Real Madrid vs Fiorentina preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
Wörthersee Stadion Sat, 1 Aug - 4:00 PM
Club Friendlies 1
Full Time Sat, 1 Aug 4:00 PM
Regular Season
Endrick - 12'
Alexis Ciria - 24'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Real Madrid hosted Fiorentina in a match that ended in a 2-2 draw. At halftime the score was 2-1 in favor of the home side. Real Madrid controlled 59 percent of the possession while Fiorentina had 41 percent. No red cards were issued to either team during the contest. The stronger team according to pre-match assessment was Real Madrid yet the outcome was a draw. There was a significant deviation noted for Real Madrid in the structural aspects of the performance. The efficiency shift was in line with expectations based on the available metrics. Market alignment was confirmed as true for the final result. Expected goals data was unavailable leading to no determination on alignment or expectations. The absence of red cards meant no distortion from such events impacted the game. This result highlights the competitive nature of the encounter between the two sides.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A significant structural deviation was observed for Real Madrid.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No specific expectations regarding expected goals were available from the data.
  • Event impact: The match concluded as a 2-2 draw with no major events altering the flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown resulting in no distortion to the match outcome.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Weinberger
J. Weinberger
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Heidenreich
A. Heidenreich
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Kolbitsch
M. Kolbitsch
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Real Madrid José Mourinho
José Mourinho
VS
Fiorentina F. Grosso
F. Grosso
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
94.5
81.94
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
Power Score
94.5
81.94
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
6
74

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Real Madrid Opponent-weighted form score
Fiorentina Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Madrid Fiorentina

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Real Madrid

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Fiorentina

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Madrid ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fiorentina
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.20
26.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.59
22.20
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Madrid -0.05 Efficiency Index
vs
Fiorentina +0.05 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Madrid ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fiorentina
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Madrid Fiorentina
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Madrid Fiorentina
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Real Madrid
vs
Fiorentina
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Real Madrid Fiorentina
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Real Madrid Fiorentina
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RMA had peak pressure around 77'.
  • RMA started the game with stronger pressure.
RMA Pressure FIO Pressure
Pressure Index: RMA reached the top pressure at 77' (66.68).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-1-2

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 01, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
Wörthersee Stadion
Capacity
32000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Julian Weinberger
Andreas Heidenreich
Maximilian Kolbitsch

Statistics

Possession
RMA
58%
FIO
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 4
42 Dangerous attacks 18
59 Possession 41
3 Corners 3
17 Free kicks 14
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

4 Goal Kicks 7
10 Substitutions 17
14 Throwins 6
5 Dribble Attempts 14
0 Successful Dribbles 3
0 Successful Dribbles Percentage 21

Attacking

114 Attacks 62
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

44 Long Passes 34
561 Passes 389
514 Successful Passes 343
92 Successful Passes Percentage 88
6 Key Passes 8
33 Successful Long Passes 15
75 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

1 Saves 2
16 Tackles 10
4 Interceptions 9

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 6
3 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Julian Weinberger

Starting XI

13
Andriy Lunin
Andriy Lunin Goalkeeper
6.5
12
Trent Alexander-Arnold
7.2
18
Álvaro Carreras
Álvaro Carreras Defender
7.1
27
Joan Martínez
Joan Martínez Defender
6.6
36
Mario Rivas
Mario Rivas Defender
6.7
6
Eduardo Camavinga
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder
7.5
8
Federico Valverde
7.7
35
Diego Lacosta
Diego Lacosta
Midfielder84'
15
Arda Güler
Arda Güler Midfielder
7.3
33
Denzel Dumfries
Denzel Dumfries Midfielder
6.4
38
Daniel Yáñez
Daniel Yáñez
Attacker75'
6.5
39
Alexis Ciria
Alexis Ciria Midfielder
7.3
32
Jorge Cestero Sancho
6.7
29
Endrick
Endrick Attacker
7.2
40
Carlos Espí
Carlos Espí
Attacker75'
6.3
Referee : Julian Weinberger

Starting XI

1
David de Gea
David de Gea (C) Goalkeeper
5.9
12
Oliver Christensen
Oliver Christensen
Goalkeeper46'
6.6
6
Radu Drăgușin
Radu Drăgușin Defender
6.9
16
Viery
Viery Defender
6.4
18
Luca Ranieri
Luca Ranieri Defender
6.3
2
Víctor Valdepeñas
6.6
29
Álex Jiménez
Álex Jiménez Defender
6.6
3
Dodô
Dodô
Defender56'
7.1
4
Arthur Atta
Arthur Atta Midfielder
6.6
26
Federico Croci
Federico Croci
Attacker85'
19
Rolando Mandragora
Rolando Mandragora Midfielder
6.9
27
Lapo Deli
Lapo Deli
Midfielder85'
20
Cher Ndour
Cher Ndour Midfielder
6.3
14
Niccolò Fortini
Niccolò Fortini
Defender76'
6.5
32
Christ Inao Oulaï
Christ Inao Oulaï Midfielder
6.9
11
Nicolò Fagioli
Nicolò Fagioli
Midfielder57'
6.9
9
Albert Gudmundsson
6.2
8
Giovanni Fabbian
Giovanni Fabbian
Midfielder70'
6.7
24
Roberto Piccoli
Roberto Piccoli Attacker
7.1
23
Moise Kean
Moise Kean
Attacker57'
7.8

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
14th Substitution
87'
85'
Event
Federico Croci Arthur Atta
12th Substitution
85'
Event
Lapo Deli Rolando Mandragora
13th Substitution
Event
Diego Lacosta Federico Valverde
11th Substitution
84'
77'
Event
Víctor Valdepeñas Luca Ranieri
10th Substitution
76'
Event
Niccolò Fortini Cher Ndour
9th Substitution
Event
Carlos Espí Endrick
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Daniel Yáñez Denzel Dumfries
8th Substitution
75'
70'
Event
Giovanni Fabbian Albert Gudmundsson
6th Substitution
Event
Jorge Cestero Sancho Alexis Ciria
5th Substitution
64'
58'
Event
Header / 4th Goal
57'
Event
Nicolò Fagioli Christ Inao Oulaï
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Moise Kean Roberto Piccoli
4th Substitution
56'
Event
Dodô Álex Jiménez
2nd Substitution
51'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
46'
Event
Oliver Christensen David de Gea
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
24'
Event
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
12'

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw between Real Madrid and Fiorentina showcased a resilient performance from the visiting side after trailing at the break. Real Madrid started strongly with a halftime lead of 2-1 but could not maintain the advantage in the second half. Possession favored the home team at 59 percent yet this did not translate into a victory. The significant deviation for the stronger team indicates unexpected challenges faced during the game. With efficiency in line and market alignment holding true the result reflects the balanced contest that unfolded. Absence of red cards ensured the match proceeded without such interruptions allowing both teams to compete fully. This outcome serves as a reminder of the unpredictability in football matches even when one side is considered superior on paper.