corner Corner
Elche wins a corner after David Costas concedes.
17
Update Update
Alberto Reina from Real Oviedo wins a free kick on the right wing.
17
Update Update
Foul by Marc Aguado of Elche.
87
Corner Corner
Real Oviedo wins a corner after Léo Pétrot concedes.
83
Update Update
Ilyas Chaira from Real Oviedo wins a free kick in the defensive half.
37
Update Update
Federico Viñas from Real Oviedo is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
36
Update Update
Foul committed by Ilyas Chaira of Real Oviedo.
33
Update Update
Ilyas Chaira of Real Oviedo is caught offside.
10
Update Update
Pedro Bigas from Elche wins a free kick on the left wing.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Elche takes the lead 1-0 with a left-footed shot from outside the box by Pedro Bigas into the top right corner, assisted by Marc Aguado.
9
Update Update
Ilyas Chaira from Real Oviedo wins a free kick in the defensive half.
9
Update Update
Foul committed by Buba Sangaré of Elche.
72
Update Update
Santi Cazorla of Real Oviedo wins a free kick in the defensive half.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Germán Valera comes on for André Silva.
83
Update Update
Foul committed by Léo Pétrot of Elche.
70
Update Update
Foul committed by John Donald of Elche.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Elche: John Donald comes on for Marc Aguado.
70
Update Update
Federico Viñas of Real Oviedo wins a free kick in the defensive half.
10
Update Update
Foul committed by Kwasi Sibo of Real Oviedo.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by John Donald of Elche.
82
Update Update
Gonzalo Villar from Elche wins a free kick in the defensive half.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Victor Chust comes on for Buba Sangaré.
82
Update Update
Foul committed by Alberto Reina of Real Oviedo.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Léo Pétrot comes on for Adrià Pedrosa.
81
Update Update
Foul committed by Thiago Borbas of Real Oviedo.
81
Update Update
Matías Dituro from Elche wins a free kick in the defensive half.
79
Corner Corner
David Affengruber's header from the right side of the box is saved in the top right corner by Aarón Escandell. The attempt was assisted by Adrià Pedrosa.
3
Update Update
Nicolás Fonseca of Real Oviedo commits a handball.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Oviedo after Buba Sangaré concedes.
78
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Álvaro Rodríguez from Elche.
78
Update Update
Foul by Nacho Vidal of Real Oviedo.
78
Update Update
Álvaro Rodríguez from Elche wins a free kick in the attacking half.
2
Update Update
Foul committed by Adrià Pedrosa of Elche.
2
Update Update
Haissem Hassan of Real Oviedo wins a free kick on the right wing.
23
Update Update
Foul committed by Haissem Hassan of Real Oviedo.
14
Update Update
Buba Sangaré from Elche wins a free kick on the right wing.
67
Update Update
Santi Cazorla of Real Oviedo wins a free kick in the defensive half.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Aleix Febas of Elche.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Oviedo: Javi López comes on for David Carmo.
64
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Aleix Febas of Elche.
63
Update Update
Aleix Febas from Elche is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Foul by Álvaro Rodríguez of Elche.
62
Update Update
Ilyas Chaira from Real Oviedo wins a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Elche: Tete Morente comes on for Héctor Fort.
62
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Federico Viñas from Real Oviedo takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes high and wide to the right.

CONCLUSION

Elche's 1-2 victory over Real Oviedo stands out as a resilient triumph, overcoming a red card and lower possession to clinch points on the road. Leading 2-0 at halftime, they absorbed pressure after the sending-off, showcasing defensive solidity amid Oviedo's 60% ball share. This moderate deviation underscores Elche's clinical edge early on, while Oviedo rued wasteful finishing despite dominance. The result flips pre-match favoritism, highlighting football's unpredictability. For Elche, it's a morale boost; for Oviedo, a wake-up call to sharpen conversion rates. Key takeaway: events like red cards can redefine narratives, proving grit often trumps stats.